SpartyOn Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 The temps really don't bug me..Its the relentless cloudy days and rainfall. The lack of sun around here has just been impressive so far. What a garbage spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 The next 7-10 days look pretty damn nice. Maybe for the Plains and far Western Great Lakes (good side of the Omega Block), though it's still far from spring/summer-like, more so fall-like. Otherwise, no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 I agree, certainly dont see any big breaks in this ongoing parade of storms for the past 4 months lol. La-Nina is the problem. I'm just hoping this year does not end up like 2009 (summer)...Last year at this time I was at the beach' it was a El-Nino year tho, make a big difference. Really do not want to think of a 2009 repeat, ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Really do not want to think of a 2009 repeat, ugh Yeah, that summer was a bag of crap, I had a grand total of 2 thunderstorm days at work out of probably 50 or 60 that summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 Yeah, that summer was a bag of crap, I had a grand total of 2 thunderstorm days at work out of probably 50 or 60 that summer. Were those two days doing our one (of three I believe) 90*F days in August? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Were those two days doing our one (of three I believe) 90*F days in August? I believe one was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 2009.. Was almost unreal. So out of the norm. I think it would be difficult to have a repeat. My memory of Summer 2009....Most of the summer featured pleasant weather..Trouble was that most of the nice Summer days took place on work days (mon-fri). It was the weekends that completely sucked they were marked by rain and cool temps ( upper 60s-low 70s) . I counted only 3 nice weekends that entire summer! Cut-off Low after Cut-off Low every single weekend. Funny because Saturdays would suck then Sunday would clear out and by Monday it was 78 and not a cloud in the sky until Fri..LOL I will say Summer 2009 was good for a couple reasons..The lack of humidity and heat caused just wonderful open window weather and easy sleeping. Also the lack of heat made many peoples gardens and lawns very lush and productive. If for some odd reason we have a quasi repeat of Summer 2009...Lets hope the rain and cool temps happen during the work week to allow just beautiful pleasant Weekends!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Wow...the high temperature today at MSP (so far) is only 38F. That's crazy for May 2, and it has to be close to the coldest high temp on record so late in the season. The normal high is 65F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Wow, widespread frost expected the next few nights. Talk about a kick in the crotch kind of spring. Trees are still just barely opening their buds. Some of the slower trees are still completely bare looking lmao. Just unbelievable. EDIT: In 7 weeks the days start getting shorter again. Just thought I'd throw that out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 What do we need to break this pattern? I can't believe this summer ends up like 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 What do we need to break this pattern? I can't believe this summer ends up like 2009. I think we get real cool after the middle of next week. NAO is tanked, AO is tanked, and the PNA looks to rage positive. Very bad signs to say the least. I would expect more 50's and 60's with very few 70 plus temps, I also doubt we see more than 2 or 3 80 degree temps. I am not sure we are going down the path of 2009 but it seems with everything occuring right now, and all the wet soils and cold in Canada, we may see a cooler than 2009 summer, just a gut feeling, but this summer has that kind of feeling. Want to break the pattern...move form Wisconsin to the sunbelt, then you laugh at these summer discussions since you would never have to worry about them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 I think we get real cool after the middle of next week. NAO is tanked, AO is tanked, and the PNA looks to rage positive. Very bad signs to say the least. I would expect more 50's and 60's with very few 70 plus temps, I also doubt we see more than 2 or 3 80 degree temps. I am not sure we are going down the path of 2009 but it seems with everything occuring right now, and all the wet soils and cold in Canada, we may see a cooler than 2009 summer, just