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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    GEFS made another tick towards the EPS and GEPS, not hanging as much of the trough back
  2. brooklynwx99
    GEFS made another tick towards the EPS and GEPS, not hanging as much of the trough back
  3. brooklynwx99
    GFS made good changes towards the ECMWF/CMC this run
  4. brooklynwx99
    reminds me of late Jan into early Feb in 2021
  5. brooklynwx99
    that's the real timeframe where something bigger can occur, if it's correct
  6. brooklynwx99
    look at this. block decays and sits over the Davis Strait, low heights out west retrograde, heights over the Rockies rise, and the low heights from the TPV move into the 50/50 region. you thinking what I'm thinking? lmao
  7. brooklynwx99
    those kinds of -PNA/-EPO/-NAO patterns can deliver good overrunning while the block is in place and the TPV is close. likely have Arctic air over the top
  8. brooklynwx99
    this is awesome. can even see some ridging trying to form on the WC despite BN heights. active polar jet, very cold, -NAO decaying in a perfect spot
  9. brooklynwx99
    ready for 60s and 70s?
  10. brooklynwx99
    it moved that way too
  11. brooklynwx99
    EPS is definitely pushing that lobe under the block more. considerable change from last run
  12. brooklynwx99
    pretty significant change with heights east as well. definitely pushing that lobe under more
  13. brooklynwx99
    EPS does just that
  14. brooklynwx99
    the -NAO does not correlate to a SE ridge overall. the months with the strongest -NAOs often have a SE trough
  15. brooklynwx99
    that's in the far medium range, too. far from fantasy
  16. brooklynwx99
    this will work. HL blocking is insane
  17. brooklynwx99
    yeah, the wave breaking -NAOs are always so tricky. they're usually modeled way better when they're the classic retrograding Scandi blocks
  18. brooklynwx99
    yeah, the GEFS is a lot more like the CMC/GEPS than its own OP
  19. brooklynwx99
    you need to start here first. you know this
  20. brooklynwx99
    GEPS remains mint too
  21. brooklynwx99
    that western trough should retrograde into the typical Aleutian Low for Feb
  22. brooklynwx99
    yup, the GFS evolution is just delayed, not denied. you still get legit Arctic air into the pattern, it’s gotta go somewhere
  23. brooklynwx99
    no you don’t. you guys can hit average in 48 hours. definitely a couple of weeks
  24. brooklynwx99
    at the same time, i think the lack of retrogression on the GFS is due to the fact that it buries everything out west and you don’t have that final wave break
  25. brooklynwx99
    i think the GFS just buries it. doesn’t mean that it’s correct. even if it is correct, it just delays the cold air outbreak for a few days, it wouldn’t be disastrous or anything
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