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fountainguy97

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Everything posted by fountainguy97

  1. fountainguy97
    It probably doesn't mean anything but man I've been watching the CFS for the last week and it has been consistently SNOWY for much of TN. Idk what the CFS usually shows but I don't remember it being so snow happy in the past. It shows a start of winter in mid-November and that lines up with a lot of posters on other forums and my own analog work. I think we can expect a quick start of winter this year and hopefully some decent blocking in December. Fingers crossed we score before the new year because it seems our chances may start declining after the first half of January.
  2. fountainguy97
    Gfs is consistently dropping a nice front through the region between the 22-24th. Euro also agrees. I would say this will be the first major "cold snap" of fall and will easily start our leaf season. This front is only 3-5 days away from pushing across the US. Seems like it's a legit pattern coming up.
  3. fountainguy97
    Unicoi County has been better off in the rain department than areas just to my west but it's catching us now. We are starting to get crispy here. My yard is a very dull green with that crispy look. If we don't get rain soon I am sure we will be in official drought criteria in the next couple of weeks.
  4. fountainguy97
    Hey guys hope all is well. I tend to go quiet in the summer haha We have honestly had a pretty enjoyable summer over here in Unicoi County this year. We have yet to hit 90 this year with my high being 88.9. It looks like only 5 years in the last 60 went without a single 90+ day for Erwin. There is a lot of summer left though. This summer has been incredibly slow as far as thunderstorm activity compared to last year. Maybe last year was a crazy active year for this area.. but this summer has been all but dead for thunderstorms. My tempest station has only recorded 983 strikes within 22miles so far this July. Half of which happened yesterday. July 2020 had 13754 and I missed the first 6 days of the month. With the days slowly getting shorter I am feeling an inner longing for crisp fall days growing every minute.
  5. fountainguy97
    Snow falling on green grass this morning... I guess I’ll take it
  6. fountainguy97
    we have been lucky over here in Unicoi county. Our rain has been spaced out just enough to avoid a lot of flooding, but todays inch is really pushing ditches and creeks to their limits. Good thing today wasn't 2-3 inches. Would require water rescues if that happened.
  7. fountainguy97
    Yeah this gust front is insane. Probably straight from dead quiet to 70+ winds in an instant.
  8. fountainguy97
    Beast of a storm heading toward Nashville.
  9. fountainguy97
    I have the same feelings and my total is 20” on the year. It certainly doesn’t feel like an above average season. I’ve had 3 events completely bust. All 3 had models in agreement on decent snow 18hrs out then poof! the NW events really saved me this year because the standard storms haven’t panned out at all.
  10. fountainguy97
    32.2 and rain for a few hrs now. Lol.
  11. fountainguy97
    Easy come easy go I guess. From a non event to an event back to a non event over this way. Scorching at 47 this afternoon. Not a chance there is any major ice or any accumulation. hope you guys score! And then bring on the 70s.
  12. fountainguy97
    Not sure I’ve ever seen the COD maps maxed for ZR like this. Yeah that’s 2” lol
  13. fountainguy97
    Nam drops wild amounts of ice across NE TN. Let’s not go down this road.
  14. fountainguy97
    Nice trend here on gfs. NAM is long range still and on an island. It likes to over amp these type of events and push them too far NW.
  15. fountainguy97
    Rgem with the 1” ZR amounts across NE TN. We will pass on that.
  16. fountainguy97
    2.5knches on the board this morning. Surprised! Beautiful heavy snow
  17. fountainguy97
    Wow half dollars pouring from the sky. 32.0 on the dot. Roads covered instantly
  18. fountainguy97
    32.2. Heavy rates now. Flakes flying and ground already white! Surprised ground is covered already.
  19. fountainguy97
    3 consecutive minutes gusting to 29mph here.again a very sheltered station. Could be 35-40mph. Driving rain/snow mix. Was not expecting this type of wind event.
  20. fountainguy97
    Wind event in full force here. My station is in a terrible spot for wind in our backyard and just hit a gust of 23. Easily 30+mph just then.
  21. fountainguy97
    Hrrr really beefing up this back side precip for the valley. Watch those 2-4”s fill in last few frames.
  22. fountainguy97
    I think that backside shield will help out totals west of the mountains. The 12z nam went from no backside at 06z to a pretty robust shield of precip. Hopefully that continues to beef up as we get inside a day this evening. Nice little “surprise” event.
  23. fountainguy97
  24. fountainguy97
  25. fountainguy97
    12z nam more amped and consolidated. Expect a decent NW shift incoming. Also looks very similar to the GFS 06z
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