IWXwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Yeah, wagons west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 12z GFS shifted heavy rain axis has widespread 5-8" from St Louis MO to Gary IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Yeah, wagons west. And the EE rule lives. To add insult to injury, we then head into a boring cold pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Yeah, wagons west. Still have more time for changes - Monday storm. Nice avatar btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 And the EE rule lives. To add insult to injury, we then head into a boring cold pattern. Yep, thats disappointing. Looks like MI and IL will still have some fun, but a rain out for the rest. I'm still holding out for more runs, but for now I will present the classic image: (oh, and Merry Christmas to the board! ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GGEM caved too from what I'm hearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 If we do get ice, I hope the ice changes over to rain for a time before switching for snow. I loathe ice storms with a passion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 And the EE rule lives. To add insult to injury, we then head into a boring cold pattern. Better than the awful mess we just went through. It's the busiest winter sports week of the year and every resort and trail system east of the rockies is closed. Something tells me that the upcoming pattern will change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Better than the awful mess we just went through. It's the busiest winter sports week of the year and every resort and trail system east of the rockies is closed. Something tells me that the upcoming pattern will change that.Bring on some clippers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GFS dumps almost 5" of rain here now. Quite a northward shift on the latest runs...usually it's significant and should be taken seriously when they all shift one way at this point but that being said, still some time to see things bounce back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Now watch the euro go east at noon, then everything else follows later on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 52 mb gradient between the high and low... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Going through the hourly GGEM precip type maps, the surface low briefly dips to 989 mb in northern Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 40 kt sustained winds in part of northern IL on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 GGEM takes a 996mb low over the Quad Cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 sick pressure gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 The 50+ mb gradient being advertised on some models is reminiscent of the gradient in GHD 2011, though the surface high was positioned northwest in that case, not northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Just a sliiight shift west lol: 0z: 12z: As Hoosier mentioned, the deeper projected low leads to quite the gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Impressive even if you subtract 5-10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 This is going to get ugly for someone in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 This is going to get ugly for someone in the region. Quarter inch of ice would be very bad with these winds. If somebody manages a half inch+, forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Quarter inch of ice would be very bad with these winds. If somebody manages a half inch+, forget it. Or an inch of ice with wind gusts of 50+ mph like what I experienced on February 24, 2007. Of course, no way that's going to happen with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 That looks like really bad icing in the area. Inches of sleet here... Most of the precip falls here as a mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 That looks like really bad icing in the area. Most of the precip falls here as a mix. Southern MI into the northern row of IN gets hammered with ice on this run. Of course with the model shifts, probably not wise to bite yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Glad I won't have to worry about ice and can enjoy the 60 mph winds off the lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Looking at the CMC ensemble mean is east of the operational. Holds most of IL; wst of I-55 back below freezing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Placement of the 32F degree line on the 12z ECMWF looks similar to what the 12z GGEM has at 72 hours with temps at or just below freezing wrapping into the northern 1 or 2 rows of counties in Indiana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Glad I won't have to worry about ice and can enjoy the 60 mph winds off the lake Yeah, no ice, but 34° and driving, wind-blown rain is a real treat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Yeah, no ice, but 34° and driving, wind-blown rain is a real treat. At least it's not 33*F and driving, wind-blown rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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