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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    EPS is way more favorable than the OP with lower heights in SE Canada
  2. brooklynwx99
    nice pattern evolution here as the blocking decays and the TPV moves into the 50/50 region. GEFS and GEPS both try to amplify a wave in its wake
  3. brooklynwx99
    want to wait a couple of days here, but if the amplification is real as the TPV moves into that spot and the block decays, might be honk time. lmao
  4. brooklynwx99
    can see energy working in from the south, too
  5. brooklynwx99
    this is much better in the Atlantic afterwards. just need a wave to slip underneath
  6. brooklynwx99
    then, the MJO moves into the central Pacific and the Aleutian Low develops
  7. brooklynwx99
    i think it’s the Niña background state
  8. brooklynwx99
    also, canonical EP super Nino, my ass
  9. brooklynwx99
    I was always talking about mid-Jan as the main turning point. sure the Weeklies were nice and I posted them, but those took a back seat to the general pattern progression, which seems to be occurring now
  10. brooklynwx99
    overrunning? i can see it. way out there, of course
  11. brooklynwx99
    that 500mb ridge is also deceiving. with the cold airmass already in place along with a -EPO and 50/50, it's actually a better pattern than it looks
  12. brooklynwx99
    I would expect more confluence to show up with blocking like this. that's usually how these kinds of pattern correct
  13. brooklynwx99
    no changes
  14. brooklynwx99
    he has never attacked or trolled. ever
  15. brooklynwx99
    yes, this is not the typical EP GoA blowtorch like those years had. this year will stray pretty far from those years on the mean
  16. brooklynwx99
    canonical EP Nino pattern for mid-January… right? RIGHT??
  17. brooklynwx99
    into the shitter for a week or so in late Jan, yeah. i don’t see a reason for the bulk of Feb to be crappy. nothing argues for that
  18. brooklynwx99
    seems like a solid window from the 15-23rd afterwards. good agreement on all ensemble guidance
  19. brooklynwx99
    i’m not going to act like a good pattern doesn’t look good. there are many other people that will already do that
  20. brooklynwx99
    i have no idea where that came from, but that accusation was so foul i had to respond lmao
  21. brooklynwx99
    “all due respect” lol
  22. brooklynwx99
    bull shit. when things look good, I say they look good. when they look shitty, i say they look shitty. most of this winter has looked shitty. what am i going to do, post the TPV sitting over AK in December for two weeks that clown would say you’re getting a blizzard no matter the pattern. hell, im not even guaranteeing anything, just trying to show people that the pattern is largely favorable rather than bitching and moaning about 300hr OP runs because the TPV shifted 50 miles southwest
  23. brooklynwx99
    i will take this general longwave setup 10/10 times and see what happens
  24. brooklynwx99
    yup, get something to roll underneath, pop a quick +PNA and it's big dog time
  25. brooklynwx99
    i'm not even really sure why we're talking about the MJO and a lack of Arctic air when the Plains are going to experience a legit Arctic outbreak that'll spill over here, and we're going to get a -NAO that displaces the TPV into SE Canada on all ensembles in the medium range. we're going to have chances coming up all the way to the coast, and perhaps a larger one when the block decays
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