WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Does that deal with hail or winds? Depending on the low-level lapse rate, it could indicate that storms that develop will be "elevated", i.e., not surface-based convection. It doesn't, alone, say anything about hail or winds. But steeper lapse rates (with suitable moisture available) indicate greater energy is available for storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Dews are a little dry eh? There is a wedge of dry air east of the apps. Some moisture transport is coming in from the atlantic though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 82 at CHO (it reached 83 interhour) at 2pm 77 at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Depending on the low-level lapse rate, it could indicate that storms that develop will be "elevated", i.e., not surface-based convection. It doesn't, alone, say anything about hail or winds. But steeper lapse rates (with suitable moisture available) indicate greater energy is available for storms. Okay, thank you for clarifying that. Would the greater energy make the storms more surface-based? Or is it better used as if to say storms could have more severity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 i wouldnt expect much or any hail with low topped storms and not as cold air above as the last few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 i wouldnt expect much or any hail with low topped storms and not as cold air above as the last few days I figured that, I am trying to learn what the diff between mid-level and low-level lapse rates means in regards to their being steep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 So far 84 has been the highest reading in the state so far Richmond-Hanover County, ROA, Farmville, Martinsville and Suffolk have hit the 84 mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Granted its Earl Barker, but the 12z GFS SKEW-Ts are very intriguing for tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0346.html TOR WATCH may be issued into parts of western WV over next few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0346.html TOR WATCH may be issued into parts of western WV over next few hours used somewhat liberally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Going to be an interesting evening. 76 in the burg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 12z run of the NMM model from LWX for tomorrow AM - Kenny/Ian/Yoda and BethesdaWx special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Going to be an interesting evening. 76 in the burg. Perhaps west of here - main show isn't supposed to get here (or whatevers left of it) until close to daybreak tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 used somewhat liberally! RLX is Charleston WV WFO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 If that verifies, the commute tomorrow will be horrendous. Looks like I'll be getting out the door around 5:30 to avoid the carnage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 If that verifies, the commute tomorrow will be horrendous. Looks like I'll be getting out the door around 5:30 to avoid the carnage. I imagine it'll speed up a bit... established convective lines tend to travel faster than progged by the models, but we'll see what happens when the energy finishes transferring to the southern area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 80 degrees downtown Baltimore!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 80 degrees downtown Baltimore!! I done failed. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 82 at DCA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 84F on April 4? Really? Hot spot down here imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 LOL at these low 80s. We'll be hard pressed to hit 60 tomorrow in most spots N&W of BWI and DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 80 degrees downtown Baltimore!! good luck getting home tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0346.html TOR WATCH may be issued into parts of western WV over next few hours Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 If only we were in NW Bama right now. That stuff firing out ahead of the main line looks nice to me. Also, Nashville is about to take it on the chin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I done failed. Congrats It's okay, even the pros fail every now and again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Rogue STW up in N WV and SW PA for hail to quarters and winds in excess of 60mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 It's okay, even the pros fail every now and again. these days 'overperform' 9.5 out of 10 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 these days 'overperform' 9.5 out of 10 times. Lucky me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Lucky me? i dunno. i went 10 degrees above MOS and the NWS for today on Friday night. since all we talk about is self verification these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 i dunno. i went 10 degrees above MOS and the NWS for today on Friday night. since all we talk about is self verification these days. I just had to rub it in Mark's face that he was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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