I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I'll take a foot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 First call, final call later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Likely outcome how tomorrow plays out. MAG reports snow first out in his place. Us north guys get slightly excited thinking its a little north. Yorkpa25 complains saying he cannot understand why they have a warning. It snows 1.4 inches in Port Matilda, Jamie says he's pleased for extra snow before cold. Harrisburg reports light snow, never really picks up and they get an inch or two. Meanwhile a death band develops over southern York and lancaster counties and yorkpa25 complains snow is too wet lol. I 83 is big winner in the end. ha.....but you forgot sauss's scanner updates and mapgirl being run out of the Mid-Atlantic forum and taking refuge here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Likely outcome how tomorrow plays out. MAG reports snow first out in his place. Us north guys get slightly excited thinking its a little north. Yorkpa25 complains saying he cannot understand why they have a warning. It snows 1.4 inches in Port Matilda, Jamie says he's pleased for extra snow before cold. Harrisburg reports light snow, never really picks up and they get an inch or two. Meanwhile a death band develops over southern York and lancaster counties and yorkpa25 complains snow is too wet lol. I 83 is big winner in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The main difference between the Euro and GFS solutions seems to be in the initial conditions. The shortwave currently over the Dakotas has a slightly stronger temperature gradient at 850 mb in the Euro depiction vs. the GFS. This allows the wave to deepen a bit more and sharpen the 500 mb trough resulting in a farther south development of the surface low. The surface low is also weaker on the Euro because the 500 mb vorticity is less consolidated and in a less favorable position relative the 850 mb temperature advection couplet. Either way though, it looks like UNV and north is unlikely to see any significant snowfall accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 One thing for sure, it won't be fun getting 1-2 while the NYC crowd gets a big one yet again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Likely outcome how tomorrow plays out. MAG reports snow first out in his place. Us north guys get slightly excited thinking its a little north. Yorkpa25 complains saying he cannot understand why they have a warning. It snows 1.4 inches in Port Matilda, Jamie says he's pleased for extra snow before cold. Harrisburg reports light snow, never really picks up and they get an inch or two. Meanwhile a death band develops over southern York and lancaster counties and yorkpa25 complains snow is too wet lol. I 83 is big winner in the end. +1 ha.....but you forgot sauss's scanner updates and mapgirl being run out of the Mid-Atlantic forum and taking refuge here. +2 my largest event so far has been 4.3" from January 2nd-3rd. It would be nice to beat that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 CRAS has been all over this one. Think this is its once every few years storm. Liking the trends for this area again. Almost looks like the same sweet spots from the earlier storms this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Honestly PSUHaz, we probably see nothing. The north end of these deals tends to dry out to the point where precip. barely falls. But, you are right, NYC looks to get smoked again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 4k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Honestly PSUHaz, we probably see nothing. The north end of these deals tends to dry out to the point where precip. barely falls. But, you are right, NYC looks to get smoked again. Yep, that will give them two big events for the season, and it looks like they'll have more snow for the season than us soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 ^^^ nam map... to my very untrained eyes, that looks like it ticked North a little more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Honestly PSUHaz, we probably see nothing. The north end of these deals tends to dry out to the point where precip. barely falls. But, you are right, NYC looks to get smoked again. Likely outcome how tomorrow plays out. MAG reports snow first out in his place. Us north guys get slightly excited thinking its a little north. Yorkpa25 complains saying he cannot understand why they have a warning. It snows 1.4 inches in Port Matilda, Jamie says he's pleased for extra snow before cold. Harrisburg reports light snow, never really picks up and they get an inch or two. Meanwhile a death band develops over southern York and lancaster counties and yorkpa25 complains snow is too wet lol. I 83 is big winner in the end. You forgot Wmsptwx overdoes the dry air factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hahahaha touche Jamie!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 One thing for sure, it won't be fun getting 1-2 while the NYC crowd gets a big one yet again... Amount of 6" or more snowfalls this year so far: UNV: 1 NYC: 1 So, it looks like they will have us 2-1 after this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Hahahaha touche Jamie!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Near 50 today.. 0 with -20 windchill tomorrow night with 5-9" on the ground. lol good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Which also means Wmsptwx forgot the part where I complain about how NYC gets every big event... But seriously, every winter since 2008-09 has featured I-95 getting nailed by a big event while we're watching tiny dustflakes fall under broken cloud cover...no one in that region should be complaining. Let's face it, the days of a big one for everybody (Christmas 2002, PD2, 93, 96, etc) are gone. It's either you land in the best snowfalls or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Near 50 today.. 0 with -20 windchill tomorrow night with 5-9" on the ground. lol good stuff. This is just like Denver weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I agree PSU, honestly this will probably be a crusher for the southern tier(which I'm fine with) but NYC weenies getting it does make me a little ill. But hey, if no snow means it won't get quite as cold here than please no snow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 But seriously, every winter since 2008-09 has featured I-95 getting nailed by a big event while we're watching tiny dustflakes fall under broken cloud cover...no one in that region should be complaining. Let's face it, the days of a big one for everybody (Christmas 2002, PD2, 93, 96, etc) are gone. It's either you land in the best snowfalls or bust. OMG IT WILL NEVER SNOW AGAIN !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 OMG IT WILL NEVER SNOW AGAIN !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The Euro has not been doing well in this northern stream dominated winter, with regards to H5 placements and surface reflections. The last arctic boundary-defined storm was picked up well by the American suite, while the Euro took until 12-24 hours out until it caved. As they say, "trend is your friend", and the trends are going north with the best omega. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Which also means Wmsptwx forgot the part where I complain about how NYC gets every big event... But seriously, every winter since 2008-09 has featured I-95 getting nailed by a big event while we're watching tiny dustflakes fall under broken cloud cover...no one in that region should be complaining. Let's face it, the days of a big one for everybody (Christmas 2002, PD2, 93, 96, etc) are gone. It's either you land in the best snowfalls or bust. i learned a long time ago," there is never a never and never an always" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The gfs looks great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 What did I do now wmsptwx? Hope it comes further northwest so everybody gets a nice snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 likewise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Lol I'm just playing with ya brother! I used to be you basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Which also means Wmsptwx forgot the part where I complain about how NYC gets every big event... But seriously, every winter since 2008-09 has featured I-95 getting nailed by a big event while we're watching tiny dustflakes fall under broken cloud cover...no one in that region should be complaining. For warning criteria snow, 6'+, UNV and NYC are tied over that timeframe, 8-to-8. So, yeah, NYC can't complain. Really, we don't have much to complain about either. But some of us make it abundantly clear that it's not about getting snow, it's about whining and finding anything that can go wrong, and let's not beat around the bush....it's reflective of something about that person that's ****ed up beyond just the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 OMG IT WILL NEVER SNOW AGAIN !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Well, you did post several years ago that you'd never see another 4" snowfall again. So, you know, reap what you sow and all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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