Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 yeah we should start to clear soon it seems.. but i'd still be surprised not to see the northern end of the mod trimmed. Yeah. We will probably be fringed would be my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Dulles dp down to 61. DCA still dropping for now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Dulles dp down to 61. DCA still dropping for now too. lol...wow 61 sucks. Well at least I got a relaxing day off work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 78 and sunny in Harrisburg, Pa. ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 KDCA RAP BUFKIT forecast sounding for 19Z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 STW till 7pm... hail to 2 inches and winds to 70 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 not often we're in a box that covers tennessee as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 955 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013 0943 AM WATER SPOUT 3 ENE BAY RIDGE 06/13/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 interesting it doesnt cover most of the new mod risk area either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 interesting it doesnt cover most of the new mod risk area either Prob a watch down there later this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Interesting shape for a watch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Weird probs... low across the board but mod for both hail categories? PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE DISCUSSION...ORGANIZED LINE OF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY EAST ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SUSTAINED BY MODEST LARGE SCALE SUPPORT AND INCREASING INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SCNTRL VA. PRIMARILY UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN LINEAR STRUCTURE TO THE LINE WITH BOWING/ACCELERATING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND DAMAGE. SOME LOCALIZED TORNADO THREAT MAY EVOLVE WERE CONVECTION INTERACTS WITH THE RESIDUAL BOUNDARY ACROSS VA...OR MORE ORGANIZED SMALL SCALE BOWING SEGMENTS DEVELOP MESOVORTICES/BOW-HEAD CIRCULATIONS. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0306.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 this morning's line really got its act together when it moved offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Could be close for DC unless more stuff forms on the northern end of that stuff in WV. If nothing else forms it'll slip south I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Frederick Co. just out of the watch. I am happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Weird probs... low across the board but mod for both hail categories? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0306.html Surprised about the wind probs especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Well I think any meaningful storm will form just south of DC I think they put us under the watch just because of what they have been saying all week and the Federal Gov. had liberal leave. It;s been hyped like crazy. I think you get what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Weird probs... low across the board but mod for both hail categories? PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE DISCUSSION...ORGANIZED LINE OF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY EAST ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SUSTAINED BY MODEST LARGE SCALE SUPPORT AND INCREASING INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SCNTRL VA. PRIMARILY UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN LINEAR STRUCTURE TO THE LINE WITH BOWING/ACCELERATING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND DAMAGE. SOME LOCALIZED TORNADO THREAT MAY EVOLVE WERE CONVECTION INTERACTS WITH THE RESIDUAL BOUNDARY ACROSS VA...OR MORE ORGANIZED SMALL SCALE BOWING SEGMENTS DEVELOP MESOVORTICES/BOW-HEAD CIRCULATIONS. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0306.html slight risk here we come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 slight risk here we come SPC has been hit with lots of downgrades the last few days. I hate severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Most overhyped threats ever?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I'm changing my hopes - I now just want awesome lightning to look at. No longer care about the severe criteria today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 SPC has been hit with lots of downgrades the last few days. I hate severe. t'storms are probably the trickiest weather phenom to accurately forecast in advance with specificity maybe they'll hold it, but those are uber low probabilities even in most watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 oof.. cya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Heavier rain right now than from the line this morning... Might be the beginning of one of your supercells? loljk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 oof.. cya Its even South of DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I'm changing my hopes - I now just want awesome lightning to look at. No longer care about the severe criteria today. 90% of the area would not see severe criteria even if it does verify. What exactly are you expecting to personally experience? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Its even South of DT not sure what that circle on the meso discussion meant .. it doesnt even match the new mod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Definitely the start of some thinning of clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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