snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Shwing and a mish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Shwing and a mish. really not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 really not even close Only reason I'm not punting is out of respect to the EURO ensembles. But I think at the very least the abandoning of the main southern stream s/w in the desert SW is a credible solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Only reason I'm not punting is out of respect to the EURO ensembles. But I think at the very least the abandoning of the main southern stream s/w in the desert SW is a credible solution. more or less the same thinking here, as soon as the Euro capitulates to lameness, it's probably safe to punt...just too much of a thread the needle event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 GGEM: 1000 L near STL at HR 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 997 in E. Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Each one of our waves gets squashed by an amplifing ridge along the west coast, its hard not see these troughs cutting off over the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 GGEM slightly less lame but still northern stream dominated and progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 GGEM: 1000 L near STL at HR 108 just a northern stream turd, look at the 500 mb vort in the middle of the gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 It's better than 0z a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 It's better than 0z a little bit. just another 1,000 miles and you're in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Amazing all the snowfall records being broken this year given how ineffective the STJ has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Amazing all the snowfall records being broken this year given how ineffective the STJ has been. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 just a northern stream turd, look at the 500 mb vort in the middle of the gulf You have a way with words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 just a northern stream turd, look at the 500 mb vort in the middle of the gulfIt's always ****ing something in the way of getting a decently wound up storm this season. If it's not the PV from hell in Canada, it's what's in the Gulf for this system.This system looks quite impressive when it enters the west coast, then basically turns to crap as the POS in the Gulf won't allow it to dig/progress any further east. And it's in the worst possible position to hope for a phase job (the POS in the gulf and the system entering the west coast) so our system won't get completely ripped to shreds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 just another 1,000 miles and you're in the game You sure are posting a lot in this thread for someone who said it was going to be a non-event and a miss S/E of you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 You have a way with words. Hasn't he had wagons filled with 75"+ of turds this season when looking at storms 5 or so days out in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Minus the crap in the gulf, the setup seems very familiar to both Jan. 99 and GHD 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Minus the crap in the gulf, the setup seems very familiar to both Jan. 99 and GHD 2011. not really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 not really Not temp-wise obviously (it's mid-March). But at 500mb, yes. Even had a GGEM run or two before showing a solution like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 not really Yeah...not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 still a couple decent 12z GEFS members but the ranks of the lame are swelling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Euro still looks solid. 996 L in S. IL at HR 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Euro came north a bit...looking good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 7, 2014 Author Share Posted March 7, 2014 Minus the crap in the gulf, the setup seems very familiar to both Jan. 99 and GHD 2011. not really Yeah...not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Good sign regarding the Euro but it would be even better if it can keep this general solution over the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Here's the maps from 1999 and 2011 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1999/us0102.php http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2011/us0201.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Euro came north a bit...looking good.. The current 12z ECMWF says that there will be a 994mb low in Kentucky with heavy precip. 850mb temps go below freezing in northern Ohio and Indiana. I wonder if this storm will slam Indy-Toledo-Cleveland (yet again) with snow. (18z March 12 to 06z March 13th.) Since it is March, I won't count on any particular model solution this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 18z GFS cutting low from central KS towards PAH (1002mb). Not a lot of precip in the cold sector. Actually not much in the warm sector either. Central and northern IN into OH, extreme southern MI stand the best chance on this run to get snow. ...some snow in IL south of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 18z GFS cutting low from central KS towards PAH (1002mb). Not a lot of precip in the cold sector. Actually not much in the warm sector either. Central and northern IN into OH, extreme southern MI stand the best chance on this run to get snow. ...some snow in IL south of I-80. 12Z Euro and Latest GFS very similar in projected path. Won't have model consensus until Monday/Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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