weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Wind is ripping right now gusting to 28 out of the NW Widespread damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Canada is going to be flooded with cold air as per most models. This Pacific mess will not let it get very far into the CONUS though. I don't know if cold air = any snow in Montreal, but you will certainly be quite a bit colder most of next week than ALB or BOS. Maybe that southern stream thing can throw some moisture over our marginal cold air here midweek. well, its another in a string of endless days here i would keep an eye on that storm for next week in SNE, i think last nights euro ouput looked dubious (free maps) of course its a torch afterwards. ifs cooled off in the west finally, but only a trace of snow has fallen in edmonton this year!! oh EPO gods, where art thou? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Congrats 46 degrees,DP 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 OVC and 38 here now...off a low of 35. At least it is refreshing. Dew point 27..... Widespread damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Alright, I was suggesting it cause none of what's being posted right now is relevant to late NOV early DEC pattern change disco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Canada is going to be flooded with cold air as per most models. This Pacific mess will not let it get very far into the CONUS though. I don't know if cold air = any snow in Montreal, but you will certainly be quite a bit colder most of next week than ALB or BOS. Maybe that southern stream thing can throw some moisture over our marginal cold air here midweek. Tight gradient with the cold air next week but weds storm possibility has some of us interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Widespread damage? I will be sure to tell you when a branch falls so you can report multiple trees down to Skywarn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Alright, I was suggesting it cause none of what's being posted right now is relevant to late NOV early DEC pattern change disco Good point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I will be sure to tell you when a branch falls so you can report multiple trees down to Skywarn I actually heard reports that Cl&p has 50 crews on standby for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I will be sure to tell you when a branch falls so you can report multiple trees down to Skywarn skywarn is off today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 GFS still adverting a decent band of echoes from the Rev to Will and down through the Canal. It actually advertises this starting out in western areas first, then moving east. I'm more interested in the hang back band that sits just to the NE of Marshfield tihs evening for several hours. Need that to come SW in reality for anything more interesting. On both of the american models it forms up a little too late and all we'd see IMO is some rain mixing and changing to snow showers. That's just IMO, not being an anti-dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I actually heard reports that Cl&p has 50 crews on standby for this event That's a lie. CL&P would wait until after the event has occurred to take those steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 skywarn is off today. Thank god I won't get 10 texts at 230 in the morning telling me they are activating, god that is annoying. They should just send out warnings and damage reports, not ten thank yous and etc ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 That's a lie. CL&P would wait until after the event has occurred to take those steps. Lol I was joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Thank god I won't get 10 texts at 230 in the morning telling me they are activating, god that is annoying. They should just send out warnings and damage reports, not ten thank yous and etc ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Lol I was joking And I was playing along with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yesterday's flight back over was interesting. It was the "endless dusk" ..... I took off in Paris just after sunset and watched the red glint from the recently setting sun in the western sky all the way to Labrador ..... Paris was socked in fog and 36F. Flew over that narrow layer and the temperature jumped to 50F at 2k feet. Very mild over JFK at landing time around 6:30 PM...10C 850 and above 0C all the way to over 8K feet level. -72F was the coldest I saw at cruising altitude on the trip. Yes others watched movies, but I watched the flight data channel. skywarn is off today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Lots of dry air from 850mb on down, however. That might eat the echoes up for a while. fwiw, we had radar echoes over us most of the early morning that I would have expected to be resulting in rain, but nothing fell checking surface obs in PA and NJ vs. radar echoes says your concerns are valid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yesterday's flight back over was interesting. It was the "endless dusk" ..... I took off in