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fountainguy97

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Everything posted by fountainguy97

  1. fountainguy97
    What do I have to do to get this to happen? 7" in 2 hrs
  2. fountainguy97
    9 please
  3. fountainguy97
    man that band wrapping up around a 999mb low would be crazy.
  4. fountainguy97
    Gfs 18z more southern separation. Gets a little tilt on the southern end and boom back to the snowier solution. This is kuchera as well. A bit more tilt and it's a major major event.
  5. fountainguy97
    Gfs reversing course this morning. 12z will be interesting. Kind of surprised about how slow the boards are about this event. A non-zero chance of atleast flurries for a decent size section of the SE. GFS has been very consistent with a threat. I'd rather have it on my side than EURO right now.
  6. fountainguy97
  7. fountainguy97
    The FV3 is vicious. I've noticed it likes to go supercell crazy though. HRRR and NAM have much more of a linear storm mode vs discreet cells. but man this fv3 supercell is nasty.
  8. fountainguy97
    I'm not saying there is a chance but.... most GEFS members bring a NW event on the tail end of this mid November system. still way out in no man's land for now .
  9. fountainguy97
    Whoever wished for fall is going to get their wish this weekend. Seems to be a permanent move to cooler weather if models are to be believed. @Carvers Gap I like what I'm seeing in long range models as we head into November. A few more weeks and the first high elevation event will be on the table.
  10. fountainguy97
    It probably doesn't mean anything but man I've been watching the CFS for the last week and it has been consistently SNOWY for much of TN. Idk what the CFS usually shows but I don't remember it being so snow happy in the past. It shows a start of winter in mid-November and that lines up with a lot of posters on other forums and my own analog work. I think we can expect a quick start of winter this year and hopefully some decent blocking in December. Fingers crossed we score before the new year because it seems our chances may start declining after the first half of January.
  11. fountainguy97
    Gfs is consistently dropping a nice front through the region between the 22-24th. Euro also agrees. I would say this will be the first major "cold snap" of fall and will easily start our leaf season. This front is only 3-5 days away from pushing across the US. Seems like it's a legit pattern coming up.
  12. fountainguy97
    Unicoi County has been better off in the rain department than areas just to my west but it's catching us now. We are starting to get crispy here. My yard is a very dull green with that crispy look. If we don't get rain soon I am sure we will be in official drought criteria in the next couple of weeks.
  13. fountainguy97
    Hey guys hope all is well. I tend to go quiet in the summer haha We have honestly had a pretty enjoyable summer over here in Unicoi County this year. We have yet to hit 90 this year with my high being 88.9. It looks like only 5 years in the last 60 went without a single 90+ day for Erwin. There is a lot of summer left though. This summer has been incredibly slow as far as thunderstorm activity compared to last year. Maybe last year was a crazy active year for this area.. but this summer has been all but dead for thunderstorms. My tempest station has only recorded 983 strikes within 22miles so far this July. Half of which happened yesterday. July 2020 had 13754 and I missed the first 6 days of the month. With the days slowly getting shorter I am feeling an inner longing for crisp fall days growing every minute.
  14. fountainguy97
    Snow falling on green grass this morning... I guess I’ll take it
  15. fountainguy97
    we have been lucky over here in Unicoi county. Our rain has been spaced out just enough to avoid a lot of flooding, but todays inch is really pushing ditches and creeks to their limits. Good thing today wasn't 2-3 inches. Would require water rescues if that happened.
  16. fountainguy97
    Yeah this gust front is insane. Probably straight from dead quiet to 70+ winds in an instant.
  17. fountainguy97
    Beast of a storm heading toward Nashville.
  18. fountainguy97
    I have the same feelings and my total is 20” on the year. It certainly doesn’t feel like an above average season. I’ve had 3 events completely bust. All 3 had models in agreement on decent snow 18hrs out then poof! the NW events really saved me this year because the standard storms haven’t panned out at all.
  19. fountainguy97
    32.2 and rain for a few hrs now. Lol.
  20. fountainguy97
    Easy come easy go I guess. From a non event to an event back to a non event over this way. Scorching at 47 this afternoon. Not a chance there is any major ice or any accumulation. hope you guys score! And then bring on the 70s.
  21. fountainguy97
    Not sure I’ve ever seen the COD maps maxed for ZR like this. Yeah that’s 2” lol
  22. fountainguy97
    Nam drops wild amounts of ice across NE TN. Let’s not go down this road.
  23. fountainguy97
    Nice trend here on gfs. NAM is long range still and on an island. It likes to over amp these type of events and push them too far NW.
  24. fountainguy97
    Rgem with the 1” ZR amounts across NE TN. We will pass on that.
  25. fountainguy97
    2.5knches on the board this morning. Surprised! Beautiful heavy snow
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