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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    nah, it had been after 384 hours lmao it's finally getting into range
  2. brooklynwx99
    it's a really quick change. the Aleutian low develops explosively
  3. brooklynwx99
    this hasn't been 97/98. there has not been a massive GoA low wrecking everything. one hasn't formed at all, the patterns after Dec have been very different
  4. brooklynwx99
    ehhhh NYC has pulled comebacks like that before. we've had periods where we've gotten 30" in 3-4 weeks. north into CT? really hard sell
  5. brooklynwx99
    it would also be different if you were in NE or even NYC. some of you can reach or even break climo in one storm
  6. brooklynwx99
    I think it was always sorta between the 10-15th and it got narrowed down closer to the 15th. I also think people underestimate how much can happen in three weeks. most prolific periods, when they do happen, don't actually last for that long
  7. brooklynwx99
    we went from potentially insane torrid stretch to getting ready to panic in like three days? everything is still on track for the second half of the month into early March
  8. brooklynwx99
    I think a good amount of it is crap luck. both Dec 2022 and this month could have featured massive storms if not for the random interplay of TPV lobes. there is no way to forecast that more than 5, maybe 7 days in advance, and it fucked both of those high end threats up. it's a shame, but it happens. I don't think it speaks to the potential of the pattern at large, though. this month was especially egregious. that was locked and loaded and the TPV split in the worst possible fashion. it's so frustrating, but we'll be back. the worm has to turn
  9. brooklynwx99
    i’ve laid my thoughts out supported by evidence and we’re going to have to agree to disagree. we’ll see what happens in the coming weeks
  10. brooklynwx99
    why is he just allowed to bad mouth meteorologists like that? without as much as a suspension?
  11. brooklynwx99
    wow. a change of two days at a two week lead time. devastating
  12. brooklynwx99
    look, give me a bowling ball, a juiced STJ, and confluence in a strong Nino February and it can be worked out
  13. brooklynwx99
    bowling ball phases with the backside of the TPV lobe. wonderful
  14. brooklynwx99
    looks good to me
  15. brooklynwx99
    look at this crazy SE ridge. this was due to the La Nina base state at the time
  16. brooklynwx99
    this is remarkable consistency with that feature. I don't think a step back has been taken
  17. brooklynwx99
    that trough in the SW has been there for like 10 days on the weeklies
  18. brooklynwx99
    it hasn't slowed. it's been in nearly the same spot for two weeks
  19. brooklynwx99
    i have seen some members that phase with lingering ULL energy, but that’s kinda exotic and not too likely
  20. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it’s tough for you guys… even for NYC’s latitude honestly. but at this point, looking at a potent southern stream wave in a blocky pattern, it’s something to watch
  21. brooklynwx99
    that’s the 12th. what’s your point? these are the weeklies at the same time… there is lots of agreement
  22. brooklynwx99
    big Nino stuff here
  23. brooklynwx99
    jesus
  24. brooklynwx99
    all good changes here
  25. brooklynwx99
    it’s kind of discouraging posting in here. i get that people are jaded and pessimistic, but just making stuff up to be negative is a different story. that’s just bittercasting there hasn’t been a delay. it’s been timed within a day for the last two weeks
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