Paris just after sunset and watched the red glint from the recently setting sun in the western sky all the way to Labrador ..... Paris was socked in fog and 36F. Flew over that narrow layer and the temperature jumped to 50F at 2k feet. Very mild over JFK at landing time around 6:30 PM...10C 850 and above 0C all the way to over 8K feet level. -72F was the coldest I saw at cruising altitude on the trip. Yes others watched movies, but I watched the flight data channel. I'd expect nothing less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 The cold air is just losing out on the gfs at 120.. gfs warm bias? Yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 We should probably watch that storm next week, especially those in the northern part of SNE. It's pretty far out, but looks semi interesting. Looks great to my Vermont eyes on the Euro. I think it has the potential to be one of those "out of the hat" timing events for Northern & possibly Central New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Looks great to my Vermont eyes on the Euro. I think it has the potential to be one of those "out of the hat" timing events for Northern & possibly Central New England. Meh.. freaking progressive storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 ASOUT 10 AM UPDATE...CONTINUED THE TREND OF PREV FORECASTER AND LOWER POPS FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING. SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS AS SHOWN IN 12Z SOUNDINGS AT CHH/ALB/OKX. THIS AMOUNT OF DRY AIR WILL TAKE AWHILE TO MOISTEN UP SO CONFIDENT THAT ACROSS MOST OF THE INTERIOR WILL BE DRY WITH PERHAPS A SPRINKLE. ALONG THE SOUTH COAST...THE COLUMN IS BEGINNING TO MOISTEN UP AS SHOWN IN LAPS SOUNDINGS SO HAVE LEFT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP. BELIEVE THAT THE SOUTH COAST AND CAPE/ISLAND WILL SEE THE MOST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WITH THIS STALLED OUT FRONTAL SYSTEM AS THAT REGION AS THE GREATEST LIFT. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHWARD BETWEEN 18Z- 00Z...THE COLUMN WILL MOISTEN UP INT HE INTERIOR AND WITH THE STRONG CAA BEHIND THE SYSTEM...WET SNOW IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...WITH AMOUNTS NO GREATER THAN AN INCH. TEMPS HAVE CONTINUE TO DECLINE...SO BY THE EVENING HOURS IT WILL FEEL LIKE A BRISK FALL LIKE EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 ASOUT 10 AM UPDATE...CONTINUED THE TREND OF PREV FORECASTER AND LOWER POPS FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING. SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS AS SHOWN IN 12Z SOUNDINGS AT CHH/ALB/OKX. THIS AMOUNT OF DRY AIR WILL TAKE AWHILE TO MOISTEN UP SO CONFIDENT THAT ACROSS MOST OF THE INTERIOR WILL BE DRY WITH PERHAPS A SPRINKLE. ALONG THE SOUTH COAST...THE COLUMN IS BEGINNING TO MOISTEN UP AS SHOWN IN LAPS SOUNDINGS SO HAVE LEFT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP. BELIEVE THAT THE SOUTH COAST AND CAPE/ISLAND WILL SEE THE MOST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WITH THIS STALLED OUT FRONTAL SYSTEM AS THAT REGION AS THE GREATEST LIFT. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHWARD BETWEEN 18Z- 00Z...THE COLUMN WILL MOISTEN UP INT HE INTERIOR AND WITH THE STRONG CAA BEHIND THE SYSTEM...WET SNOW IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...WITH AMOUNTS NO GREATER THAN AN INCH. TEMPS HAVE CONTINUE TO DECLINE...SO BY THE EVENING HOURS IT WILL FEEL LIKE A BRISK FALL LIKE EVENING. You and litchfield FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 You and litchfield FTL What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 What? Your calling for 1-2" no? This is saying flakes are possible.. that's it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yesterday's flight back over was interesting. It was the "endless dusk" ..... I took off in Paris just after sunset and watched the red glint from the recently setting sun in the western sky all the way to Labrador ..... Paris was socked in fog and 36F. Flew over that narrow layer and the temperature jumped to 50F at 2k feet. Very mild over JFK at landing time around 6:30 PM...10C 850 and above 0C all the way to over 8K feet level. -72F was the coldest I saw at cruising altitude on the trip. Yes others watched movies, but I watched the flight data channel. I love being on planes that give that data. System tonight still looks interesting on the NAM/HRRR/RUC but it's so close. Going to need an impressive burst to get it done, it's over 50 down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Going back to the discussion earlier regarding EPO/NAO. It does appear that perhaps the EPO/NAO have a large impact on the pattern when correlated with the PNA (Did I state this correctly?) Anyways here is what a composite of all the +EPO/-NAO/-PNA Decembers give: Here is all the +EPO/-NAO/+PNA Decembers: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Your calling for 1-2" no? This is saying flakes are possible.. that's it It's saying amounts up to an inch but no more . it says nothing about possible flakes. Your reading skills FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.