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Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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Weighing heavily on this although the ensembles and control do show something noteworthy. Its mid march next weekn why would we want to be hoping for snowstorms after yesterdays awesome day in the 60's?

Because different folks dig different things, I'd say. I'm not sure why some are so bent on making everybody fall on the same page wrt rooting on the warm season.

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We will see another snowstorm early next week, the pna and MJO favor it, it's happening.

 

Quite possible. First it was the mid atlantic, now areas inland and New England. Next will be us.

Yeah this winter is on it's last leg. Let's start tracking thunderstorms!

Winter for me ends middle April.

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Guest Pamela

Technically, the 5 boroughs and Long Island have a subtropical climate according to the Koppen classification.

 

People sometimes ask me why I continue to post here...my reply is rather concise & laconic...I just find it thoroughly impossible to permit flat out misrepresentation of reality to go unchallenged. 

 

I'm well acquainted with the Koppen Classification System having studied climatology in college.  The Koppen system is predicated upon a series of thresholds...number of months the mean temperature in a certain location exceeds a certain level, number of months the mean temperature falls below a certain level, and so on.  With regards to humid vs arid, precip thresholds are likewise the criteria of choice. 

 

When the quoted poster states that "the 5 boroughs and Long Island" have a "sub-tropical" climate per the climate system...he says so with a know-it all brashness intended to quash debate from here on in;  he has cited an arcane and not particularly well known climate system (not particularly well known here as the emphasis here is on meteorology rather than climatology...though, of course, professional climatologists are very familiar with Koppen)...and since it is unfamiliar to most, few will be willing or able to argue the contrary...they will simply accept what has been stated as incontrovertible truth.

 

If one were to go strictly by the numbers (and I believe the latest Koppen Charts are based on 1981-2010 data)...it is indeed true that La Guardia Airport...because of the exceptional urban heat island effect that badly distorts their climatological record...does manage to fall just under the outer threshold of the so called sub tropical climate...the remarkably high means recorded at LGA have pushed NYC into the same climate zone that Houston, Texas is designated under.  Not too many people would reasonably argue that the climates of Houston & NYC are similar...but when you allow distorted & unrepresentative data as is recorded at LGA into the climate datatbase...this is the result.

 

The quoted poster's lumping of poor Long Island into the mix are either a result of a steady drumbeat of north & west of the city training since childhood, a misreading of the maps (the sub -tropical classification is generally only around the immediate NYC environs), or simply looking at some less than carefully drawn maps...which, like so many isothermal profiles one sees on so-called "national weather maps"...we simply draw the isotherms in a north / south orientation as we approach the East Coast because of all that hot water sitting offshore...in this case...the sub-tropical zone is drawn the same way...straight up the coast. 

 

The temperature statistics from the (few) reliable Long Island stations place the area in what I have always deemed a modified continental climate (warm summer, short & moderately cold winter)....

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People sometimes ask me why I continue to post here...my reply is rather concise & laconic...I just find it thoroughly impossible to permit flat out misrepresentation of reality to go unchallenged. 

 

I'm well acquainted with the Koppen Classification System having studied climatology in college.  The Koppen system is predicated upon a series of thresholds...number of months the mean temperature in a certain location exceeds a certain level, number of months the mean temperature falls below a certain level, and so on.  With regards to humid vs arid, precip thresholds are likewise the criteria of choice. 

 

When the quoted poster states that "the 5 boroughs and Long Island" have a "sub-tropical" climate per the climate system...he says so with a know-it all brashness intended to quash debate from here on in;  he has cited an arcane and not particularly well known climate system (not particularly well known here as the emphasis here is on meteorology rather than climatology...though, of course, professional climatologists are very familiar with Koppen)...and since it is unfamiliar to most, few will be willing or able to argue the contrary...they will simply accept what has been stated as incontrovertible truth.

 

If one were to go strictly by the numbers (and I believe the latest Koppen Charts are based on 1981-2010 data)...it is indeed true that La Guardia Airport...because of the exceptional urban heat island effect that badly distorts their climatological record...does manage to fall just under the outer threshold of the so called sub tropical climate...the remarkably high means recorded at LGA have pushed NYC into the same climate zone that Houston, Texas is designated under.  Not too many people would reasonably argue that the climates of Houston & NYC are similar...but when you allow distorted & unrepresentative data as is recorded at LGA into the climate datatbase...this is the result.

 

The quoted poster's lumping of poor Long Island into the mix are either a result of a steady drumbeat of north & west of the city training since childhood, a misreading of the maps (the sub -tropical classification is generally only around the immediate NYC environs), or simply looking at some less than carefully drawn maps...which, like so many isothermal profiles one sees on so-called "national weather maps"...we simply draw the isotherms in a north / south orientation as we approach the East Coast because of all that hot water sitting offshore...in this case...the sub-tropical zone is drawn the same way...straight up the coast. 

 

The temperature statistics from the (few) reliable Long Island stations place the area in what I have always deemed a modified continental climate (warm summer, short & moderately cold winter)....

wow

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People sometimes ask me why I continue to post here...my reply is rather concise & laconic...I just find it thoroughly impossible to permit flat out misrepresentation of reality to go unchallenged. 

