snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Lol is that from today or 10/30? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Canada is going to be flooded with cold air as per most models. This Pacific mess will not let it get very far into the CONUS though. I don't know if cold air = any snow in Montreal, but you will certainly be quite a bit colder most of next week than ALB or BOS. Maybe that southern stream thing can throw some moisture over our marginal cold air here midweek. welcome back well as we know, cold doesnt equal snow that is for sure. looks like another transient cool shot, nothing more, but i am encourage by late developments on the overnight models. i was more shocked at the edmonton report on the news last night. truly amazing stuff! ......this is a place where winter can start in early october, and they have a decent average of snow by now. they mentioned it was only the second time in history edmonton has gone this deep into the season. its like that across much of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 HRRR just went all CT Blizz on us. Much more impressive, accumulations for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 HRRR just went all CT Blizz on us. Much more impressive, accumulations for all. Nudity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 HRRR just went all CT Blizz on us. Much more impressive, accumulations for all. Couple weenie jackpots in CT and Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Clown Margusity's column today sounds like Snownh somehow took ahold of his laptop 3. Next week, there is a big discrepancy between the GFS and the Euro model over the snowstorm in the Northeast. The Euro shows a 6- to 12-inch snowfall along the I-90 corridor from Buffalo to Boston. It even has snow down to I-80. On the other hand, the GFS just shows a flat wave of low pressure with very little in the way of moisture getting up into the cold air. I am going with the Euro only because the Euro has been doing a good job with the snowstorms this fall. Remember, that was the model that showed the Halloween snowstorm in the Northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Clown Margusity's column today sounds like Snownh somehow took ahold of his laptop 3. Next week, there is a big discrepancy between the GFS and the Euro model over the snowstorm in the Northeast. The Euro shows a 6- to 12-inch snowfall along the I-90 corridor from Buffalo to Boston. It even has snow down to I-80. On the other hand, the GFS just shows a flat wave of low pressure with very little in the way of moisture getting up into the cold air. I am going with the Euro only because the Euro has been doing a good job with the snowstorms this fall. Remember, that was the model that showed the Halloween snowstorm in the Northeast He's on crack. It is not a 6-12" snow storm on I-90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Some nice moisture convergence and frotogenesis setting up south of the region...that could end up setting up across portions of eastern MA later this afternoon/early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 He's on crack. It is not a 6-12" snow storm on I-90. LOL..you should see the map he posted with it.. I'm telling you..Snownh took control of his PC for awhile this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 today but we can only dream!! Lol is that from today or 10/30? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Man HRRR really goes pretty aggressive still. It's all going to depend on what happens over the next 3 hrs. We better see those echoes start developing further nw. It's trying too right now. Maybe interesting for a few later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Man HRRR really goes pretty aggressive still. It's all going to depend on what happens over the next 3 hrs. We better see those echoes start developing further nw. It's trying too right now. Maybe interesting for a few later on. It seems a little too far nw now, as compared to actual echoes. I'm skeptical of the HRRR right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 HRRR just went all CT Blizz on us. Much more impressive, accumulations for all. ummmmmm. no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Man HRRR really goes pretty aggressive still. It's all going to depend on what happens over the next 3 hrs. We better see those echoes start developing further nw. It's trying too right now. Maybe interesting for a few later on. RUC is coming onboard too. There's an awful lot of dynamics at play. I just hope it comes together and doesnt' give us snow balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 ummmmmm. no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 ummmmmm. no. Maybe if you're in the butt crack of the CT River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I could see 1-2'' possible across far eastern MA and out on parts of the Cape but not sure about much of anything besides snow showers and perhaps a coating for areas further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 RUC is coming onboard too. There's an awful lot of dynamics at play. I just hope it comes together and doesnt' give us snow balls. The RUC image you posted make a little more sense keeping echoes near I-95 and points se, but would argue for some flakes or a little -SN further west too. Part of me sees some things that argue for GFS/HRRR, but I don't completely buy it. It could just blossom last minute so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Maybe if you're in the butt crack of the CT River? If the coast of NJ gets accumulation then ill believe the hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Will what do you think? You agree that GFS and HRRR might be too aggressive for central areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 It seems a little too far nw now, as compared to actual echoes. I'm skeptical of the HRRR right now. Looks dead on to me...1 with lolli's to 2 for many 20 miles away from the coast..coatings closer to water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Dewpoints just above the surface are awfully dry over our region and off to our north and given the wind direction it could be quite difficult to really get the column to moisten enough for more than just virga across many places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Dewpoints just above the surface are awfully dry over our region and off to our north and given the wind direction it could be quite difficult to really get the column to moisten enough for more than just virga across many places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Man it would be great for the cape to get a mini snow bomb tonight, they totally deserve it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Enjoy your virga...it's the only virga you got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Will what do you think? You agree that GFS and HRRR might be too aggressive for central areas? Yes. I'll be surprised if anyone gets an inch. Maybe the top of wachusett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Looks dead on to me...1 with lolli's to 2 for many 20 miles away from the coast..coatings closer to water Cloud tops are really cooling so it's developing. Gonna be close, but think the best stuff is east of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Cloud tops are really cooling so it's developing. Gonna be close, but think the best stuff is east of you. Could well be a bit east of me..but will have trouble sticking there..if it's gonna stick it will be inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 GFS ensembles are improving out west. They have the PNA going positive and that AK trough slowly pulling nw. Still strong Pacific flow into Canada, so the cold is mediocre at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Could well be a bit east of me..but will have trouble sticking there..if it's gonna stick it will be inland Well the winds are nw, so it's not like SSTs hurt. However the higher elevations will obviously be colder first. Problem is that the higher elevations may be too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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