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hudsonvalley21

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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21

  1. Currently 43/42 here with 0.17 in the bucket so far today
  2. Radar looks light for the NYC metro area currently. Below is Upton’s thoughts. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1048 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2020 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure impacts the region today through Monday. High pressure then briefly builds in for Tuesday. A frontal system approaches Wednesday night and will affect the region through Thursday night, and possibly the first half of Friday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Dry air in the low levels as noted on the 12Z KOKX sounding keeping precipitation light and scattered thus far. Surface dewpoint depressions are on the rise, but bulk of the precipitation remains southeast of the area. Short term CAMs are suggesting some potential for thunder later in the afternoon than originally forecast, and so updates have been made reflecting this. Surface low pressure over the Ohio Valley will track eastward today while a secondary low develops near the Mid-Atlantic coast. This low will become the primary low and track just south us tonight into Monday. Expect periods of rain today. Rain starts off mostly on the lighter side. More intense rainfall, mostly moderate, starts in the second half of this morning and lasts through the first half of the afternoon as models have trended drier in the mid levels during the late afternoon and evening hours. This moderate rainfall will coincide with the strongest thermal and llj forcing, synoptic lift from upper jet streak dynamics, and deepest moisture available as an H8 theta-e ridge shifts through. The mid-level drying casts more doubt on the chances of an afternoon thunderstorm as mid-level lapse rates steepen and elevated instability shifts through, but the strongest overall lift is exiting. Will still leave in a slight chance of thunder and the potential for at least moderate rainfall for the entire afternoon as confidence is not high enough to remove the mention completely. It`ll be breezy, particularly for coastal sections with an E-NE flow. High temperatures will be well below normal.
  3. And next Thursday too. Pretty wet 7 day QPF map.
  4. Same here, the furry little rodents hit my tomatoes too. Then the friggin birds hit the blue and raspberries.
  5. Agree with the clearing from my location. Never cleared out, moderate rain with no wind occurring currently. 49/46
  6. Agree, I will be definitely concerning to go to beaches, sporting events, concerts etc. when things finally open up. What will be the new norm. We’ll see.
  7. Not too bad, small place that can fit about 30-40 people. Weeknights are better no rif-raf
  8. A bunch of the mom and pop restaurants and local bars are closed. Hope it won’t be long so they can reopen before they hit the point of no return. A buddy of mine owns a small tavern and is closed, he is back driving trucks. Down to 36 and some white rain mixing in.
  9. That’s if they don’t beat you to the rabbits. Plenty of snowshoes here, Chinese takeout place closed the last couple of weeks due to the virus.
  10. Just got power back up, it was down for about an hour and a half. A little lull in the winds currently. Winds were sustained around 20 mph had frequent gusts in the 40’s. Highest gust recorded on the Davis so far is 48. 63/57
  11. Their discussion for our area below, Virginia through central and eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey... Have expanded the SLGT risk farther north into this region. Areas of rain and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing north of a warm front from PA and NJ into southern New England. This activity will shift northeast during the morning allowing modest destabilization to occur in the pre-frontal warm sector with MLCAPE from 400-800 J/kg. Storms are expected to redevelop along cold front and in association with deeper forcing accompanying the northeast-ejecting shortwave trough. Wind profiles with 50+ kt effective bulk shear along with large 0-1 km hodographs will promote a threat for organized storms including supercells capable of damaging wind and a couple of tornadoes.
  12. Good to hear you’re moving in the right direction
  13. Wow, I haven’t heard of that condition before. Wishing her well and speedy recovery. Hope all is well with you Rjay.
  14. Glad to hear the tests came back negative . Hopefully tomorrow will be nicer weather to get out for a walk or a ride on the bike cycle.
  15. Good to hear your both feeling alright. Thoughts and prayers for you both and your tests coming back negative.
  16. DCA +0.9 NYC +0.8 BOS +0.7 ORD +0.3 ATL +0.9 IAH +0.7 DEN +0.3 PHX -0.1 SEA -0.4
  17. Changing back to sleet here. Another coating of ice pellets in the last hour. Temp down to 32. It’s looking like the temps are busting on the low side.
  18. The yard raking you did the other day jinxed it.
  19. Flipping back and forth between ice pellets and snow currently. Large flakes and pellets. Ground is covered along with the roadway with grapple. 34 degerees edit, now all moderate snow.
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