 

I'm well acquainted with the Koppen Classification System having studied climatology in college.  The Koppen system is predicated upon a series of thresholds...number of months the mean temperature in a certain location exceeds a certain level, number of months the mean temperature falls below a certain level, and so on.  With regards to humid vs arid, precip thresholds are likewise the criteria of choice. 

 

When the quoted poster states that "the 5 boroughs and Long Island" have a "sub-tropical" climate per the climate system...he says so with a know-it all brashness intended to quash debate from here on in;  he has cited an arcane and not particularly well known climate system (not particularly well known here as the emphasis here is on meteorology rather than climatology...though, of course, professional climatologists are very familiar with Koppen)...and since it is unfamiliar to most, few will be willing or able to argue the contrary...they will simply accept what has been stated as incontrovertible truth.

 

If one were to go strictly by the numbers (and I believe the latest Koppen Charts are based on 1981-2010 data)...it is indeed true that La Guardia Airport...because of the exceptional urban heat island effect that badly distorts their climatological record...does manage to fall just under the outer threshold of the so called sub tropical climate...the remarkably high means recorded at LGA have pushed NYC into the same climate zone that Houston, Texas is designated under.  Not too many people would reasonably argue that the climates of Houston & NYC are similar...but when you allow distorted & unrepresentative data as is recorded at LGA into the climate datatbase...this is the result.

 

The quoted poster's lumping of poor Long Island into the mix are either a result of a steady drumbeat of north & west of the city training since childhood, a misreading of the maps (the sub -tropical classification is generally only around the immediate NYC environs), or simply looking at some less than carefully drawn maps...which, like so many isothermal profiles one sees on so-called "national weather maps"...we simply draw the isotherms in a north / south orientation as we approach the East Coast because of all that hot water sitting offshore...in this case...the sub-tropical zone is drawn the same way...straight up the coast. 

 

The temperature statistics from the (few) reliable Long Island stations place the area in what I have always deemed a modified continental climate (warm summer, short & moderately cold winter)....

In fairness Chris isn't from here so he doesn't know the micro climate of the north shore.

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In fairness Chris isn't from here so he doesn't know the micro climate of the north shore.

We are constantly talking about the north shore vs south shore climate difference on here. It was especially obvious this winter. To break it down further the hilly and wealthy areas (thus more rural) radiate much better then surrounding locations.

I would put extreme sw Nassau aka long beach in the subtropical zone

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Anybody have any ideas on how to improve this forum in time for next winter  ? It is obvious this place needs improvements since every main thread ends up turning into a pissing contest with basically the same cast of  characters involved in the nonsense every thread -  some of these threads are impossible to follow with very little moderation going on..........

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Anybody have any ideas on how to improve this forum in time for next winter ? It is obvious this place needs improvements since every main thread ends up turning into a pissing contest with basically the same cast of characters involved in the nonsense every thread - some of these threads are impossible to follow with very little moderation going on..........

Yeah all posts go in banter until a threat is under 5 days

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I agree with that one - no storm thread should be open prior to 5 days in advance - Sickman originally came up with that idea a few days ago.

So far the march 17-20 thread has remained civil but in a couple days if the threat is still alive and we have model mayhem we know it has a chance to spiral out of control

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So far the march 17-20 thread has remained civil but in a couple days if the threat is still alive and we have model mayhem we know it has a chance to spiral out of control

This one looks like snow or nothing. It only gets bad when we have snow someplace and rain in others or if NW areas get the shaft.
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So far the march 17-20 thread has remained civil but in a couple days if the threat is still alive and we have model mayhem we know it has a chance to spiral out of control

it has turned into a pissing contest between a few individuals - check out the last few posts there  - my opinion is when that happens the individuals involved in the personal attacks should be suspended till the potential storm is over

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No it gets bad when all the models but one say no and people hold on to that one model and the naysayers come in and make fun, people get offended etc.

I think it's just that some people here can't bare to see some area close by get snow and not here. So people downplay those storms as non events. That pisses people like me off. It portrays arrogance.
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Guest Pamela

Just wondering where sub-tropic climate ends in the NE.

 

IMO the proper place to start it would be right around Salisbury, Maryland on the Delmarva Peninsula...draw a line down oh about halfway between DC & Richmond...then maybe over towards Nashville.  All places above the 1000' elevation contour in the Southern Appalachians could not be considered sub tropical...they would have to be specially designated for altitude and probably thrown in with the humid continental group. 

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We are constantly talking about the north shore vs south shore climate difference on here. It was especially obvious this winter. To break it down further the hilly and wealthy areas (thus more rural) radiate much better then surrounding locations.

I would put extreme sw Nassau aka long beach in the subtropical zone

No way-none of us have a subtropical climate. Would you honestly say that anywhere near Long Island has a similar climate to places like New Orleans or even the VA Tidewater, where palm trees grow naturally? Those areas are considered subtropical too. Tropical is south of Tampa, FL.

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