OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I think your WFO has the right idea on these events, Less likely to make a bazillion changes to the snowfall maps and gets the weenies in a uproar as you're stealing there snow.......................... There is some truth to that. Public perception-wise the forecast has nowhere to move but towards a bust, because that map is guaranteed to change. Even if the line between range bins shifts a couple miles we get bombarded with questions on social media and over the phone asking what changed or why the forecast was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 BUFKIT was decent. The SG zone wasn't huge in depth, but some decent lift in and around it, both at temps above and below the ideal temp zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 There is some truth to that. Public perception-wise the forecast has nowhere to move but towards a bust, because that map is guaranteed to change. Even if the line between range bins shifts a couple miles we get bombarded with questions on social media and over the phone asking what changed or why the forecast was wrong. You get some folks that throw in a weenie run of one of the models that shows the region getting 3' of snow on twitter or FB when in reality its not the case then you guys have to answer to why it did not come to fruition or when you do a map and you use a range where some area may be at 10.1" as an example so there placed in the 10-14" range but then folks wonder why they did not get the 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Lollies to 5.7? GFS/NAM say it's possible. Regardless I think that if this bumps up a bit and BOS gets 4" or so, that puts us in an excellent position to dethrone the king on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Seems like this one like the last will have some density and meat to it. Def not a fluffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Seems like this one like the last will have some density and meat to it. Def not a fluffer I don't really see that much meat. It's not a warm profile at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Nice lol at the precip into r.i. Pretty awesome on that map. Unbelievable winter some parts of r.i. are having, especially after the numerous dryslots they've had in other storms of the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Ukie pretty bullish...tries to redevelop the low south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Ukie pretty bullish...tries to redevelop the low south Crazy uncle Ukie crashing the party with gin and juice for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Crazy uncle Ukie crashing the party with gin and juice for many.Lol. You smoking endo.. Ginx sipping Tanqueray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Seems like this one like the last will have some density and meat to it. Def not a fluffer I'd argue the opposite. Took a quick look at NAM bufkit and it's a pretty cold profile, verbatim it says ~25:1 ratios(8.6" snow off of .337" QPF at BOS) which is hard to believe but it doesn't look like a dense wet snow to me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Ukie has a bottle of Seagrams Gin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Crazy uncle Ukie crashing the party with gin and juice for many. Says snoop dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I'd argue the opposite. Took a quick look at NAM bufkit and it's a pretty cold profile, verbatim it says ~25:1 ratios(8.6" snow off of .337" QPF at BOS) which is hard to believe but it doesn't look like a dense wet snow to me at all.I didn't mean wet.. I just meant dense consistency . Not the typical 15:1 we've had all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Ukie has a bottle of Seagrams Gin. Mr Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 lol at the precip into r.i. Pretty awesome on that map. Unbelievable winter some parts of r.i. are having, especially after the numerous dryslots they've had in other storms of the past. That's true. Not so much here, but certainly further north. I think I'm about 30" off a record, but the difference this winter is that most of it is still on the ground, which is pretty freakish. Midweek will put an end to that to some degree, but its been a great run, and I'll take a few inches before then gladly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 I didn't mean wet.. I just meant dense consistency . Not the typical 15:1 we've had all winter Eh I wouldn't be surprised if this is at least 15:1, it's a pretty cold profile and BUFKIT definitely suggests some possibilities for good snow growth. It's 25:1 isn't happening, but this is going to be another enhanced ratio event I think. Now Tuesday-Wednesday is when you can get your dense consistency cement on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Lol. You smoking endo.. Ginx sipping Tanqueray lol. And of course it shows a bit extra for Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 That GFS QPF map is way too cute with random nuances like elevation or shadowing etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 That GFS QPF map is way too cute with random nuances like elevation or shadowing etc. What's the ukie qpf in inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 That GFS QPF map is way too cute with random nuances like elevation or shadowing etc.I think with the upgrade and the higher resolution it actually over does those things a little bit, and with this type of Southwest flow event, I don't think elevation is that important.unless you have a codfishsnowman jack fetish, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 What's the ukie qpf in inches lol Immediate S coast is .6" rest is around .4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 What's the ukie qpf in inches lol Light green(the shade that most of SNE is in) is 10-15 mm or roughly 0.4"-0.6". Basically 1" = 25mm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Looking like we might seal the deal. Boston going for gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Ukie pretty bullish...tries to redevelop the low south I think the EURO will follow suit...perhaps a hair more reserved with regard to QPF. That is a legit trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Albany going low...I think 4-6 for my area and the berks...but they have been pretty good so far this winter, only a couple busts,i.e the blizzard. Edit: I just realized that this is ending Monday at 7am...could be more after that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Hey..I just realized I surpassed 500 posts after 7 years going back to the Eastern days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Euro looks pretty juicy. Prob solid advisory for all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Might be another blue hill jack on the euro. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Light green(the shade that most of SNE is in) is 10-15 mm or roughly 0.4"-0.6". Basically 1" = 25mm. 25.4mm to be exact.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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