Ian Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 GFS blows. i have a short memory..which did better with jan 26, NAM or GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 its back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 the jackpot changes every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 GFS blows. i have a short memory..which did better with jan 26, NAM or GFS? they both did pretty damn well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 meh Profoundly accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Good to have Cen PA in the jackpot four days out. You know what they say about being in the jackpot four days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Could the precip field still retain that much moisture and be so suppressed simultaneously? It looks odd between hrs 72-78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pythium Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 actually gem was great had .35 mm over Elkton Md I had 18 inches in Colora Cecil County New Gem has .28 plenty cold.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pythium Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 in mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Right now there is no solution out there that has MD all snow. The GGEM is mostly rain now. The GEFS is a lot warmer than the operational. The NAM is still outside of it's deadly range and the Euro is warmer. I think the Ukie is warmer as well. Not good trends...will not be suprised if this gets worse tomorrow. SREF is horrible too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 anyone here to do a Euro pbp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Euro looks mostly snow.. Cut QPF maybe in half from 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Euro looks mostly snow.. Cut QPF maybe in half from 12z? No...much colder and still about .50 qpf of snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 No...much colder and still about .50 qpf of snow for us. go to sleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 6Z NAM looks crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 6Z NAM looks crushing Was just going to say that... 72 is beautiful and I cant wait for 78\ 78 is fantasticulamazinunbelievablperfectigreatsuperbbbbb. DC bullseye .75+ at good temps and excelent omegas (-10) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Was just going to say that... 72 is beautiful and I cant wait for 78 78 is great still snowing at 78 hrs too; look at sim/rad and 700mb RH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 78 is great still snowing at 78 hrs too; look at sim/rad and 700mb RH I know even with green returns. total seems like .75-1'' (little strip of 1''+ just south of dc on east) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 I know even with green returns. total seems like .75-1'' (little strip of 1''+ just south of dc on east) not all snow, but 85-90% of it is, at least for BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 at 66 hrs, temps at BWI are in the upper 30's and then after 72 hrs, they crash into the mid-upper 20's EDIT: I love when I get to use the words "crash" and "crush" when talking about temps and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Nam is like march 1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Nam is like march 1999 a significantly better up by BWI than that event, but pretty close for DCA/IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Trend tonight has been colder and more south putting us in bullseye. We can afford a bit more south trend but not too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Trend tonight has been colder and more south putting us in bullseye. We can afford a bit more south trend but not too much well, still a long way off and plenty of time for things to go into the shiatta', but its nice to see an array of blues over mby when the blue line is to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 well, still a long way off and plenty of time for things to go into the shiatta', but its nice to see an array of blues over mby when the blue line is to my south I'm sure well find a way to screw this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Seems like the NAM is taking that first wave further and further south each run as that wave gets closer to the NAM's wheel house of around 48 hours. Originally it was showing the wave running through upstate NY now with today's 06Z it has it coming through roughly the Mason/Dixon line. Almost makes it worth watching for those of us in NMD and SPA. If that first wave were to verify that far south I would think that may argue for the more suppressed, sheered look that some of the models are showing on the second wave coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 Looks like the 06Z GFS brings the first wave through the Mason Dixon line area. The second wave's axis of heaviest precip looks like it has slid south some with it from DC down to central VA. Also looks drier then previous runs. Not much to speak of north of the Mason/Dixon line. Looking at the 850's as they slide south I would think the best shot for a semi decent accumulation would be with Fredrick being the northern extent and DC being the southern extent then run that east to west through MD and NVa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 19, 2011 Share Posted February 19, 2011 just saw the NAM and GFS...after last night I'll hug it, love it, and book it! LWX has a 60% of rain changing to snow for me and then 30% of rain on Tuesday? What are they smoking? Would def be all snow on Tuesday if anything at all. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Annapolis&state=MD&site=LWX&textField1=39.0221&textField2=-76.4501 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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