Wmsptwx Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Lol the New England threads have some great entertainment in them. Some dudes mad he received 1 inch instead of like 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Mag thanks for your thoughts on the upcoming weather. Was looking at the model discussion and it looks right now they prefer the Canadian because it is a blend of what the other models are showing. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdhmd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 The models are really starting to show a nice snow event Tuesday for the lsv. The euro is the driest model right now. D.C might end up being in a good spot, it would be nice to see them get a good snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Lol the New England threads have some great entertainment in them. Some dudes mad he received 1 inch instead of like 3. Oh you bet. Dudes nutz up there, and they probably aren't enjoying the game right now either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 The models are really starting to show a nice snow event Tuesday for the lsv. The euro is the driest model right now. D.C might end up being in a good spot, it would be nice to see them get a good snow as well. 18z shows what could possibly be a 1-3/2-5 event for just about everybody in the region with exception to State College - Williamsport. It would be nice to get the LSV another good event and even the areas just west of the LSV - places like Mifflin/Snyder/Juniata/Perry counties - places that have gotten some but have gotten fringed a good bit, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Yea I'd like to see HBG and west do well. Lancaster has done well and we had a nice event but Hburg has gotten fringed by everybody!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Up in the beautiful north country in Mansfield having successfully dropped off my 19 year-old son for the beginning of his first semester away from home. There's only about 2" of snow up here at the most which was a bit surprising. Glad we did this today and not 2 days from now when highs will be in the single digits with 10 below wind chills. It was bad enough today with 30 degrees and 20 mph winds! We are staying the night since part of the orientation is also for parents. Return late tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'm rooting for DC Tuesday. They seriously due for a snowstorm, they've had horrendous winters recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looking at a nice 3-6" event over the southern part of the region. DC crowd maybe over 5". SREFS just did the dirty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Screw em. Red Sox renewed their "No bitching about lost championships" clause for a fresh 5 years. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 1.4" today, 29.7 for the season. Likely break 30" tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Screw em. Red Sox renewed their "No bitching about lost championships" clause for a fresh 5 years. New England should have nada to b*tch about, period, whether snow or sports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 LOL New England has nothing to complain about they took what should have been an 8-8 team to the AFC Championship game!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The 00z gfs and rgem look great for a snowstorm. Lets hope the euro follows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The 00z gfs and rgem look great for a snowstorm. Lets hope the euro follows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS is even getting a little interesting for us, it seems... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'm surprised CTP hasn't at least entertained mentioning this potential Tuesday system in the disco today. 21z SREF plumes have at least advisory criteria mean snowfall for places like Harrisburg, York and Lancaster (and thats after I axed out some of the really high outliers). Some of those high outliers are in excess of 20-30 inches. I want what the SREFs are having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'm surprised CTP hasn't at least entertained mentioning this potential Tuesday system in the disco today. 21z SREF plumes have at least advisory criteria mean snowfall for places like Harrisburg, York and Lancaster (and thats after I axed out some of the really high outliers). Some of those high outliers are in excess of 20-30 inches. I want what the SREFs are having. GFS/RGEM and SREFS show warning snows over southern counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 MAG - any chance this north trend continues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Best browsing around the forums and watching this potential all evening. Latest model runs looking like a nice little storm for us SCers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Any rough timeframe for the potential event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Any rough timeframe for the potential event? Tuesday all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 MAG - any chance this north trend continues? Perhaps, but I think the ceiling on how far north the good accumulating snows might reach could be about the I-80 corridor with the focus of heaviest near and below the turnpike. Likely going to depend on the positioning of the arctic boundary that this wave will be running along. It's progged to be a very cold storm, with the GFS for example having 850 temps between -10 to -15C for most of PA below I-80 and less than -15C above it. Given the temp gradient there could be a narrow corridor of significant accumulations where we match up the best forcing and precip. We still got at least a cycle of so of models left to hash this out, this wave had only really started to appear on models since early Sunday morning. Should be interesting, I mentioned this pattern about a week ago and how these types of lighter and moderate sized events might not show up on models until the short range or early mid range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Ollie Williams has the forecast for ya'll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Well, who knows, maybe UNV-area will get a 2/5/10-type surprise (with less snow ofc). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The qpf trends have been insane so far. Euro will be telling. Anywhere from 2 to 12 inches is on the table for south central. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS/RGEM and SREFS show warning snows over southern counties. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 435 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014 ...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY... .A FAST MOVING BUT POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW TO SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SIX INCHES OR MORE OF ACCUMULATION ALONG THE MARYLAND BORDER AND INTO THE HARRISBURG METRO AREA. PAZ033>036-057-059-063>066-201945- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0001.140121T0900Z-140122T0300Z/ SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS- YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG... CHAMBERSBURG...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE... GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 435 AM EST MON JAN 20 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO HEAVY SNOW. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...TEENS AND LOWER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/CTP OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 lol @ SREF, 10.93" at LNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 lol @ SREF, 10.93" at LNS GFS shows 6-9" over southern tier. NWS going all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Wrong map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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