Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 3/1/06 has been on the analogs for a couple of runs for the 15th/16th, total south of Pike 5-10er http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/pns/MAR2_2006.txt Man but March 58 is everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 This 12z UKMET solution is a prelude to a big deal ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 Nice writeup if anyone is interested. http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/mwr/086/mwr-086-03-0109.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 I know a lot of people who will lose it if it snows again I just grin People will soon realize March is not a Spring month in SNE. It just isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 balmy 43F for a high today 52.0F here for the high Tooooorrrcchhh!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 52.0F here for the high Tooooorrrcchhh!!! Yeah it was toasty up here today, hit 60 on my thermometer (which faces south) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 People will soon realize March is not a Spring month in SNE. It just isn't. CFS weeklies are cold as far out as they go 4/5/13, some will lose it. I even saw here some boys crying for their mommas yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 CFS weeklies are cold as far out as they go 4/5/13, some will lose it. I even saw here some boys crying for their mommas yesterday Those poor poor golfers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 Those poor poor golfers rock hard greens biting winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 rock hard greens biting winds Come hell or high water (snow depth?) I will get on the course by April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 Come hell or high water (snow depth?) I will get on the course by April. you too? LOL thats three Mainers that said the exact same thing today. Man the Euro Ens are sending a cold signal for an Ens run post day 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Euro ensembles are balls cold at D7-10 for an ensemble mean at March 16-19. -12 to -14C 850s for St. Pattys day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 you too? LOL thats three Mainers that said the exact same thing today. Man the Euro Ens are sending a cold signal for an Ens run post day 4. Maybe I can sneak out while the fairways are still frozen and before they turn into mud. I mean this is to be expected, since we were spoiled last season. Sweating it out in shorts and a t-shirt in mid March. We want to get partial memberships at the local course this year, so fully expecting an April snow bomb to shut play down for a couple weeks too while we're at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 Maybe I can sneak out while the fairways are still frozen and before they turn into mud. I mean this is to be expected, since we were spoiled last season. Sweating it out in shorts and a t-shirt in mid March. We want to get partial memberships at the local course this year, so fully expecting an April snow bomb to shut play down for a couple weeks too while we're at it. its definetly not last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Pretty setup here on GFS day 7, nice wave entering the CONUS and cold air straddled over the East. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=18ℑ=gfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_168_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 its definetly not last year Heavy, heavy dose of reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Is the snow threrat next weekend legit? It looks like the clipper passes south of us..and threatens DC..but we know how that tends to work..Seems like it's a pretty real miller b threat next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 I gotta say..today was a brutal torch..Congrats Tip on that call..even though you called for it on Sunday..i mean it hit 51 here..totally shocked me. I thought the snowcover would help keep things cooler in the low 40's. In the sun it must have been 70 as folks were laying out tanning on tops of snowbanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Is the snow threrat next weekend legit? It looks like the clipper passes south of us..and threatens DC..but we know how that tends to work..Seems like it's a pretty real miller b threat next weekend There might not be enough for room for it to amplify...but in late season events, you always have to watch out as they can do it on fairly short notice...right now, the modeled vortex over SE Canada is a little too suppressive. Reminds me of Mar 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 I gotta say..today was a brutal torch..Congrats Tip on that call..even though you called for it on Sunday..i mean it hit 51 here..totally shocked me. I thought the snowcover would help keep things cooler in the low 40's. In the sun it must have been 70 as folks were laying out tanning on tops of snowbanks At least the low dews and light wind kept it less disastrous than it would have been. We had a dewpiint of liek 15F with no wind all afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 I gotta say..today was a brutal torch..Congrats Tip on that call..even though you called for it on Sunday..i mean it hit 51 here..totally shocked me. I thought the snowcover would help keep things cooler in the low 40's. In the sun it must have been 70 as folks were laying out tanning on tops of snowbanks Watch how fast it drops at sundown tonight, dews are very low and no wind. You guys will radiate like a mofo then heat up tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 There might not be enough for room for it to amplify...but in late season events, you always have to watch out as they can do it on fairly short notice...right now, the modeled vortex over SE Canada is a little too suppressive. Reminds me of Mar 2006. lOl did you see my post, south of pike special 3/1/06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 At least the low dews and light wind kept it less disastrous than it would have been. We had a dewpiint of liek 15F with no wind all afternoon. In the shady spots the pines and evergreens and even some deciduous trees still have some snow on them..so you know this was just a sun torch. i bet it's the same up there too. If we had no snowcover today BDL would have probably hit 68-70 lol.. Super adiabatic environment. Still surprising to me though. Monday night and Tuesday are gonna do a # on our pack..We could lose like a foot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Watch how fast it drops at sundown tonight, dews are very low and no wind. You guys will radiate like a mofo then heat up tomorrow Radiate? lol not here..It was 28 this morning..I'd expect similiar tonight..and with onshore winds tomorrow ..i could see tomorrow being cooler than today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 In the shady spots the pines and evergreens and even some deciduous trees still have some snow on them..so you know this was just a sun torch. i bet it's the same up there too. If we had no snowcover today BDL would have probably hit 68-70 lol.. Super adiabatic environment. Still surprising to me though. Monday night and Tuesday are gonna do a # on our pack..We could lose like a foot lol Check out the pics in Ginx's thread...I took those at like 2pm...notice how the pavement has like no water on it from melting. I think there was more sublimation than melting today...though the south facing roofs and slops with dirty snow are the places that took a beating. Around the residential neighborhood, it really wasn't that much of an onslaught. We melted 100x quicker in January when we had that 40/40 fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Check out the pics in Ginx's thread...I took those at like 2pm...notice how the pavement has like no water on it from melting. I think there was more sublimation than melting today...though the south facing roofs and slops with dirty snow are the places that took a beating. Around the residential neighborhood, it really wasn't that much of an onslaught. We melted 100x quicker in January when we had that 40/40 fog. Yeah I was out all over town this afternoon and the Green area bathed in full sunlight was taking a beating..but as soon as you get back into the hoods with trees and houses..just massive banks and massive snow. Plus the freeze/thaw cycle will help it even more against the onslaught the next 3 days..Wish we could FF to Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Yeah I was out all over town this afternoon and the Green area bathed in full sunlight was taking a beating..but as soon as you get back into the hoods with trees and houses..just massive banks and massive snow. Plus the freeze/thaw cycle will help it even more against the onslaught the next 3 days..Wish we could FF to Wednesday It will get attacked and torched the next 3 days...but once down to about 10-12 inches its going to have a hard time getting dented further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 It will get attacked and torched the next 3 days...but once down to about 10-12 inches its going to have a hard time getting dented further. What a winter for the snowpack fetish folks like you and me. I remember we joked about 70-71 winter in the fall ..This may rival that. Only a few days of no pack since Dec 24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2013 Author Share Posted March 9, 2013 Radiate? lol not here..It was 28 this morning..I'd expect similiar tonight..and with onshore winds tomorrow ..i could see tomorrow being cooler than today Yea radiate you just dropped 8 degrees at sundown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Yea radiate you just dropped 8 degrees at sundown This is a night where 500- -600 feet down the hill from me will be 17-18 tomorrow morning and I'll be 28-29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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