Thundersnow12 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 0z NAM continues to show the dry air centered around 800-850mb and subsidence problems on the NW side of the precip. Easily seen on the DKB and MDW fcst soundings for 9z Sunday morning and well as the subsidence looking at the H7 UVV's. I'd be a bit more optimistic if I were from BMI-IKK and into nw IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 11, 2013 Author Share Posted January 11, 2013 GGEM has come around to a farther north solution. I think this is gonna be a mixed garbage event around here. Maybe we can change to snow before it ends but I'd be surprised if we get much snow. The surface front slips through early on but there is the ripping mid level southwesterly flow that should keep a warm layer aloft for much of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 We're riding the NW edge in these parts. Not expecting much here, maybe a dusting if we can manage a brief glancing blow from the wave of precip. Most likely we'll remain dry. Someone in the central IL to NW IN area could get a decent event out of this. Looks like this will be a pretty narrow corridor though. Probably gonna be a heart breaker for many on either side of that narrow swath, especially given the dismal forecast for the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 why hello 00z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 why hello 00z euro. An den? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 An den? lol..nothing too exciting - it just sorta caught me off guard for those of us to the NW. looks like maybe a band (.10-0.25" qpf) of 1-3" from you up through money man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 why hello 00z euro. You ain't kidding! Spreads snow back into eastern IA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 lol..nothing too exciting - it just sorta caught me off guard for those of us to the NW. looks like maybe a band (.10-0.25" qpf) of 1-3" from you up through money man. Haha, yeah I had to go check after your post. Like you said nothing crazy but a step in the right direction for those of us on the dry northwest side of this wave. I'd take a solid inch or so as a win with this system at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Yeah I wasn't expecting nothing different from past euro runs tonight seeing as the NAM and GFS stayed the dry course. Probably just a bogus run but a nice surprise and something to keep on eye none the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Chi-Storm getting a bit nervous... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 DVN-RFD-MKE get near .30" liquid, all snow further southeast near me gets .20"-.25" liquid, all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Chi-Storm getting a bit nervous... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Thanks much for the total qpf, TS... Now lets hope 12z doesn't go back south too much. lol, joey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 RGEM at 48hrs has a look to it like it wants to develop a pretty decent storm for a wide area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 It won't be pretty Sunday. http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcnorth/post/_/id/52090/lions-top-adjusted-strength-of-schedule-list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Thanks much for the total qpf, TS... Now lets hope 12z doesn't go back south too much. lol, joey. No problem man. I was surprised to see the jump north so we'll see. Anything to get it to look like winter. After I golf saturday morning of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 RGEM has some decent moisture with it on the cold side. Could be close for STL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 It won't be pretty Sunday. http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcnorth/post/_/id/52090/lions-top-adjusted-strength-of-schedule-list lol Put up the $$$. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Yeah I wasn't expecting nothing different from past euro runs tonight seeing as the NAM and GFS stayed the dry course. Probably just a bogus run but a nice surprise and something to keep on eye none the less. Definitely a bogus run, only one GFS Ensemble looks like it. Ain't happening, we'll enjoy our colder and dry air coming back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Definitely a bogus run, only one GFS Ensemble looks like it. Ain't happening, we'll enjoy our colder and dry air coming back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 FWIW 6Z NAM dry as a bone.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 00z euro ens starting to pick up on a stronger system as well tracking a bit further to the nw. Throws some snow to Chicago and as far nw as MKE. While not as far nw as the 00z OP run they are further nw of the 12z ens mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 00z euro ens starting to pick up on a stronger system as well tracking a bit further to the nw. Throws some snow to Chicago and as far nw as MKE. While not as far nw as the 00z OP run they are further nw of the 12z ens mean. Good news. 6z NAM looks to be the southern outlier right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 non event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 So let's see, 6z GFS = just under 0.3" of freezing rain, NAM is just slightly wetter but all snow. I'll take the NAM please. It would be my largest snow of the year and increase my yearly total by 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 So let's see, 6z GFS = just under 0.3" of freezing rain, NAM is just slightly wetter but all snow. I'll take the NAM please. It would be my largest snow of the year and increase my yearly total by 50%. Lol..this winter is unreal. I wanted to shoot myself, not literally, after reading GRR discussion. Their discussions are often depressing for snow lovers, but it was all the same junk. Warm air during the "storm" Saturday night will cause a mix....not enough moisture when the cold air comes for LES... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 If the 12z Euro still has SE WI in the bulls eye I might become a bit more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Yawn Frisbee golf and Kayaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 06z RGEM FWIW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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