stormtracker Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Imma let that one slide, don't feel like getting into it tonight, too tired. New advisory, still at 75mph, NE 960mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I once again get left out on most of the precipitation, but get a long period of strong and cold NW winds all the way up to 84hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 FWIW, I am starting to get interested in this idea of a changeover. I know, I know call me crazy. BUT ... several hi-res models are advertising this though and the GFS and EURO have both been occasionally flirting with the idea along I 81 and south of CHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Doesn't this run of the NAM show like 6" of snow for DC? Looks like surface temps are 32-34 for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Doesn't this run of the NAM show like 6" of snow for DC? Looks like surface temps are 32-34 for quite some time. in model space...but i wouldn't bet on it in reality space Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Not sure why so many are that skeptical of snow. Heavy precip, 850's below freezing, surface temps in the 30's. I don't think it's all that far fetched. Maybe not in DC but out here with a little elevation I could see it happening. Of course, with the way things are going, I guess we're going to have to wait another day to really know what this thing is going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Doesn't this run of the NAM show like 6" of snow for DC? Looks like surface temps are 32-34 for quite some time. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 in model space...but i wouldn't bet on it in reality space So in fantasy yes... darn reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 No snow snow & more snow looks like a snowstorm to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Doesn't this run of the NAM show like 6" of snow for DC? Looks like surface temps are 32-34 for quite some time. You're the best troll ever. 850 temps say barely above freezing, surface temps will be 40+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM went pretty dry for down here compared to earlier runs...half as much as 12z and 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 In DC it's about 1".. 2-4 west. Cut that in half an divide by zero and you've got the answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 In DC it's about 1".. 2-4 west. Cut that in half an divide by zero and you've got the answer. WTF, Is that really snow from the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 In DC it's about 1".. 2-4 west. Cut that in half an divide by zero and you've got the answer. infinite snow.....that's even crazier than zero snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 In DC it's about 1".. 2-4 west. Cut that in half an divide by zero and you've got the answer. It would be kind of funny though, yet ironic... 5-10 inches of rain, power is out from high winds.. and Mother Nature leaves us a parting gift of snow as she leaves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 infinite snow.....that's even crazier than zero snow Snow that never ends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 In DC it's about 1".. 2-4 west. Cut that in half an divide by zero and you've got the answer. Think you might mean multiply by zero, not divide. That would give us an infinite amount! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 It would be kind of funny though, yet ironic... 5-10 inches of rain, power is out from high winds.. and Mother Nature leaves us a parting gift of snow as she leaves I wouldn't be shocked but I doubt leesburg is getting 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 WTF, Is that really snow from the NAM? Yes, and it's not the first. I wouldn't put too much stock into it, but the SREFs have an inch verbatim in some parts of NOVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 FWIW, the AFM from LWX (11pm) has wind gusts listed through Tues night on it... highest wind gust forecasted that I see is 77 in Southern Baltimore, and its listed twice consecutively. EDIT: 79 and 80 consecutively in Anne Arundel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yes, and it's not the first. I wouldn't put too much stock into it, but the SREFs have an inch verbatim in some parts of NOVA. No question you still want elevation... anything east of the Apps is going to need some luck to stick past a dusting or so IMO. One question is if we'll have the precip intensity needed for more, or even that. I don't know the answer to that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I wouldn't be shocked but I doubt leesburg is getting 4" True, don is out of town. ZING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Zone forecasts in Anne Arundel, Baltimore, St. Mary's and Harford now state wind gusts up to 70 or 75 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 7.7 earthquake in British Columbia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Zone forecasts in Anne Arundel, Baltimore, St. Mary's and Harford now state wind gusts up to 70 or 75 mph I think the 60 around here is kinda conservative tho if any bump north happens maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 50mph gusts, tree damage, and heavy rain in ILM when the center is 200 plus miles away really puts Mon-tues into perspective here. Plus they won't have to deal with accum snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Well like we talked about, it will probably be a legit TS in the MA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 No question you still want elevation... anything east of the Apps is going to need some luck to stick past a dusting or so IMO. One question is if we'll have the precip intensity needed for more, or even that. I don't know the answer to that.. Yeah, elevation is gonna be important for sure ... especially East of the higher terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 GFS came back south a bit through 48. I am getting rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Into central NJ on the 0Z GFS looks like we have complete agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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