IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 hr 42 light to moderate snow continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Easy now. And you guys are riding me for being pessimistic, this is just as weenie-like. I don't think it had anything to do with you being pessimistic, but rather that you were just flat out wrong saying it was torching when it was noticeably colder than the 12Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What is this? (From hour 39) That's a localized area of -10C at 850. Our ratios would really climb if that were to be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HR 45 ITS STILL SNOWING ALL THE WEAY DOWN TO PHILLY . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What is this? (From hour 39) I think thats the -10 over us because of the heavy precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What is a BECS? Biblical East Coast Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What is this? (From hour 39) being that its in the deform band its probably the -10 850 isotherm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This isn't just epic people. If this run verified, this would be a bonafied BECS. I mean, at some point, we admit we've seen so many HECS recently, that we need a new classification. This is as close to the perfect storm as we can get. MJO baby!What is a BECS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12+ from Ttn northeast this run. City area gets 18+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anybody here have a snowplow or snowblower? Looks like they will come in handy in a couple of days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Through hr 42 and still snowing, 2-4" areawide QPF. Plus you're going to get some big ratios NW where the coldest temps combine with the best banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12+ from Ttn northeast this run. City area gets 18+ When you say hour 45 what does that translate into for actual day and time?? ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Easy now. And you guys are riding me for being pessimistic, this is just as weenie-like. How so? This run is factually, one of the strongest snow runs we've ever seen. If this happened, it would "far" exceed any other snow event we've ever had in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If you sart with accumulations in NYC , put a 2 infront of it . Euro 20 PLUS SREF - close to 20 NAM 20 PLUS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Biblical East Coast Storm.Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What is this? (From hour 39) Those are -10 850 mb Temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 When you say hour 45 what does that translate into for actual day and time?? ??? hr 45 translates to 15z saturday or roughly 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z NAM is pretty...but it's overdone. I say cut the totals in half and run with your accums. So 3 in. of QPF with 10 or 12: 1 ratio = 15 in. or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hey guys I unfortunatly have a flight tomorrow out of JFK at 11am. I am so pissed off!!! I am taking American, which is apt to cancel flights even when there is not much going on. I hope to god that my flight is cancelled!! What should I expect?? American has already canceled 100 flights and rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 hr 45 translates to 15z saturday or roughly 10am Thanks Kaner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12+ from Ttn northeast this run. City area gets 18+ I don't understand this. The NAM shows everyone getting 2-4" OF QPF, almost all snow for everyone, except for maybe a couple of hours during the transfer. This is a flat-out crippling, crushing snowstorm. 18+ is conservative's conservative. The NAM dumps 30+" of snow for everyone, east Jersey and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not for nothing but the Nam,Euro,Euro ensembles and SREF show 15+ for NYC. Thats incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z NAM is pretty...but it's overdone. I say cut the totals in half and run with your accums. So 3 in. of QPF with 10 or 12: 1 ratio = 15 in. or so. Euro is the same..is that wrong too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Awesome! Thanks for checking them. JFK rides the line at 850 or so MB's from 24-30 hours but i would think it can be overcome (I dont think it would be higher than +0.2 or so anyway)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This run is literally faint-worthy. A couple of feet easily for most of us except the far west areas of the tri-state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 no words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HR 45 ITS STILL SNOWING ALL THE WEAY DOWN TO PHILLY . EPIC CCB! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just got out of an Upton briefing, said they're upping totals to 10-16 NYC and LI, blizzard watches/WS watches to become warnings, considering blizzard warning for NYC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 no words I have a few: Goodbye New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z NAM is pretty...but it's overdone. I say cut the totals in half and run with your accums. So 3 in. of QPF with 10 or 12: 1 ratio = 15 in. or so. Usually I would agree - However the SREF 2 inch Euro 2.50 - Euro ensmbles a little more than that , so the 3 on the NAM may be over by a third , mayb not half . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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