Roger Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 The hardware stores are stocking up on extra rope just for you weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 At least we have something to watch/track/ have dangerous mood swings over The option is to vacillate endlessly over minute changes is overnight low temps And leaves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 At least we have something to watch/track/ have dangerous mood swings over The option is to vacillate endlessly over minute changes is overnight low temps And leaves Better then listening to all the torch and endless summer talk.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Jma? Korean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Getting into SREF range ... there are a few members that really go to town here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Pure 3X right there, that's tough to get Mid Jan around here , oops forgot about last year already. My party is a lonely affair without funk master Jerry. I'm on board with you, Ginx. Another La Epic, perhaps extended into March (here) April up north....this early storm train is just impressive..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 At least we have something to watch/track/ have dangerous mood swings over The option is to vacillate endlessly over minute changes is overnight low temps And leaves Here's what I'd set my expectations at for this time frame...well aware of the date: Coastal plain MA/RI/CT: First flakes of the season as the storm ends...maybe the further north CP like near Ray a coating? But first flakes are a good start. Interior hills from pike southward: Flakes pretty likely, maybe even some small accumulations? Interior hills from SW NH to N ORH county to GC to Litchfield county: Getting the ground white...a realistic shot at 1-3"? I wouldn't be thinking anything like 4"+ for anyone yet or you are basically trying to set yourself for disappointment. There's a reason advisory or greater snow is a once in 20 year type event even in the high hills in October. An inch or two happens a few times per decade, but the 4"+ amounts are decidedly rare. I'd probably feel the best in the Monadnocks over to southern Greens and Taconics at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Here's what I'd set my expectations at for this time frame...well aware of the date: Coastal plain MA/RI/CT: First flakes of the season as the storm ends...maybe the further north CP like near Ray a coating? But first flakes are a good start. Interior hills from pike southward: Flakes pretty likely, maybe even some small accumulations? Interior hills from SW NH to N ORH county to GC to Litchfield county: Getting the ground white...a realistic shot at 1-3"? I wouldn't be thinking anything like 4"+ for anyone yet or you are basically trying to set yourself for disappointment. There's a reason advisory or greater snow is a once in 20 year type event even in the high hills in October. An inch or two happens a few times per decade, but the 4"+ amounts are decidedly rare. I'd probably feel the best in the Monadnocks over to southern Greens and Taconics at this point. Thanks Will... Do you have any thoughts on the second storm? or too early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Thanks Will... Do you have any thoughts on the second storm? or too early? Too early, that thing could be 200 miles offshore for all we know right now. There's obviously a chance it could have a big impact up for New England, but there is no way to really go into any useful detail about that system given its 120-132 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Tubes sledding on cafeteria trays MRG claims 12" I'm just psyched to be watching models again. For a few days at least. I have to mow my lawn this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I would rather take my chances with storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I would rather take my chances with storm 1 See I'd now rather see an absolute bomb for storm 2. At least it would be cold enough for pretty much everyone to start as snow if it did end up tracking too far inland. I want the biggie over the over-running event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 See I'd now rather see an absolute bomb for storm 2. At least it would be cold enough for pretty much everyone to start as snow if it did end up tracking too far inland. I want the biggie over the over-running event. Good for you bad for here, Although i would lock the 12Z Euro if i could right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I have to say, the SREF precip probs are pretty high for the first event... usually they are a little lower than most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Here's what I'd set my expectations at for this time frame...well aware of the date: Coastal plain MA/RI/CT: First flakes of the season as the storm ends...maybe the further north CP like near Ray a coating? But first flakes are a good start. Interior hills from pike southward: Flakes pretty likely, maybe even some small accumulations? Interior hills from SW NH to N ORH county to GC to Litchfield county: Getting the ground white...a realistic shot at 1-3"? I wouldn't be thinking anything like 4"+ for anyone yet or you are basically trying to set yourself for disappointment. There's a reason advisory or greater snow is a once in 20 year type event even in the high hills in October. An inch or two happens a few times per decade, but the 4"+ amounts are decidedly rare. I'd probably feel the best in the Monadnocks over to southern Greens and Taconics at this point. That's a good summation and agreed. I'm just hoping to see some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I have to say, the SREF precip probs are pretty high for the first event... usually they are a little lower than most guidance. Oh no...you know how to look at those?