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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    all because some are likely going to miss out on like 1-3” of snowfall. christ
  2. brooklynwx99
    no. it was an analog, but to want to have that year as a bar on its own is going to set you up for failure also, the year isn’t even over, and many of you can clear average in a good 10 day stretch. all of the speculation is silly
  3. brooklynwx99
    if you want this year to get to years like 2010 and 2003 levels, good luck not getting extremely disappointed. those are banner years that are very rare seriously. a year like 2010 might not happen ever again. it didn’t happen in the early 1900s either lmao
  4. brooklynwx99
    i don’t see the point in this kind of retrospective stuff. there’s zero way for us to know. i’m sure there are setups where we would have actually wanted a farther north NS to prevent a phase back then at that point it just becomes straight up overattribution, which is nearly as bad as denial IMO
  5. brooklynwx99
    EPS and GEPS have an even clearer signal. i think any relaxation would be brief, then the Aleutian low develops
  6. brooklynwx99
    see you at 00z
  7. brooklynwx99
    seems like we're moving towards some kind of consensus with the EPS moving NW and the GFS SE. CMC still looking good too
  8. brooklynwx99
    PSU should hang this on his wall
  9. brooklynwx99
    you have pretty much everything in place for a major event. just want to see ensemble support
  10. brooklynwx99
    lol
  11. brooklynwx99
    overall pattern progression points towards a significant storm in the northeast. that's probably why
  12. brooklynwx99
    well, the ECMWF is going to do the thing for the 20th
  13. brooklynwx99
    less suppressive over the lakes... more of the vort is hung back. this was a good step
  14. brooklynwx99
    models may be in the process of converging on some kind of consensus with the ECMWF ticking NW and the GFS / CMC moving a bit SE
  15. brooklynwx99
    less suppressive over the lakes... more of the vort is hung back. this was a good step
  16. brooklynwx99
    looks better. more emphasis on the trailing vort rather than that initial piece in the Midwest. heights higher over the east
  17. brooklynwx99
    rent free
  18. brooklynwx99
    GFS and CMC have the blueprint
  19. brooklynwx99
    lol
  20. brooklynwx99
    that setup for the 20th it has is wild lmao
  21. brooklynwx99
    the GFS still isn't really like the ECMWF. the evolution is the same as the 00/06z runs, but it's just less amped. doesn't do what the ECWMF does with the trough
  22. brooklynwx99
    the GFS still isn't really like the ECMWF. the evolution is the same as the 00/06z runs, but it's just less amped. doesn't do what the ECWMF does with the trough
  23. brooklynwx99
    the GFS and ECMWF still aren't similar. the GFS just didn't amp the trough as much, it didn't change the evolution overall
  24. brooklynwx99
    i don’t think that AK vort is the whole reason. the CMC has the same feature and amps up just fine. i think the ECMWF just struggles consolidating the trough itself
  25. brooklynwx99
    i don’t think that AK vort is the whole reason. the CMC has the same feature and amps up just fine. i think the ECMWF just struggles consolidating the trough itself
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