Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 How were the 9z SREFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 threw 33 nam is looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 How were the 9z SREFS? Precip totals. Nothing spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 How were the 9z SREFS? they bumped qpf a bit...earlier run barely had .25" to the cape...this run gets .25 to the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Through 42...pants tent rising... Look at the sim radar. Very nice! Hopefully this tucks in further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Through 42...pants tent rising... Look at the sim radar. Very nice! Hopefully this tucks in further NW. Its already NW at this timeframe from 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 This run is going to be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 nam is going to be pretty juiced up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Thanks guys. Phil it's funny I remember Don S about a month ago indicating February had some similarities to years where the Cape got whacked in a more surpressed pattern, be interesting if that worked out again minus the whacking...these are small events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Thanks guys. Phil it's funny I remember Don S about a month ago indicating February had some similarities to years where the Cape got whacked in a more surpressed pattern, be interesting if that worked out again minus the whacking...these are small events. When I revised my thoughts in eary December, I likened this to the '98-'99 and '99-'00 seasons.......the cape did relatively well in those season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Pretty big Shift NW this run, 4mb stronger then 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 nam is going to be pretty juiced up again. Looks like it's developing phantom slp's with all those pieces of energy. Best forcing looks just off of HAT looking at the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Wow on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 NAM couldn't forecast out to 12 hours yesterday accurately. I think its a good sign, at least we're not seeing a move towards less organization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 nam is really amped... the result is a cruddy BL from nearing BOS to NW RI down into E CT pts E. torched down this way. until it starts to pull E. would be a big event just NW of that line though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Holy sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 NAM is like a spring time deal with coldest areas getting precip and evapo cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I wish i could lock this run in.. Probably to amped now but who knows models have been trending this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Holy sh*t. 54 hr sim rfadar ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 This is worth losing futility for, but it's probably too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Wet snow bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 09z SREF snow probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 It is torched in se areas, even near BOS for a bit, and then would probably dynamic flip to a wet snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Is there anything on the NAM's table preventing this thing from coming more West in future runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Down to 988 mb in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Trying not to get to excited yet it would be nice if the gfs went this way though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Odd elongation to the low to the SE, makes you wonder if it's having some issues in deciding where to develop it. Not buying it unless most of the rest of the suite (Euro) comes in with a key so far NW. Could be classic NAM suck, but maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 that would be a ktol to orh to kgay special there...maybe a touch SE of that area too. it has a ton of precip over SE zones but its very mild in the BL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 A Ray jackpot (best cold, good QPF)???? Let's include coastalwx and me...and lock it in. I'm happy the EURO is not the paltry model. The GFS will come in line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yeah I think this would be good in between BOS and Gay, but nrly winds should help out as the low develops quickly. Of course, if it were to play out like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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