Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Hr 72 gfs is way east. Light qpf for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Northern stream is weaker this run but the costal is not as amp as the euro through hr 66 if the northern stream doesnt dig deeper we arent going to wind up very wintry...it will phase too late, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 He was the best NYC on air television forecaster of the 1970's here. I believe he mostly did the 10 pm slots. He still is the best but he needs a big storm to really excel it seems these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks like it gets captured at hr 75, but way to late for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Oh yeah. It's some of the most hardcore weather porn I've seen since 09-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z GFS: SO CLOSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 if the northern stream doesnt dig deeper we arent going to wind up very wintry...it will phase too late, no? This is exactly what happens. To late for us on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 if the northern stream doesnt dig deeper we arent going to wind up very wintry...it will phase too late, no? Its the GFS who cares at this point - not reliable until wednesday 0Z. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Hr 78 light snow in area...sne gets a good amount, but nothing like euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS seems slightly colder with a less amped solution, which is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 He was the best NYC on air television forecaster of the 1970's here. I believe he mostly did the 10 pm slots. He was on at 11 PM on the channel 2 news starting in the early 70's think he did the early news too - always remember the late Jim Jensen introducing him - too bad there aren't any youtube clips of him .......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z GFS: SO CLOSE Not really. We need that southern stream vort to be phased before it hits our latitude, and for the 700/850mb lows to be cut off. The primary is still very strong, and the coastal looks like it's taking its sweet time forming. That would be a New England special and for most of us, crud or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z is very progressive with everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z JMA Look like its on board now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS seems slightly colder with a less amped solution, which is a good sign. No, an amped solution like the Euro would be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 This is exactly what happens. To late for us on this run in appears to be in response to the trough out west, on the 12Z run it digs deeper which in turn pumps up the heights just east of the rockies. This allows the shortwave coming east over the GL's to dig deeper and be sharper... so now we rely on the digging trough out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z is very progressive with everything Isn't it always though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 He still is the best but he needs a big storm to really excel it seems these days. i have audio tape of his live coverage of the blizzard of 78 on ch.2...... they had day-long live coverage. back then he made no secret of his love of snow. now he just seems bored by any storm, no matter how big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 No, an amped solution like the Euro would be colder. Exactly, so if this run is colder than the 12z and less amped, i take it as a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Exactly, so if this run is colder than the 12z and less amped, i take it as a good sign dont think so...the only way we are getting a significant snow is if this wraps up in the mid levels which would likely require a much more amped system. less amped, like the GFS woudl have us at 38 and rain with no way to get us cooled down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z gfs still very close to something very big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 He was on at 11 PM on the channel 2 news starting in the early 70's think he did the early news too - always remember the late Jim Jensen introducing him - too bad there aren't any youtube clips of him .......... He did a great job with the Hurricane Belle forecast from on the Saturday evening broadcast. I have a lot of respect for those 70's guys with the primitive computer models during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I see this becoming a SNE Special. Anyone south of CNJ/NYC/LI may very well end up hating this storm to the core, for snow lovers that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Exactly, so if this run is colder than the 12z and less amped, i take it as a good sign No, thats the wort thing we could have happen I'd rather have a rainstorm if its an epic storm to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS seems slightly colder with a less amped solution, which is a good sign. We want more amped and a quick phase. If the phase is delayed, we essentially get a glorified frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Got to hope for another Boxing Day turn around. Need quicker phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z gfs still very close to something very big. only counts in horseshoes and hang grenades...and this isnt that close. It doesnt phase until it gets to the Canadian Maritimes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS is in a perfect spot 4 days out , its always SE with big storms . You dont want to be in the bullseye on the gfs 4 days out , the reason being it ALWAYS CORRECTS NORTH AND WEST .... come on now , how many times do you have to see it do this . Relax , the answer is with the Euro , look at the GFS in a day ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Got to hope for another Boxing Day turn around. Need quicker phase. the northern stream had much more room to dive down....not gonna happen with a minimally positive +PNA (if even that)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Alan kasper was the only on air met/weather person who was worried about the forecast for snow changing to rain the night of 1/19/78...After watching him at 11pm and walking around in 4" of snow near midnight with heavy snow falling I knew we were going to get a big event...We got 14" before it mixed the next morning at dawn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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