a gut feeling, but this summer has that kind of feeling. Want to break the pattern...move form Wisconsin to the sunbelt, then you laugh at these summer discussions since you would never have to worry about them. Cooler than 2009? That's nearly impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 I gotta go with Chicago WX, next 7-10 days look progressively better. Possibly blowing off with a torch before colder weather comes again. I like a late month reversal and hot pattern to develope by late May, back off a bit in early June and come in for good around June 10th. Temps been solidly in the mid-60's/low 70's for the last week. Can't complain. What do you think in terms of severe weather for the Great Lakes in the next month or two? This is when we tend to make hay in terms of severe weather, with June, July and May being the most active tornado months in Wisconsin respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 What do you think in terms of severe weather for the Great Lakes in the next month or two? This is when we tend to make hay in terms of severe weather, with June, July and May being the most active tornado months in Wisconsin respectively. Kenosha and north = Cold rain Kenosha and south = Cash in on severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Looks like a side-swipe of some cold frontogenic rainfall tomorrow with a high stuck around 49F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Looks like a side-swipe of some cold frontogenic rainfall tomorrow with a high stuck around 49F. indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 I think we get real cool after the middle of next week. NAO is tanked, AO is tanked, and the PNA looks to rage positive. Very bad signs to say the least. I would expect more 50's and 60's with very few 70 plus temps, I also doubt we see more than 2 or 3 80 degree temps. I am not sure we are going down the path of 2009 but it seems with everything occuring right now, and all the wet soils and cold in Canada, we may see a cooler than 2009 summer, just a gut feeling, but this summer has that kind of feeling. Want to break the pattern...move form Wisconsin to the sunbelt, then you laugh at these summer discussions since you would never have to worry about them. Not a snowballs chance in hell . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 A historic write up on "Cool Mays" by William Deedler COLD MAY--SUMMER INDICATOR? ONE OF THE MORE INTERESTING (AND SOMEWHAT SURPRISING) DATA REVIEWED WAS THE COLDEST MAY DATA AND THE SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS. LAST MAY WAS INDEED IN THE TOP 20 COLDEST (IN FACT, UP UNTIL THE LAST FIVE DAYS OF MAY, THE MONTH HOVERED AROUND THE THIRD COLDEST MAY IN DETROIT, SECOND COLDEST IN FLINT AND THE COLDEST MAY IN SAGINAW). A WARM SPELL LATE IN THE MONTH RESULTED IN DETROIT "WARMING" TO THE 16TH COLDEST MAY, FLINT THE 11TH COLDEST AND SAGINAW THE 12TH COLDEST MAY. THEREFORE, THE PREVIOUS TOP 20 COLDEST MAYS IN DETROIT AND THEIR SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS WERE RESEARCHED TO SEE IF THERE WAS MUCH OF A CORRELATION BETWEEN A COLD MAY AND COOL SUMMER. AND, WHILE THE DATA SUGGESTED THERE WAS A DECENT CHANCE A COOL SUMMER WOULD FOLLOW OUR COLD MAY (OUT OF THE 20 COLDEST MAYS IN DETROIT, 16 SUBSEQUENT SUMMERS AVERAGED BELOW NORMAL), THIS CERTAINLY WAS NOT THE CASE THIS PAST SUMMER. IT MUST BE NOTED (AND ALSO MENTIONED IN THE COLDEST MAY RESEARCH) THAT A BELOW NORMAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR ANY MAY DID NOT SUGGEST A COOLER THAN NORMAL SUMMER, SINCE ONLY THE TOP 20 COLDEST MAYS WERE CHECKED. ONE ITEM, HOWEVER, NOTED IN THE MAY DATA THAT DID COME TO PASS WAS THE FOLLOWING: "THIS DATA STRONGLY SUGGESTS THAT WHEN RESEARCHING THE TOP 20 COOL MAYS ONLY, THE COOL LATE SPRING PATTERN BASICALLY TENDED TO "HANG AROUND" INTO, AT LEAST, EARLY SUMMER." AS WAS THE CASE THIS SUMMER, TEMPERATURES AVERAGED BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MID JUNE BEFORE MOTHER NATURE TURNED ON THE HEAT AND TURNED OFF THE WATER. http://www.crh.noaa...._review.php#may Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Monday, May 2nd: Hi: 60F Lo: 42F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 19MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 The 00z Euro sure did a reversal. This latest run digs a large trough in the west, bumping up an equally large warm/hot dome all the way to the lakes. There would easily be a string of 80s around here beyond day 6. We can only hope it's not just a little blip before going