Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 For those of us that despise the heat, I figured one of the leaders of the frigidaire® contingent should start this thread. The previous two summer general monthly threads were started by two of the biggest warm mongers we have in this forum (one despite his preference for heat, being one of the better posters we have...the other, well...)...time to shake it up. Despite all that said above, my analog for August 2012. Mercy for most, delight for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 August will be no different than the last two months. Torch away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 While I think the heat will be more focused to the central US with less frequent pushes east with time, I wouldn't bet against one or two more episodes of 100 degree heat in Chicago and Detroit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Prob most likely won't be any noticeable differences between July and August. With the one exception of less daylight. I personally say lets bake and torch like no tomorrow and solidify this Summer in history! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Coldest August on record... ha ha ha... just kidding. Hot and dry... with ragweed for added fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Coldest August on record... ha ha ha... just kidding. Hot and dry... with ragweed for added fun. My allergies have already been bad enough this summer, I don't think I want to picture how bad they will be as we head through August and September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 I have a feeling the heat will shift west a little more with a few more, but shorter heat waves further east. Hopefully will see a more active "Ring of Fire" pattern for August for the lower lakes and OV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Hot and dry with a chance for tumbleweed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 While I think the heat will be more focused to the central US with less frequent pushes east with time, I wouldn't bet against one or two more episodes of 100 degree heat in Chicago and Detroit Weve already been the eastern fringe of the heat, note that DTW is "cooler" this month than pretty much everyone west of us at a similar or slightly further north latitude, Chicago, Milwaukee, La Crosse, Minneapolis, etc. So I say let it push even further west! And Chicagowx, no more 1936 popping up please! I cringe when I think of the all-time low-snow winter of 1936-37! Luckily this summer hasnt really been all that close to 1936 locally anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 Numbers to beat for Indianapolis this August (records since 1871). Highest average temperature 80.5º in 1936 80.1º in 1983 80.0º in 2007 79.6º in 1995 and 2010 79.4º in 1900 Highest average maximum temperature 91.1º in 1983 91.0º in 1936 90.3º in 2010 90.0º in 2007 89.4º in 1995 Highest average minimum temperature 70.2º in 1900 70.1º in 1872 70.0º in 1918 and 1936 69.9º in 2007 69.7º in 1995 Lowest total precipitation 0.37" in 2010 0.42" in 1897 0.46" in 1884 0.54" in 1889 0.61" in 1893 Most 90º+ days (since 1897) 23 days in 1983 22 days in 2007 21 days in 1936 20 days in 1995 19 days in 1947 Most 100º+ days (since 1897) 3 days in 1936 1 day in 1918 and 1988 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Numbers to beat for Indianapolis this August (records since 1871). Most 100º+ days (since 1897) 3 days in 1936 1 day in 1918 and 1988 So out of 3,534 August days, IND has had 4 total 100° days. Pretty rare air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 So out of 3,534 August days, IND has had 4 total 100° days. Pretty rare air. 5, but yeah. The way things have gone this summer, I can envision IND getting 5 of them this August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 5, but yeah. The way things have gone this summer, I can envision IND getting 5 of them this August. I meant 5, fat fingers. '36 was just unbelievably anomalous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 Hot and dry with a chance for tumbleweed. LOL... I actually DID see a couple tumbleweeds in MI this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 For those of us that despise the heat, I figured one of the leaders of the frigidaire® contingent should start this thread. The previous two summer general monthly threads were started by two of the biggest warm mongers we have in this forum (one despite his preference for heat, being one of the better posters we have...the other, well...)...time to shake it up. Despite all that said above, my analog for August 2012. Mercy for most, delight for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Color me skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Color me skeptical. You need optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Color me skeptical. The most recent guidance proves this correct. But be wary as we have seen these scenarios change on dime! Still think that west ridge will pulse east and roast us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 27, 2012 Author Share Posted July 27, 2012 You need optimism. I'm with you. Hopefully it pans out. Euro ensembles have been pretty good this summer, as they usually are no matter the time of year, and the last couple of runs have kept the real hot stuff to our west through day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Color me skeptical. Color me skeptical too. It will be cooler than it has been but I think odds still favor somewhat above average temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Color me skeptical too. It will be cooler than it has been but I think odds still favor somewhat above average temps. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 I dont claim to be an expert by any means, but just looking at the new 00z ECMWF it looks awful warm by next week, and by the end of next week. Im using the actual EC site to get this data and its showing basically a similar pattern to this last week. Am I the only one seeing this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Not only can you colr me skeptical about the upcoming "cool" pattern, You can Color Me BADD too..!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 I dont claim to be an expert by any means, but just looking at the new 00z ECMWF it looks awful warm by next week, and by the end of next week. Im using the actual EC site to get this data and its showing basically a similar pattern to this last week. Am I the only one seeing this? No you would be correct, 20C line at 850mb lifts back Northward starting Monday, GFS is much cooler but considering how persistent the pattern has been this summer I would tend to lean warmer and toward the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 This could be good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 Hey if we can stay in the mid 80s for highs it's a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 This could be good... That looks bad. In terms of having such a deep low this time of year plowing into this air mass. Violent weather possible but too early to speculate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 Coldest August on record... ha ha ha... just kidding. Hot and dry... with ragweed for added fun. I have a good feeling the departures won't be nearly as bad as they have been in July, still above normal, but I'm confident it won't be as bad. As for the ragweed, I believe rain does tend to help, so I'm hoping we're at least getting into a slightly rainier pattern. We certainly did last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 I have a good feeling the departures won't be nearly as bad as they have been in July, still above normal, but I'm confident it won't be as bad. As for the ragweed, I believe rain does tend to help, so I'm hoping we're at least getting into a slightly rainier pattern. We certainly did last week. "Knock on wood", Ragweed hasn't been a issue yet around here. But rain definitely helps mitigate the amount of its pollen floating around. Last August was wet. Ragweed wasn't too bad, but the mold spores were ridiculous. --- Edit: I believe the major heat is over with for the Lakes. Maybe some more mid to upper 90s in the next couple weeks for the western OV. This month I predicted most of the region won't be over +3°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted July 30, 2012 Share Posted July 30, 2012 I'm going against the grain. By the end of the first week of August the heat ridge will build further east and bring the hottest temps into the eastern cornbelt, OV, Lakes and Apps. I think the worst is yet to come for those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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