user13 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 People can't compare what happened with the last storm to this by the way because the PNA will be positive versus negative and there's actually a storm versus more of a sheared wave. Not just the last one i can name about 5 this year where it had way over amped runs to cave...it actully did really well on only one where the gfs was out to lunch the entire storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 This is going to be a MECS on this run for areas just NW of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Very rainy run through hour 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 990 over central VA 06z tuesday snowing from nyc-north at this hr...sne/northern pa/upstate ny curshed this run so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Hour 138 low over Central Virginia. Heavy pouring snow I-80 and points north. Rain NYC south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Very rainy run through hour 138. Only for the coast and CNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Freezing line crashing towards the coast at 138 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Hour 144 CCB overhead, temps crashing, sub 988mb low tucked in right over the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Looks like we get a nice rainstorm, looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 hr 144 988 hugging the nj coast..huge hit for areas of nw jersey into sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 sub 988 Virginia 138 snow north of Sound and I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Looks like a great run for I-81 and the spine of the Apps from C PA north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Wow,what a huge storm on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 100+ hours away.. by the time tuesday comes.. it will be a totally different scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 986 inside the bm....looks like slop for the coast and huge hit for nw areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 7, 2014 Author Share Posted March 7, 2014 Hour 138 low over Central Virginia. Heavy pouring snow I-80 and points north. Rain NYC south and east. with a low in central VA and a strong high in southeast canada ( the reason the Euro has to run the storm south of us ) areas north of route 70 will be mainly snow - maybe a mix at the start - same as the GFS except a much stronger storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 144...984 east ACY R/S. line ..near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 South trend has begun....hopefully it stops sooner than the last one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 This is a big storm on the Euro. A little more east and this would be a HECS for the coast. SNE and Inland areas get crushed. The coast gets a lot of slop and then snow at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 This is feet of snow for the Lower Hudson Valley, Upstate NY and PA into New England. The coast flips over half way through the storm. NNJ is somewhere in between. Mostly frozen north of I-80. Sub 984mb just east of Cape Cod hour 150. Good wrap around moisture too. Kind of reminds me of 2/25/10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 The coast is going to change over way before the Euro currently shows if that exact scenario unfolded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 150 wraparound snow to coast and storm exiting east of BM near 982 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 This is a big storm on the Euro. A little more east and this would be a HECS for the coast. SNE and Inland areas get crushed. The coast gets a lot of slop and then snow at the end. This is a HECS, maybe not for NYC, but the east coast contains more than NYC. Euro snow maps show 12-15" from Western PA to Maine at 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 snow maps 2-4 for the coast and 12+ from ALB-north 4-8 northern nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 hr 144 988 hugging the nj coast..huge hit for areas of nw jersey into sne Rain/snow line on this run sounds like exactly where one would expect it from a climo perspective in mid-March. Sure everything will change by early next week but sounds good for us NW NJ folks for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 This is feet of snow for the Lower Hudson Valley, Upstate NY and PA into New England. The coast flips over half way through the storm. NNJ is somewhere in between. Mostly frozen north of I-80. Sub 984mb just east of Cape Cod hour 150. Good wrap around moisture too. Kind of reminds me of 2/25/10? If the storm swung into Boston and did a loop over us than yes...otherwise no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 The coast is going to change over way before the Euro currently shows if that exact scenario unfolded Agreed, you have a bombing dynamic system. How anyone could not root for this outcome at H5 similar to this is puzzling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 If the storm swung into Boston and did a loop over us than yes...otherwise no Why not? This looks like the classic case of 6" in the valley and 24" in Hewitt. H5 has similarities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 This is actually a rare case that if we had a -NAO this storm would end up going more inland...12/25/02 was another example of a storm hurt by a -NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 snow maps 2-4 for the coast and 12+ from ALB-north 4-8 northern nj KNYC HR 132 850`s Minus 1 surface 34 HR 138 - and HR 144 the 0 is line at 850 through NYC and its 33 at the surface . Soooooooooooo close and since it`s Day 5 please behave everyone , its great to track this . Regardless of outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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