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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    yup. better confluence and HP
  2. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF is coming south
  3. brooklynwx99
    this kinda stuff is why people don't post in this subforum anymore lmao
  4. brooklynwx99
    good. gets there sooner when the confluence is better established
  5. brooklynwx99
    GEFS is going to rock
  6. brooklynwx99
    GFS is a certified KU from DC-NYC
  7. brooklynwx99
    GFS is very nice. better confluent flow in SE Canada leads to a stronger HP. vort is more organized
  8. brooklynwx99
    the GEPS is pretty close. the GEFS might take a while. its progressive bias likely hurts it given that the -NAO is formed due to a wave breaking event
  9. brooklynwx99
    polar opposite of last December's block. the Pacific is a lot more favorable. thanks El Nino!
  10. brooklynwx99
    given that the GEFS has a pretty large progressive bias and that the -NAO is formed due to wave breaking, I would be more inclined to believe the EPS and GEPS
  11. brooklynwx99
    can you even draw it up better? huge WB -NAO, -EPO, elongated TPV over SE Canada and mean trough over the Lakes
  12. brooklynwx99
    the trough also rolls over and slips under the block. it's not a true -PNA... and there is also a -EPO that provides Arctic air. really exciting look here
  13. brooklynwx99
    don't worry, it gets there. bombs away with this look
  14. brooklynwx99
    once that thing decays or relaxes, though... that's where the big dog pops, theoretically
  15. brooklynwx99
    i think when you have a -NAO like that, you just need the -EPO, PNA can be neutral to slightly negative a +PNA doesn't show up on the mean generally in those KU type patterns. it's just transient as the storms develop
  16. brooklynwx99
    i'm not even exaggerating lmao that is just a crazy WB -NAO signal
  17. brooklynwx99
    i would be remiss to not mention this. this is a legit KU level block. 3 sigma at 12 days out is insane
  18. brooklynwx99
    KU level block. 3 sigma at 12 days out is insane
  19. brooklynwx99
    i would be remiss to not mention this. this is a legit KU level block. 3 sigma at 12 days out is insane
  20. brooklynwx99
    looks like the OP was on the tucked side
  21. brooklynwx99
    6-8" on the mean for the EPS is a very strong signal. you don't see that very often outside of 5 days
  22. brooklynwx99
    yup. 6-8 on the mean for I-78 and north, good clustering. ECMWF OP was on the tucked side
  23. brooklynwx99
    pretty great
  24. brooklynwx99
    if I had to choose, I would probably be more worried about a CMC type solution more than anything, but a lot of options are still on the table. not worth really freaking out over at this range
  25. brooklynwx99
    also the GEFS is fucking awesome
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