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 At least we have something to watch/track/ have dangerous mood swings over The option is to vacillate endlessly over minute changes is overnight low temps And leaves Bruchard going balls to the wall with his call. This map is just absolutely crazy to throw out day 3 on t.v...hype baby hype! WHDH 7NEWS NBC Boston Complete Local Weather & Stormforce Coverage.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Too early, that thing could be 200 miles offshore for all we know right now. There's obviously a chance it could have a big impact up for New England, but there is no way to really go into any useful detail about that system given its 120-132 hours out. Rina is projected to take a wicked nne turn soon. NHC has her going along the eastern Yuc as she turns. LEK has her turning sooner and going over Cuba. I would imagine what she does has a big impact on Storn 2 no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Oh no...you know how to look at those?? Yep learned last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Will and I had some thoughts about how this will play out. It will be interesting to see if we can get the moisture well into the poleward side of the front. These anafrontal type deals with a low developing along it can have more of an angled frontal slope and that s/w moving into the area is allowing the mid level frontogenesis to take that gradient and squeeze it pretty far into the colder air. Of course if the GFS has a say or the wave gets completely crushed than forget it, but I'm just as interested as anyone to see how it plays out..even if I miss out on any flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Oh no...you know how to look at those?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Bruchard going balls to the wall with his call. This map is just absolutely crazy to throw out day 3 on t.v...hype baby hype! I don't understand how he goes BTW on something that is rather complicated and poo-poo's something like the '08 icestorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I don't understand how he goes BTW on something that is rather complicated and poo-poo's something like the '08 icestorm. Yeah he downplayed that like crazy. His 6pm broadcast tonight was just after . Oh man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Yeah he downplayed that like crazy. His 6pm broadcast tonight was just after . Oh man. For the first snowfall of the season, thats to be expected. Probably good for ratings too. I wonder if the producer came down and was like "beef up that map a bit" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Could be a very interesting 4-6 days for you especially. Keeping expectations in check but Will's possible 1-3" seems reasonable. I just want to run naked screaming in the first flakes of the season. This is gonna be a big season here. dude you are spending WAaaY too much time over there lol ya think?lol They have made me the monster I am. Pure 3X right there, that's tough to get Mid Jan around here , oops forgot about last year already. My party is a lonely affair without funk master Jerry. Been keeping the buzz going all summer Ginx, I'll wear the lampshade first. Parrrrrtaaaaaayyy!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well, I did not see the telecast. Did he give totals? That map is pretty blah but it is 3 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 For the first snowfall of the season, thats to be expected. Probably good for ratings too. I wonder if the producer came down and was like "beef up that map a bit" lol probably. This is what gets mets bad names though...but that's another thread for another day. I'm not trying to bash him either though as he's a good met generally. Just he went a little over zealous tonight imo. I hope he's right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Well, I did not see the telecast. Did he give totals? That map is pretty blah but it is 3 days away He said above 600 feet. Didn't give amounts. But he has me starting as a mix on Thursday morning. That's colder then all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 lol probably. This is what gets mets bad names though...but that's another thread for another day. I'm not trying to bash him either though as he's a good met generally. Just he went a little over zealous tonight imo. I hope he's right though. I don't really watch TV/News Weather forecasts. There's really no point if I read what mets post here. I mean, are the TV mets going to tell me anything different than like Scott or Will? If anything the tv mets are more conservative and are crappy to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I don't really watch TV/News Weather forecasts. There's really no point if I read what mets post here. I mean, are the TV mets going to tell me anything different than like Scott or Will? If anything the tv mets are more conservative and are crappy to watch. I don't watch either...I just looked online at what they had mainly so I know what people are expecting when I go to school tomorrow haha. I agree 100% that following this forum will get me all the information that I need and more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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