mempho Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 IND really looks to be in a bad spot, round two is about to commence there 0.4" ice already w/limbs coming down. With a forecast of 0.5-0.9" additional ice w/wind gusts up to 35-40 mph. Absolutely brutal combination. Won't take long after the second batch arrives to start seeing major problems in that area. You're talking 1.5" total...bad but nothing epic if it weren't for the wind. I've been through three "so-called major" ice storms. Only one of them was truly horrific in that it caused the utility company to replace every power pole and caused some people to lose their homes due to structural failure. That said, there wasn't much wind during that storm. I'm wondering how you equate 1.5" with that kind of wind to 4.0" or so with maybe 5-10mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 light freezing drizzle about 20 mimnutes ago in indy. didn't last long...glazed my windshield a bit. now have a little freezing mist. main roads in indy are decent but side roads have packed sleet. Not much longer before the action will quickly pickup. Just glad not to have to worry about being on the streets, going to get ugly pretty fast I think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Generally speaking the heavy snow bands tend to weaken after it is fully occluded and before triple point cyclogenesis gets underway. So there will be a "lull" (lull here being an extremely relative term) before the next one cranks up. You're still looking at a beautiful deformation band either way. ok thanks for that helps very much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 1215 PM SNOW 4 N HOMINY 36.47N 96.39W 02/01/2011 M17.0 INCH OSAGE OK TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED AT THE PRISON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 1215 PM SNOW 4 N HOMINY 36.47N 96.39W 02/01/2011 M17.0 INCH OSAGE OK TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED AT THE PRISON. Putting them to work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 By tomorrow night some of you will have three feet of fresh powder on a level and you'll be up to Part 769 on this most excellent topic. Enjoy the snow! Shovel some for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 1215 PM SNOW 4 N HOMINY 36.47N 96.39W 02/01/2011 M17.0 INCH OSAGE OK TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED AT THE PRISON. Wow, Don't drop the soap man.... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 It's definitely looking like that could very well come to pass. Yeah. Maybe south of Indy get spared a little? Seems the surface temps are rising and moving north a bit. Going to be close. Indy on north...eh. Wind driven sleet here right now, still a few strays as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Wow, Don't drop the soap man.... LOL oh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Not much longer before the action will quickly pickup. Just glad not to have to worry about being on the streets, going to get ugly pretty fast I think.. Im wondering if we get more sleet then freezing rain in Boone and Hamilton Counties? If its ZR good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah. Maybe south of Indy get spared a little? Seems the surface temps are rising and moving north a bit. Going to be close. Indy on north...eh. Wind driven sleet here right now, still a few strays as well. I've been at 19 degrees all day long! Winds are beginning to pick up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Temperatureshere have been falling started at 27 and now 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 1215 PM SNOW 4 N HOMINY 36.47N 96.39W 02/01/2011 M17.0 INCH OSAGE OK TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED AT THE PRISON. But wait. I thought dscullom was in Des Plaines? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Look at that convective looking precip across northern OH on the periphery of the pcpn shield. Convective enhancement might offset some of the loss snow from the more aggressive dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snow has definitely begun in earnest now. Wind already whipping it around pretty good, even in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 I've been at 19 degrees all day long! Winds are beginning to pick up a bit. Can't say I like your location right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah. Maybe south of Indy get spared a little? Seems the surface temps are rising and moving north a bit. Going to be close. Indy on north...eh. Wind driven sleet here right now, still a few strays as well. Yeah, it looks like the southern counties will go over to rain this evening.. I feel that's when our FZRA will start in earnest then.. Hearing a few pingers on the window.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Snowing lightly here with pretty gusty wind. It's too bad we only got about 1 lousy inch of snow from the WAA event. I had been thinking we'd end up with a storm total about the same as Madison, but it appears they got a big head start with several WAA inches. I'm thinking in the 8-10 inch range for the main storm. If only this thing came another 50-100 miles nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Well isht is starting to hit the fan here...as this puppy is getting underway for LAF. Ping, ping, stray flake, ping, ping... Seems like we've tracking this thing for a month. Good luck to those in the snow zone. May your wildest dreams come true. And to those in the ice zone, stay safe and let's hope for the best. Yeah getting a lot of sleet. Wind starting to crank too. I can't see IND's forecast verifying for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looking clearer now that this will be a sleet fest here with possibly some zr thrown in. The major ice zone is going to be awfully close and still makes me a tad uneasy. I think there's going to have to be a severe reduction in snow totals on the new forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This will be catastrophic if ice goes over an inch - the forecast doesn't sound good. Will be curious what 1-2 wide county area ends up with the highest damage. Snowing here now - can't believe how strong the winds are already. Impressed - we are in a fairly open area. Beau, Since you know this stuff very well and know historic systems, how do you compare (damage-wise) what could happen in Indy with what occurred under the lighter winds but heavier accretions that occurred in the 1994 storm? The worst-affected cities in 1994 were places like Oxford, MS but when I think of that type of damage in a city like Indianapolis....it's a sobering thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stryker Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 This will be catastrophic if ice goes over an inch - the forecast doesn't sound good. Will be curious what 1-2 wide county area ends up with the highest damage. Snowing here now - can't believe how strong the winds are already. Impressed - we are in a fairly open area. Up here in the plains (North of Peoria and Bloomington), you get 30-35 mph winds about any day all year round! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah, it looks like the southern counties will go over to rain this evening.. I feel that's when our FZRA will start in earnest then.. Hearing a few pingers on the window.. Good, very good. One other good thing, is this thing is relatively hauling. Dry slot really not too far away from STL. Of course to what degree it fills in will determine a lot. I'm trying to effort a few optimistic thoughts right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah getting a lot of sleet. Wind starting to crank too. I can't see IND's forecast verifying for us. 19-23F in Indy metro with freezing rain. Ouch ouch ouch. Talk about extremely efficient accretion with no run-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Looks like moderate to heavy snow almost on the doorstep. Flake size is pretty terrible, though, at this point. Almost looks like we are fighting some dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Fired up the snowblower about an hour ago to clear the end of the driveway. With NE winds at 25, what I blew was blown right back...if that makes sense. Very light LES right now and the wind gusts are howling at my location about 26 blocks from Lake Michigan. Once the main event starts, will get pictures posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Yeah getting a lot of sleet. Wind starting to crank too. I can't see IND's forecast verifying for us. You think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted February 1, 2011 Share Posted February 1, 2011 Fook this storm. I want my snow!! Stop this sleet!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 19-23F in Indy metro with freezing rain. Ouch ouch ouch. Talk about extremely efficient accretion with no run-off. Indeed. Anectodally speaking, it seems like most of Indiana's ice storms occur with surface temps in the 28-32 range. This one is colder in some areas so not much will go to waste. Bad bad bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 You think? I'm not sure what they are seeing but I guess they are seeing something. Good luck overcoming this warm layer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.