Damage In Tolland Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Everytime i make a post the Facebook icon is always first under the list of names browsing..Why ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Can't believe how long ago that was. High-end west wind events seem to have vanished since putting my anemometer on the lakefront. It was like a frigid tropical storm. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Past/2006/Oct_28-29_2006/Oct_28-29_2006.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Everytime i make a post the Facebook icon is always first under the list of names browsing..Why ? When you asked this was on my TV, LOL are you the ex? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5jijG-xb8g Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Is EWALL down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 18, 2012 Author Share Posted September 18, 2012 MOS wind numbers are extremely meh tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 MOS wind numbers are extremely meh tomorrow. It will be shocking if the NAM or GFS LLJ verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 it must be not working for me either Is EWALL down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 It will be shocking if the NAM or GFS LLJ verifies Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Looking forward to the posts of "meh" and gusts to 25-30mph tomorrow. I still have a hard time believing that stuff gets mixed down regardless. Something will happen to limit wind. Always does. LOL--like our "derecho". They let Blizz into the forecast office at BTV... going to rock and roll at the mountain tomorrow. Tuesday: Rain, mainly after noon. High near 56. Very windy, with a south wind 29 to 39 mph increasing to 39 to 49 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 85 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Tuesday Night: Rain. Low around 44. Strong and damaging winds, with a south wind 65 to 70 mph decreasing to 55 to 60 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 100 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Nice, Scott.....give us reports. Yeah...maybe Pete or Peru get breezy, but I'd bet against big winds for MPM. The SNE METAR winner will probably be in CT unless MQE pulls it out of the hat. Just going by climo for that area where MPM and Pete is, unless they get convective gusts. Maybe lots of hair blowing at 2K. I never anticipate much in the wind department. If nothing else, my siting underwhelms whatever reality might be. One good thing is that topographically, the land drops steeply to my east and SE/NE. So, the wind in that direction has a pretty clear line to my station. Might give me better readings than some other vectors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Wind gust guesses please: BDL 42 mph BDR 48 mph HVN 44 mph GON 51 mph MQE 63 mph BOS 46 mph HYA 39 mph JFK 51 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Huh? when ever a model forecasts a 5SD event, it actually verifying is always shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 when ever a model forecasts a 5SD event, it actually verifying is always shocking It verifies at 850. The problem is that it doesn't always transfer to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 It verifies at 850. The problem is that it doesn't always transfer to the surface. its a 5SD event at 950, if that comes close to verifying we are going to at least see some gusts into the 50s. Both the NAM and GFS show 55-60kts at 950 over NYC into Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 its a 5SD event at 950, if that comes close to verifying we are going to at least see some gusts into the 50s. 5SD at 950? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 when ever a model forecasts a 5SD event, it actually verifying is always shocking The 5 SDs are not at the surface and take into account climo for the period. Rarity of that type of jet is what you are looking at, does not mean you see wind at the surface that are 5SDs above climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Just depends on how much mixes down. Sometimes heart of LLJ is close to squall line where rain stabilizes boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Is EWALL down? Working for me now, wasn't a little while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 5SD at 950? Really? 60kts at 950 on the GFS is 5SD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 60kts at 950 on the GFS is 5SD Probably is. I didn't think it was that much of an SD but like I said, it's rare to have such strong winds in September outside of tropicals. I do see your point, but my guess is that low level temps will have a say as to how much mixes down vs if the 950 winds are 55 kts instead of 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 60kts at 950 on the GFS is 5SD SDs are measured down to 925 for wind, do you have a link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 I'm still not sure how the winds will be outside of convection. There is probably a reason why we don't have big winds in September, but it doesn't mean it's impossible. I'm sure will have gusts past 40 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 18, 2012 Author Share Posted September 18, 2012 Probably is. I didn't think it was that much of an SD but like I said, it's rare to have such strong winds in September outside of tropicals. I do see your point, but my guess is that low level temps will have a say as to how much mixes down vs if the 950 winds are 55 kts instead of 60. Yeah outside of a tropical system I can't think of a September analog. I think we'll have some fun tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 SDs are measured down to 925 for wind, do you have a link. Yeah that's what I saw just now, but since 950 is lower and winds are just as high, SD is at leat 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 18, 2012 Author Share Posted September 18, 2012 I'm still not sure how the winds will be outside of convection. There is probably a reason why we don't have big winds in September, but it doesn't mean it's impossible. I'm sure will have gusts past 40 for sure. Yeah sort of a weird storm since one of the reasons we don't have big winds in September is because we don't get LLJs like this in September lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Probably is. I didn't think it was that much of an SD but like I said, it's rare to have such strong winds in September outside of tropicals. I do see your point, but my guess is that low level temps will have a say as to how much mixes down vs if the 950 winds are 55 kts instead of 60. Yea climo says very unusual 1 in ten years or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Yeah outside of a tropical system I can't think of a September analog. I think we'll have some fun tomorrow. Yeah should be a good storm regardless. Tough to figure out since this is quite anomalous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Yeah sort of a weird storm since one of the reasons we don't have big winds in September is because we don't get LLJs like this in September lol. Yeah its highly unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Yeah should be a good storm regardless. Tough to figure out since this is quite anomalous. Remnant low from Ernesto was similar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 We have had a few remnant tropical lows like Hugo that gave us 40+ gusts with less of a LLJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Yeah sort of a weird storm since one of the reasons we don't have big winds in September is because we don't get LLJs like this in September lol. Kind of like we don't get big snows in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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