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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    well, the ECMWF is going to do the thing for the 20th
  2. brooklynwx99
    less suppressive over the lakes... more of the vort is hung back. this was a good step
  3. brooklynwx99
    models may be in the process of converging on some kind of consensus with the ECMWF ticking NW and the GFS / CMC moving a bit SE
  4. brooklynwx99
    less suppressive over the lakes... more of the vort is hung back. this was a good step
  5. brooklynwx99
    looks better. more emphasis on the trailing vort rather than that initial piece in the Midwest. heights higher over the east
  6. brooklynwx99
    rent free
  7. brooklynwx99
    GFS and CMC have the blueprint
  8. brooklynwx99
    lol
  9. brooklynwx99
    that setup for the 20th it has is wild lmao
  10. brooklynwx99
    the GFS still isn't really like the ECMWF. the evolution is the same as the 00/06z runs, but it's just less amped. doesn't do what the ECWMF does with the trough
  11. brooklynwx99
    the GFS still isn't really like the ECMWF. the evolution is the same as the 00/06z runs, but it's just less amped. doesn't do what the ECWMF does with the trough
  12. brooklynwx99
    the GFS and ECMWF still aren't similar. the GFS just didn't amp the trough as much, it didn't change the evolution overall
  13. brooklynwx99
    i don’t think that AK vort is the whole reason. the CMC has the same feature and amps up just fine. i think the ECMWF just struggles consolidating the trough itself
  14. brooklynwx99
    i don’t think that AK vort is the whole reason. the CMC has the same feature and amps up just fine. i think the ECMWF just struggles consolidating the trough itself
  15. brooklynwx99
    i don’t think that AK vort is the whole reason. the CMC has the same feature and amps up just fine. i think the ECMWF just struggles consolidating the trough itself
  16. brooklynwx99
    i can see how it’s bias to overamp and hold energy back can be an issue here instead of ejecting the trailing wave, it remains disorganized and the trough never buckles just a hypothesis. it is certainly an outlier, but we’ll see
  17. brooklynwx99
    EPS is aggressive with the 20th
  18. brooklynwx99
    the ECMWF's bias to hold energy back and overamp could initially hurt trough consolidation. honestly, I'm not really sure why it's doing what it's doing. the CMC and UKMET both have that piece crashing into AK and still become amplified, so that's not it in a vacuum
  19. brooklynwx99
    true, but the EPS could easily show that the OP is well south and east like it did at 12z. we'll see if that's the case again. i have a sneaking suspicion that it probably is
  20. brooklynwx99
    it's more consolidated, but it remains an outlier
  21. brooklynwx99
    it's not THAT much better than any of the other models at this point. it's an outlier and should be treated as such until other models move towards it or it caves
  22. brooklynwx99
    at least charge me rent if i'm going to live in your head, dude
  23. brooklynwx99
    what exactly would you like me to do about that
  24. brooklynwx99
    it literally is an improvement. why are you up my ass lmao
  25. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF is better. more consolidated trough, taller PNA, higher downstream heights
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