Typhoon Tip Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 I like seeing the repetitive Pac S/W strikes on the WC. Part of me actually likes it when good things happen ...they need the rain out there. And while not exactly a fire hosing pineapple express, those should incur pwat PAC air masses right upright against those striations of elevations where they need it so desperately. Particularly the GFS oper., it's been modeling about a 2 day periodicity in potent wave train.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Next week looks as warm or warmer than this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 I don't see that. It will be mild though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 70's in November are great, especially if you're looking for seasons in seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Over/under 80 degrees next week for BDL/BOS? With NW flow..and downsloping and a torched Canada.. I'll say at least one day hits 80 You don't see a day or 2 of 78-80 as possible? Sticking with this..Which was my forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Love the ice storm at the end of the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Love the ice storm at the end of the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 All joking aside, Euro ensembles are a bit cooler for mid-month today. Maybe some powderfreak frolicking possible? We'll have to see over the next couple days if they want to press in a couple of those colder airmasses more. Still out in the D10-12 range though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 What's he talking about ice storm? Euro is warm thru day 10 in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Precipitation deficit creeping right back up. Will approach double-digits again by mid-month. #wbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 What's he talking about ice storm? Euro is warm thru day 10 in the east I'm sorry, that is not a warm setup. It may not be ice for us, but that would be close for at least CNE and a nasty cold rain for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 I'm sorry, that is not a warm setup. It may not be ice for us, but that would be close for at least CNE and a nasty cold rain for us. 850's were torched so w:o looking I figured surface was too with SW flow aloft. I'd welcome a 38 Rainer over this BS this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Precipitation deficit creeping right back up. Will approach double-digits again by mid-month. #wbz Approach double digits by mid-Month? How much precip do you average in the first two weeks of November?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Approach double digits by mid-Month? How much precip do you average in the first two weeks of November?! YTD I would assume. Still trying to figure out how I got almost 2.5 to 3 inches more qpf than BOS and PVD from Jan to end of March, thats my Cocorahs and the North Foster Coops record too , I think asos missed a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 Yeah a bit more of a split flow look later this month. Definitely trying for more Nino and it should continue to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2015 Share Posted November 3, 2015 YTD I would assume. Still trying to figure out how I got almost 2.5 to 3 inches more qpf than BOS and PVD from Jan to end of March, thats my Cocorahs and the North Foster Coops record too , I think asos missed a lot Yeah but the deficits YTD are 5-6"...and if he's getting near double digits by mid-month, he's gotta accumulate another 4-5" of deficit. And I'm sure he doesn't average that much in two weeks in November. So even if it was totally dry, we may add another 1-2" to those deficits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Yeah but the deficits YTD are 5-6"...and if he's getting near double digits by mid-month, he's gotta accumulate another 4-5" of deficit. And I'm sure he doesn't average that much in two weeks in November. So even if it was totally dry, we may add another 1-2" to those deficits?He was talking about BOS. You know how everything is always Boscentric. They are a -8 YTD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 BOS down roughly 20% in annual qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Boston is always low. A constant donut hole for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Boston is always low. A constant donut hole for years.love how much qpf they missed measuring this winter and no one batted an eye. The amount of weather data collection in this country filled with inaccuracies is glaringly unacceptable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 I'm sorry, that is not a warm setup. It may not be ice for us, but that would be close for at least CNE and a nasty cold rain for us. Hypothetical... But, that sort of scenario almost always would verify colder in the lowest levels right out below the 925 mbar that's one hell of an ageo signature there. Is Southeast can could lay on a snowpack prior lookout. I'm just happy to have anything like that on the charts given his telecon spread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 love how much qpf they missed measuring this winter and no one batted an eye. The amount of weather data collection in this country filled with inaccuracies is glaringly unacceptable. Well I mean just regular qpf. They always seem lower than anyone else around them. I don't know why. I find it hard to believe it's coincidence, but I can't prove it. Just a bit of a head scratcher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 He was talking about BOS. You know how everything is always Boscentric. They are a -8 YTD Ahh my bad, thought you wrote the text. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 love how much qpf they missed measuring this winter and no one batted an eye. The amount of weather data collection in this country filled with inaccuracies is glaringly unacceptable. Its definitely low on liquid...undercatch without a doubt. A more sheltered area probably doubled the liquid in some of those storms. 20 years from now some folks on a weather board will argue about the ratios during that whole time period. The data says one thing, reality might say another? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Its definitely low on liquid...undercatch without a doubt. A more sheltered area probably doubled the liquid in some of those storms. 20 years from now some folks on a weather board will argue about the ratios during that whole time period. The data says one thing, reality might say another? just look at the w/e in March on NOHRSC, pretty obvious when nothing melted and w/e were greater than asos totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Somewhat Interesting changes on last night's Euro run days 9-10..but probably wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Somewhat Interesting changes on last night's Euro run days 9-10..but probably wrong. Nah, there is a NNE threat with that. I buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Nah, there is a NNE threat with that. I buy it. Even if that system ends up cutting, the ensembles support a period of colder weather behind it that looks like several days. Definitely a bit colder than it looked a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Even if that system ends up cutting, the ensembles support a period of colder weather behind it that looks like several days. Definitely a bit colder than it looked a couple days ago. Yeah probably a split flow look. Lower heights across CA and down south. Still some low heights over AK providing a zonal flow across Canada, although that low seems like it's slowly lifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 And actually looking closer at H5...there is troughing off the East Coast. Weak signal, but it's a more classic split flow look from lower heights in AK, troughing in CA, but more ridging or zonal flow across Canada. I wouldn't call it cold or wintry by any means..but might be more conducive for a coastal or two down the road? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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