back to the near to below normal pattern on future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 The 00z Euro sure did a reversal. This latest run digs a large trough in the west, bumping up an equally large warm/hot dome all the way to the lakes. There would easily be a string of 80s around here beyond day 6. We can only hope it's not just a little blip before going back to the near to below normal pattern on future runs. 0z EURO ensembles show the same ridge. Let's hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 The 00z Euro sure did a reversal. This latest run digs a large trough in the west, bumping up an equally large warm/hot dome all the way to the lakes. There would easily be a string of 80s around here beyond day 6. We can only hope it's not just a little blip before going back to the near to below normal pattern on future runs. sounds awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 DTX Morning AFD spoke of this potential ridge..Lock it in. Lets hope it sticks around for more than just a couple days. Many of us really need to dry out and bake in the May Sun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 DTX Morning AFD spoke of this potential ridge..Lock it in. Lets hope it sticks around for more than just a couple days. Many of us really need to dry out and bake in the May Sun.. And thunderstorms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 3, 2011 Author Share Posted May 3, 2011 GFS also hinted at that ridge towards the end of the 7 day. GGEM showed our Omega Block continuing, with most of us safely on the bad side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 GFS also hinted at that ridge towards the end of the 7 day. GGEM showed our Omega Block continuing, with most of us safely on the bad side. The GGEM has to be the biggest buzz kill model! DTX... THE 00Z ECMWF AND OPERATIONAL GFS HAVE BEGUN TO CONVERGE ON A MORE LIKELY SOLUTION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OF THE ROCKIES APPEARING INCREASINGLY LIKELY. THOUGH THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE RIDGE AXIS IS OBVIOUSLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS STAGE...THE TREND HAS BEEN TOWARD PLACING IT NEAR OR EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI WHICH WOULD BODE WELL FOR OUR AREA. I hate the waiting game for nice weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 After today's blah day, the next five or six days look like seasonal early May weather; around 60 each day with occasional shower/t'storm chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Pretty ridiculous that the temp on new years day was higher than today's may temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0252 AM CDT TUE MAY 03 2011 VALID 061200Z - 111200Z ..DISCUSSION ON FRI/D4...MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN NWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS AS A WEAK LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS DURING THE DAY BENEATH A WEAK NWLY FLOW ALOFT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT WHILE STRONG HEATING MAY RESULT IN CONVECTION ALONG THE DRYLINE...ACTIVITY MAY NOT BE PARTICULARLY SEVERE WITH ONLY 50S DEWPOINTS AND CAPPING CONCERNS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR OVER THE MID MO/UPPER MS VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT DRIVEN BY A LOW LEVEL JET...BUT MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON THE LOCATION AND MAGNITUDE OF THE FORCING MECHANISMS. THIS PATTERN IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH DAY 5...BUT PREDICTABILITY AND OVERALL POTENTIAL DO NOT WARRANT SEVERE AREAS AT THIS TIME. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE GUIDANCE...THEY DO AGREE THAT BEGINNING ON SUN/D6...A LARGER SCALE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WRN STATES...WITH RIDGING DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS STATES. THIS WOULD PORTEND A GREATER SEVERE THREAT...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 3-4 CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE DEVELOPING FROM THE PLAINS STATES INTO THE MIDWEST BEGINNING ON MON/D7 INTO TUE/D8 AND LIKELY EXTENDING INTO D9. IF TREND IN MODEL GUIDANCE PERSISTS...SEVERE RISK AREAS WILL LIKELY BE FORTHCOMING IN SUBSEQUENT D4-8 OUTLOOKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Im gonna make the best out of the crappiest day in May I CAN EVER REMEMBER!!!! Its simple..avoid going outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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