Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Not giving up on it but not getting that excited over it. Especially what potentially could be cooking for the weekend that looks to be alot bigger I think we said the same thing last week....let the super bowl storm be rain so we can get something bigger mid week lol. Before you know it we'll be looking to March for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Exactly, I don't think the Southeast would have had an easier time from a direct hit from a storm like Sandy. What also made it more difficult up here was the cold weather and snow which came immediately after, and the millions of people with no power or heat. And the surge, which caused the most damage, is a unique threat to this region. South Florida for example has a very steep offshore slope and even Andrew brought surge less high than Sandy brought us. I guess his point was to those that deal with hurricanes all the time down south it would still make us look like wimps because they don't understand our geography and how different the impact is up here as opposed to the gulf coast or Florida. With that being said I think we do get that even a couple inches of snow can wreak havoc in the south because they're not used to it. What I can't understand is how people had to spend the night snowed in at schools etc for 3". That part to me was mindboggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Day 9 system still on the 12z GFS and near the NC coast at hour 228 with heavy snow over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 IF the current model guidance is correct the storm following Feb 4-5 is almost a layup. Increasing heights near Greenland, confluent flow and a fresh high pressure over New England, a broad southern stream trough ejecting from the Southwest US, and the Feb 4/5 storm transitionally near the 50/50 position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 IF the current model guidance is correct the storm following Feb 4-5 is almost a layup. Increasing heights near Greenland, confluent flow and a fresh high pressure over New England, a broad southern stream trough ejecting from the Southwest US, and the Feb 4/5 storm transitionally near the 50/50 position. I could see this jackpotting the DC area and sliding mostly to our east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 IF the current model guidance is correct the storm following Feb 4-5 is almost a layup. Increasing heights near Greenland, confluent flow and a fresh high pressure over New England, a broad southern stream trough ejecting from the Southwest US, and the Feb 4/5 storm transitionally near the 50/50 position. Nice. Exciting week and a half ahead... If there's been one thing we have not lacked this winter --- it's the fun of tracking events! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 12z GFS still has our storm for next weekend. Looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 IF the current model guidance is correct the storm following Feb 4-5 is almost a layup. Increasing heights near Greenland, confluent flow and a fresh high pressure over New England, a broad southern stream trough ejecting from the Southwest US, and the Feb 4/5 storm transitionally near the 50/50 position. Looking VERY tasty to say the least to deliver a blizzard from DC-BOSTON that may make a run for the books! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The Polar Vortex looks to be making another appearance around the 12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Looking VERY tasty to say the least to deliver a blizzard from DC-BOSTON that may make a run for the books! Dude, you really need to cool your pipes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The GFS is gorgeous. Non stop storm chances and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Dude, you really need to cool your pipes.. I'm starting to think he is the more intimate version/brother of Mikehobbyist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Dude, you really need to cool your pipes.. Haha i am cool, just excited for a nice threat that would be widespread. Looks pretty good especially with what the mid week system would do to aid the weekend storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 This needs to be watched. A little more energy in the short wave and this will dig. The other storm is right on its heels so it will be interesting to see how it will play out. If not there will be a lot of gulf moisture waiting around to be tapped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm starting to think he is the more intimate version/brother of Mikehobbyist. LOL biggest difference is im not making grand slam calls for day after tommorow cold and NESIS 5+ BECS storms. Just excited for a single system being forecasted for next weekend. Atleast give me that im not as outlandish my friend haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Haha i am cool, just excited for a nice threat that would be widespread. Looks pretty good especially with what the mid week system would do to aid the weekend stormI love the enthusiam, just like I was. But so much can go wrong and poof its gone. Its just to far out my friend to start whailing on the air horns..I am excited its on the maps and would love to see another 96' type storm. Lets just hope it sticks at this pointEdit.. if this is still on its way come next tuesday night, I will seriously start to get a woody..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 I love the enthusiam, just like I was. But so much can go wrong and poof its gone. Its just to far out my friend to start whailing on the air horns..I am excited its on the maps and would love to see another 96' type storm. Lets just hope it sticks at this point Your absolutely correct and im not totally sold on this systems certainty. Just more excited that it shows more promise for a widespread snowstorm over what may transpire with the mid week system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 12z GGEM has fairly widespread 50's on Sunday afternoon. That should help to kill the remaining snow packs if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 12z GGEM has fairly widespread 50's on Sunday afternoon. That should help to kill the remaining snow packs if it verifies. By Monday it's snowing again as it has that first wave farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 12z GGEM is a light snow event for Monday morning. Precip makes it just north of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Having the 5th system more amped might be a helping agent in the next system as the 2/5 event will help to suppress the baroclinic zone. The result is what the models have been showing as of recently. An overrunning event to rain (2/5) and then another possible event right after. Not worried about the 2/5 event cutting at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 By Monday it's snowing again as it has that first wave farther north. Yes I was just posting that too, but it's very light at this range. Bears watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Few inches into CNJ Monday as per Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Your absolutely correct and im not totally sold on this systems certainty. Just more excited that it shows more promise for a widespread snowstorm over what may transpire with the mid week system. Yea, I wanna see the wed. Event turn into the 50/50 block to help the weekend gig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 LOL biggest difference is im not making grand slam calls for day after tommorow cold and NESIS 5+ BECS storms. Just excited for a single system being forecasted for next weekend. Atleast give me that im not as outlandish my friend haha Nah, you don't make the same dogmatic mentality as him when it comes to forecasting storms. You bring a lot of encouragement into these threads with is very positive, regardless. By the way, you have started up with those "winks" again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 IF the current model guidance is correct the storm following Feb 4-5 is almost a layup. Increasing heights near Greenland, confluent flow and a fresh high pressure over New England, a broad southern stream trough ejecting from the Southwest US, and the Feb 4/5 storm transitionally near the 50/50 position. More like a slam dunk. A classical and almost textbook setup for a major storm around here, which could really benefit the D.C. and Baltimore area even more so than us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 More like a slam dunk. A classical and almost textbook setup for a major storm around here, which could really benefit the D.C. and Baltimore area even more so than us. the 4/5 storm affecting DC more than us or the following one? 4/5 looks too warm to bring snow further down south, but for the following storm id agree with your statement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Nah, you don't make the same dogmatic mentality as him when it comes to forecasting storms. You bring a lot of encouragement into these threads with is very positive, regardless. By the way, you have started up with those "winks" again. You gotta bring life into these forums. Ive been a mainstay on vwvortex.com as i have a show car and humor and enthusiasm works wonders. And yes i "by accident" started with the again and some people in here think im trying to start mating season in here or something haha. Back to the weekend threat that "im over excited for". John posted that wednesday storm IF modeled correctly would be in 50/50 position which would aid the 2/8 storm, that coupled with higher heights toward greenland and also a favorable PV positions. The models seem to liking that period as well with what the GFS/EURO have been showing. I do expect to see the EURO start working in its bias and holding back energy so i wont jump off a cliff when i see that periodically. Is there a chance it could go poof? Of course, thats why getting these storms that can make a run at the big dogs on the NESIS scale are so hard to get, the checklist for it to happen is much bigger. One thing than opened my eyes today when paul said and i quote "if there is a storm to go all in on its this one" really meant alot being that hes been pretty spot on this winter and is unbiased. I am taking anything away from john though as he is damn good at what he does as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 The only thing that could go wrong with the 8th is that the split flow could merge early to the point that we get a cutter, but with the block in place and the PV over SE Canada, the chances of a cutter is little to none. So I think it's best that we watch February 6th for any good consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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