When will the Twin Lakes Snow Cam melt?

[Geos]

Wow, down to just over 2 feet now. 

[BowMeHunter]

need the dew point to finally rise out of the 30's these next two days with at least some sun and wind to finish it off to patches by the 1st.

[The_Global_Warmer]

Wow.  Like an inch per hour.

[weatherbo]

Wow, down to just over 2 feet now.

still tho, 2 feet in late April.... It's more than most people see on the ground ever.

[BowMeHunter]

contaminated.. but point taken.

[weatherbo]

contaminated.. but point taken.

for sure... it isn't powder or anything enjoyable, just pretty amazing.

[Geos]

Well melting continues. Starting to see bare ground near the house/cabin.

 

[Jonger]

My guess might be in jeopardy.... If it cools down this week, I might make it past the 10th.

[Jonger]

Cools off quite a bit after tomorrow.... Should make it to the 6th at least.

[Geos]

Cools off quite a bit after tomorrow.... Should make it to the 6th at least.

 

I'm thinking a few several days before May 9th (my guess date).

[The_Global_Warmer]

It's going to be really hard for much to be left in 48 hours. 

 

 

DP's have risen into the mid to upper 40s up there and are expected to pop into the mid 50s to low 60s tomorrow.

[Geos]

Snow forecasted at the end of the week though...

A torch tomorrow though.

 

[A-L-E-K]

won't make it to May 8th, might as well finish the winter with one last bust

[A-L-E-K]

also, lol @ these people

 

 

[cyclone77]

For comparison sake, here's what it looked like just 6 days ago on the 23rd...

 

[The_Global_Warmer]

also, lol @ these people

 

it's easy to get caught up in the moment when we were in the middle of record blocking and a favorable Pacific.  Also what will be record April NA snow cover. 

 

 

I have done a lot of recent research on solar forcing because of the increasing GHG's which have nothing to do with this.  But the solar right now is so powerful.  Even if it was in the mid 30s and sunny the snow by now would be melting off pretty fast.

 

 

that thermometer is on asphalt it seems.  but it shows like 70F right now.  I would be very surprise if any snow is left by tomorrow night.

 

 

 

 

 

[MidwestChaser]

also, lol @ these people

Go big or go home. 

[Chicago Storm]

lol @ watching a snow pile melt.

[MidwestChaser]

lol @ watching a snow pile melt.

 

We are 

[Jonger]

It will easily make it to the weekend... Much beyond that is in doubt.

[Jonger]

If it survives tomorrow, all picks after May 1st till the 10th are safe... The 10th till the 20th crowd is in serious danger, probably will require some additional snowfall to keep it alive (assuming it doesn't melt out first). If it melts out, that's the end of the contest regardless of what comes later.

 

 

[BowMeHunter]

it's easy to get caught up in the moment when we were in the middle of record blocking and a favorable Pacific.  Also what will be record April NA snow cover. 

 

 

I have done a lot of recent research on solar forcing because of the increasing GHG's which have nothing to do with this.  But the solar right now is so powerful.  Even if it was in the mid 30s and sunny the snow by now would be melting off pretty fast.

 

 

that thermometer is on asphalt it seems.  but it shows like 70F right now.  I would be very surprise if any snow is left by tomorrow night.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

That's a  $5.99 hardware store thermometer that bakes in the sun all day from morning until sunset.  No way it was 70 or that snow would have taken even more of a beating today by the mid-august sun strength.  Tons of snow in the woods yet that is protected some by the sun..  Frosty had no chance in his location and he'll  likely be surrounded by only patches of snow left on the morning of the 1st like I predicted if tonight and tomorrow are as torchy as thought by NWS.

 

Should be all gone by the end of the weekend or Monday when it warms back up some on Sunday/Monday.

[The_Global_Warmer]

If it survives tomorrow, all picks after May 1st till the 10th are safe... The 10th till the 20th crowd is in serious danger, probably will require some additional snowfall to keep it alive (assuming it doesn't melt out first). If it melts out, that's the end of the contest regardless of what comes later.

 

 

Snow.jpg

 

 

Only if another foot or two falls.

 

Clouds, rain, light snow and near 40F for highs will still melt it all out.

 

tonight gfs and nam both drop another foot of snow.  That might help hold out until the 5th or so.

 

but if that doesn't materialize the remaining patches of snow won't last just because its mid 30s to low 40s and light rain or snow.

 

EDIT:  If May 1st is the goal that counts for all of May 1st to 10th then yeah I would say it would last up to May 4th-6th.

[Geos]

[Jonger]

When is this possible? There will be patches left after today, but without anything fresh... It's toast by Sunday.

[Geos]

When is this possible? There will be patches left after today, but without anything fresh... It's toast by Sunday.

 

That was in the next 75 hours after the 0z runs last night.

[daddylonglegs]

Its toast...the 1st thru 10th will win..

 

where do i collect my $500?

[Jonger]

Its toast...the 1st thru 10th will win..

 

where do i collect my $500?

The prize is a bottle of melted yooper snow.

[ORH_wxman]

This dude's snowstick is protected from the scorching sun angle:

[MN Transplant]

Love this thread.

 

One of my favorite webcams from way northeast Minnesota:  http://www.wunderground.com/webcams/RickJo/1/show.html

 

Check out the table on the 19th, and then the 28th.  Love the yardstick that just falls over.