snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Slight risk completely removed on new day 1. Marginal risk in its place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 New day 2 unchanged from previous day 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 0z Euro not sure but it looked like the tropical low was around St. Louis at hour 120 but after that don't know where it tracked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 0z Euro not sure but it looked like the tropical low was around St. Louis at hour 120 but after that don't know where it tracked. Through northern IN/OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 0.0000000000001% chance of that happening. 00z run looks very similar lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 00z run looks very similar lol Though not anywhere near the level of that, the Euro does maintain the low in the 1000-1004 range as it rounds the bend and tracks through N IN/OH and into Lake Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Though not anywhere near the level of that, the Euro does maintain the low in the 1000-1004 range as it rounds the bend and tracks through N IN/OH and into Lake Erie. If the remnants get timed right to interact more with one of the waves moving through the northern Plains/upper Midwest, then the deeper solutions seem possible. Problem is that the timing of the remnant system is problematic to say the least. FWIW, I think the HWRF or GFDL was one of the first models to hint at the deeper solution for Ike in 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Updated 7 day QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 lol Powerball. Been a scorcher for many in the region the past 7-8 days. tav7dydev.png I wouldn't say a "scorcher", but it has certainly been warmer than average with the occasional 90*F+ days for the areas in orange. BTW, that actually supports my point. The orange areas is where much of the severe weather (and there hasn't been an awful lot) has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 This pattern is growing on me so much moisture is going to be squeezed out in the next few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Woke up to a nice downpour around 2 a.m. Started up again a couple hours ago and ditches now filling once again. 11 a.m. flight to BOS, which I would think provides plenty of cushion to get in and to a tv for game tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 I have picked up another 1.21" of rain overnight and this morning. In the current tropical atmosphere, the stronger cells really dump buckets. The latest rainfall boosts my June total to 6.50"(all in the last week). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 looks like another huge day setting up for the I80 corridor on south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 mesoanalysis showing pwats of 2" with the last round of heavy showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 looks like another huge day setting up for the I80 corridor on south Seems like areas farther north will get in on it too. I-80 south is more vulnerable though with the recent rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 NAM finally coming more in line with other guidance in slowing down the tropical remnants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Seems like areas farther north will get in on it too. I-80 south is more vulnerable though with the recent rains. yep, should be another wet day here too but the impressive totals will be south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Moderate rains under weaker returns here...gotta be buckets just south of me...which has been the case for most of the last 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Flight delayed 90 minutes. Should be just enough time to allow the next batch in here and gum things up a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 Flight delayed 90 minutes. Should be just enough time to allow the next batch in here and gum things up a bit more. heavier returns pushing through cycloneville heading right for ORD. you should have a decent window once it lifts through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 1047 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN DE KALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... EAST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 1130 AM CDT * AT 1047 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ASHTON TO 6 MILES WEST OF PAW PAW...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... PAW PAW AROUND 1055 AM CDT. SHABBONA AROUND 1105 AM CDT. WATERMAN AROUND 1110 AM CDT. SANDWICH AND HINCKLEY AROUND 1120 AM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE COMPTON...LEE AND WEST BROOKLYN. INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE... I-39 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 81 AND 91. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 heavier returns pushing through cycloneville heading right for ORD. you should have a decent window once it lifts through. Plane not in yet. Trying to determine where it is coming from. What airline was the Stanley Cup flying in on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Getting some partial clearing ahead of that Dekalb warned storm... Last radar scan...looks like i am in a decent spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 That Will county cell must be dumping. Easily could be 3-4" per hour instantaneous rates there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 Flash flood warning now for that Will county cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 That Will county cell must be dumping. Easily could be 3-4" per hour instantaneous rates there. Yeah, it has been black to my south for awhile now... Sun is shining here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 1047 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN DE KALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... EAST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 1130 AM CDT * AT 1047 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ASHTON TO 6 MILES WEST OF PAW PAW...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... PAW PAW AROUND 1055 AM CDT. SHABBONA AROUND 1105 AM CDT. WATERMAN AROUND 1110 AM CDT. SANDWICH AND HINCKLEY AROUND 1120 AM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE COMPTON...LEE AND WEST BROOKLYN. INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE... I-39 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 81 AND 91. This should pass just south of me, but the north end should pack a nice punch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 15, 2015 Author Share Posted June 15, 2015 mini bow pointed right down 88 into the city...doubt it holds together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 This should pass just south of me, but the north end should pack a nice punchThat it did. Couple nice wind gusts. Ponding occurring on my street, which drains very well. Wouldnt be surprised if some of the underpasses in Dekalb are flooded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2015 Share Posted June 15, 2015 And I bet the waterfalls in the canyons at Starved Rock State Park in LaSalle county are really roaring as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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