Bostonseminole Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 850 starts to shift S. at 66hr.. looks like WMA could get in some of the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 The surface low at 18z exited off the very southern tip of New Jersey... 00z its going over Philly to the south coast of L.I. Dendrite is back in the game, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Rain and 41F so far through 63 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yeah Scott, it shoul dhave some good action on the back end because this setup will actually want to promote more CCB. Defintely trying to. You can see the thicknesses crash but the precip sort of blossoms in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 A little bit early, but I'm gonna muscle it out for the 0Z's tonight.....good luck to the brothers up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Boom over the interior from 66-75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Boom over the interior from 66-72. Look at 72-75hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Nice 2-4" snowfall from BGM to ALB, or at least the high terrain between there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Boom over the interior from 66-72. And pounding snow through 75hr too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 A good bump north this run...central VT and NH back in the game...still waiting for up here in the NEK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 A little bit early, but I'm gonna muscle it out for the 0Z's tonight.....good luck to the brothers up north. Why not...lfies too short. lol Boom over the interior from 66-72. Much earlier again. Heavy rain Thursday morning, ripping snow by 00z Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Even Ray gets it decent by 72-78, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 72 doesn't look too bad at all, NAM gets everything going just in time. Perhaps the heaviest of the QPF may be exiting portions of the region but looks like the system wants to close off at 850mb too and we get some pretty decent VV's at 700mb. s/w energy at 500mb is quite potent. Would have some pretty awesome lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I feel like we say it every run, but... Congrats Socks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 looks like snow down to Boston at 72+... agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Someone can pick up a couple inches at the end in northern/northwest MA.... by 72hrs the -3C H85 line is getting to Pete and Mike in the East Slope bringing the change to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 looks like snow down to Boston at 72+... agree? It might flip to flakes at the tail end it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 66-78 hours looking great for Berkshires, southern Greens, and Monadnocks as low strengthens and thicknesses collapse southward. This could be a nice little blue snow bomb for this neck of the woods Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Good to see the timing of this more towards the night rather than during the day too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Almost 2 inches of for places QPF for places like VT NH AND ME... If even half of that is snow, then that is still major snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 69h and 72h is an amazing difference. Wow. 72 hours from now it could be ripping snow outside my window. Question though: Twisterdata maps show my surface temp somewhere around 35-36F from 72h to 75h. Is that accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 That 3-6 hr window looks fun in parts of SNE...say 00z through 05z or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 ORH area gets .3 qpf as snow I'd say from about 8pm to 12am verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 It might flip to flakes at the tail end it seems. yeah, not much moisture it seems, maybe a trace. Possibly 1" up to 128 but I'm thinking a coating on cars/grass is most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 looks like snow down to Boston at 72+... agree? Are we using the H85 0C line in this case? I've been using the -3C at 5,000ft and in that case BOS hits it at 81 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 That 3-6 hr window looks fun in parts of SNE...say 00z through 05z or so. Yeah it looks like is absolutely rips from around 00z (maybe a tad before) to 05z here. 2m temps even get to freezing at 75 hours here. That extra vorticity made it juicier overall and warmer to start, but it really let things go to town on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Someone has to post the clown map for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I would actually have a shot to see some snow towards the end as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Are we using the H85 0C line in this case? I've been using the -3C at 5,000ft and in that case BOS hits it at 81 hours. Use this for the NAM...it has better detail with 2m temps and gives every 1C at 850. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAPA_0z/etaloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Something like the NAM isn't hard to see. A low that is sort of flat with mostly rain in SNE and then changing over to snow rather quickly as the low develops quickly off to the east. The NAM does inject some srn stream juice which is helping the intensification process out, and not sure if that will be real..but the idea seems ok to me. This isn't all that far off from the 00z euro which seemed reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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