Dsnowx53 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Pretty much all of Long Island gets 24"+ on the Euro snow map via Accuweather Pro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM at hr 6 is much more amplified with the southern vort. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It's become more and more clear with time that that the true scenario was going to be a Miller A with a decaying S/W over OH. American models initially had the Miller B and then went to Miller A/B Hybrid. This is becoming all Miller A. NAM at hr 6 is much more amplified with the southern vort. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm guessing we're gonna get upgraded to warnings at around 4 for NYC? Question now is whether its blizzard warning's or WSW's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM at hr 6 is much more amplified with the southern vort. wow i said last night that the 18z nam has been known to have serious weenie runs...i thought it might happen on tonights run. lets see what happen. I definitely wouldn't be surprised. hr 9 southern stream is amped northern stream is digging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM at hr 6 is much more amplified with the southern vort. wow Wow - looks like it will be colder too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Warnings will be posted from a line PHL through Ocean County and NE. I suspect all LI will be Blizzard Warnings. I don't think NYC will meet wind criteria for blizzard. I'm guessing we're gonna get upgraded to warnings at around 4 for NYC? Question now is whether its blizzard warning's or WSW's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zynlamar Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 i said last night that the 18z nam has been known to have serious weenie runs...i thought it might happen on tonights run. lets see what happen. I definitely wouldn't be surprised. hr 9 southern stream is amped northern stream is digging the 12z NAM was a weenie run, im not to sure how much more weenie it can get :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Warnings will be posted from a line PHL through Ocean County and NE. I suspect all LI will be Blizzard Warnings. I don't think NYC will meet wind criteria for blizzard I dont think the criteria will be met ither but i still think they will post them for the city (they have done that before) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah, this NAM run looks even better than 12z. Didn't think that was possible. More digging in the northern stream, and a much stronger, consolidated southern stream vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Did that run just close off over NC? Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Warnings will be posted from a line PHL through Ocean County and NE. I suspect all LI will be Blizzard Warnings. I don't think NYC will meet wind criteria for blizzard. Aren't blizzard conditions solely visibility based now and not dependent on wind? I could use less wind here-we've had enough wind and storm damage to last a lifetime since October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Wow, this NAM run might be absolutely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 this nam look likes its gonna beast us...everything looks very amped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM is coming in even better, if that's even possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Get ready to be. Amazed with the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Did that run just close off over NC? Wow... Actually SC at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 In most cases I would be getting nervous about this system becoming too aggressive and heading NW (almost like a Sandy track), but the pattern appears to be just progressive enough to keep it from taking a hard left turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BTW the euro ens mean looks maybe a hair wetter than the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Still kicking it up a notch, which is crazy to think about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hr 18 very light snow over the area, coastal parked in eastern NC, well SW of the 12z GFS. 850 freezing line is below DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BTW the euro ens mean looks maybe a hair wetter than the op How is that even possible from an ensemble mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hr 21 .10+ frozen so far on front end for city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hr 21 and the CCB is already cranking. This run is going to be a historic storm for everyone. Philly is going to love this run as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BTW the euro ens mean looks maybe a hair wetter than the op Just insane-provides great support for a very snowy solution here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hr 21 and the CCB is already cranking. This run is going to be a historic storm for everyone. Philly is going to love this run as well. I'd watch out. This might come too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is crazy, like sonething u would see on 300hr gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If the NAM is correct people in Upstate NY and Central PA are going to be upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hr 24 looks like rain from city south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'd watch out. This might come too far west. Maybe for you but not for me. This might move the best totals west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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