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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. it's not certain that it won't cut... cutting during that timeframe around the 17th just isn't the favored outcome. suppression seems more likely than a cutter given that pattern
  2. AND we should have a reload as the Aleutian Low gets going in February
  3. i will take a HECS over nickels and dimes every day of the week lmao
  4. yeah, it’s once the block decays. Arctic airmass in place, decaying WB -NAO, AK ridge, TPV moving towards the 50/50 region, and PNA building. all the pieces are there
  5. i mean... this is pretty awesome. the GEFS looking like this now is big. it was the holdout before
  6. i don't think this year will fail us in the PNA department when it matters in February
  7. heights out west are trending a lot better on the GEFS
  8. yes, we lag with the MJO and we'd get a period of warmth, prob the last week of Jan before the Aleutian low develops. all looks on track to me
  9. heights out west are trending a lot better
  10. Feb still looks good. the MJO traverses through the crappier phases pretty quickly and the rising air over the MC is replaced with subsidence
  11. GEFS made another tick towards the EPS and GEPS, not hanging as much of the trough back
  12. GEFS made another tick towards the EPS and GEPS, not hanging as much of the trough back
  13. GFS made good changes towards the ECMWF/CMC this run
  14. reminds me of late Jan into early Feb in 2021
  15. that's the real timeframe where something bigger can occur, if it's correct
  16. look at this. block decays and sits over the Davis Strait, low heights out west retrograde, heights over the Rockies rise, and the low heights from the TPV move into the 50/50 region. you thinking what I'm thinking? lmao
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