jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 12z NAM rolling, out to hour 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 12z NAM rolling, out to hour 27. Keep us informed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 12z NAM rolling, out to hour 27. Did you see that the #1 CIPS analog was Jan 2005? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Keep us informed. D*ck.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 For my area, it looks like some good winds, and a lot more blown snow while looking jealously at those north. It's finicky for snow here, even in a good year. Only with a really well defined storm that takes a certain glancing blow out to sea would we ever see the highest totals, either due to mixing (not the case here) or ocean enhancement not quite reaching us, and the best bands being to our NE, and dwindling this way. Could someone shed some light for me/disabuse me of the notion that areas right next to the coast, even without mixing, tend to get depressed totals, and also explain why this is, considering the moisture is often coming from the NE, E for these noreasters once they've bombed, rather than the south. Is it just that we are in the shadow of some Ocean Effect that adds to the totals elsewhere, or is there a more basic meteorological phenomenon? Still, despite all these handicaps, and some of the models seeming to show us in a dry slot, not quite getting the comma head, I imagine we'll get a steady period of snow over a long period of time. What a great winter. actually this is in your wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Did you see that the #1 CIPS analog was Jan 2005? Wow that's awesome. Matt Noyes thinks I see 14-16" out here on the Mid to Outer Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Keep us informed. Will do, Out to hour 36, H5 low is near BUF, just east of the BUF area. Precip breaking out at hour 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Looks like that's only through 10am Sunday too. On that model storm is winding down except for outer cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Even winds gusting often over 35mph can really make a mess if the snow is low ratio stuff. If you have anything like a field near your house or a road that you frequent all that stuff can be pushed around easily into big drifts. On the coast you got to figure higher snow totals and stronger winds so it will be impactful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 12z NAM rolling, out to hour 27. We really don't need an analysis of every 3hr increment of every model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Hour 36, there is an area of strong upper level divergence associated with the front northeast quadrant of the upper level low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 D*ck.... At 36 the Surface Low is a Smidge, 5 miles, East. Trend Done? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 We really don't need an analysis of every 3hr increment of every model run. Does it really impact your day if he does do that? It's a weather board for crying out loud...what impact does it really have if he posts about it...if you don't want to see it because it's the nam then don't read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM south trend also done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM south trend also done. I don't think you have any idea what you are looking at TBH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM south trend also done. Ummm no its not, hour 42 500mb pattern shows the upper level low southwest of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I don't think you have any idea what you are looking at TBH. What does your twitter feed say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I don't think you have any idea what you are looking at TBH. well then we are no different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM south trend also done. That's not what I see... I see it a bit south, but a bit less tucked. Could get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Does it really impact your day if he does do that? It's a weather board for crying out loud...what impact does it really have if he posts about it...if you don't want to see it because it's the nam then don't read it. We've had awful analysis from some here over the last couple days and there is no need to post every minute detail of the model. Let it roll out than have at it. You have a problem with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Ummm no its not, hour 42 500mb pattern shows the upper level low southwest of NYC. nam is not an improvement over previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Back side winds on NAM look pretty good. SLP jumps east pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Nam looks similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 What does your twitter feed say? I'm thinking you are very very close to getting yourself a nice long timeout based on your behavior in here the last few days. NAM is def a bit SW and tucked in. Not a huge jump..but noticeable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Back side winds on NAM look pretty good. SLP jumps east pretty quickly you don't know what you are talking about.. you better say it looks better or you get jumped on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 What affect will the low near bermuda have? It is much more progressive than previously modeled. Can an area of low pressure cause blocking or at the least a guiding effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 We've had awful analysis from some here over the last couple days and there is no need to post every minute detail of the model. Let it roll out than have at it. You have a problem with that? No I just think people jump on james frequently... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Is this getting tugged east on the NAM by that crapsplosion out by Bermuda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Retro looks similar to 06z I still think it is a bit funky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 its just the nam folks, relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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