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fountainguy97

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Everything posted by fountainguy97

  1. fountainguy97
    .15 per hr rates right now. 45.4 and rain.
  2. fountainguy97
    52.7 light rain
  3. fountainguy97
    just soared to 60.1!
  4. fountainguy97
    Going to be close but temps are flaming hot at the surface and all 12z models are backing off. Most of the heavy precip is moving out before temps can get cold enough. Just one of those events. This stronger low is going to deliver the goods to our friends over in NC though. We will catch the next one
  5. fountainguy97
    So for the Eastern areas and actually most of TN today I don't think its temp related. Maybe somewhat but not much. All 12z models so far change us around the same time. Actually all of them at the exact same between 8-9pm (for my area) same for 06z gfs. The difference is qpf. Here is the precip that falls after the changeover (more or less since we only have 3 hr increments) Pretty easy to see why hrrr is so snowless. Its not temps. It's inline with others now. Its the qpf. The problem is this doesn't make me feel better since the HRRR was the first to steadily show almost no qpf for my area with this last event that busted.
  6. fountainguy97
    Yeah this one may be a lost cause. Temps in the 50s just a couple hrs before it’s supposed to snow never sounds fun. Sounds like cold chasing moisture to me.
  7. fountainguy97
    Right on cue after models keep us reeled in. Hrrr backing off BIG time across middle and Eastern TN. Trending warmer by the hour.
  8. fountainguy97
    Lol
  9. fountainguy97
    Yeah i think only Eastern mountain areas will be in the ball game for this one and even they may see a pretty minor event. Just not much cold to work with west of the Appalachians as is common in this setup. Hopefully some other guys to our east can cash in.
  10. fountainguy97
    Pretty surprised. It’s been snowing since about 3am here. Measuring 1.75 all over
  11. fountainguy97
    nice squall inbound!
  12. fountainguy97
    Moderate now but mostly melted off the ground. Temp up to 31. Must be the sun.
  13. fountainguy97
    started here abt an hour ago. sticking to everything even the roads. Ground is frozen solid. Not used to seeing white roads with a dusted yard lol
  14. fountainguy97
    Just started here sticking to everything even the roads. Ground is frozen solid
  15. fountainguy97
    Temp surprisingly down to 28 already. Let’s see what we can scrape together over the next 12hrs or so. Hrrr has a pretty good second wave tmrw morning as well.
  16. fountainguy97
    Very good consensus for a pretty large NW event. Just waiting for the high res to get in range. GFS is very bullish still.
  17. fountainguy97
    Good catch. interesting setup this weekend with two drivers for NW snow. Models look cold too so ratios could squeeze a lot out. GFS is pretty bullish with QPF across the upslope areas this weekend. Not super common to see a global this aggressive with straight NW flow atleast in the few winters I've really paid attention. Maybe we can squeeze out a decent event below the 3500 mark. In fact, the UK, CMC, GFSv16 all mirror this look and amounts as well. Interested to see the NAM family as they come into range. I bet the 3km pumps out some ridiculous kuchera totals for the high peaks like it always does.
  18. fountainguy97
    love that radar depiction. Where do you get those?
  19. fountainguy97
    12z euro. this is not our 140-170 timeframe.
  20. fountainguy97
    UK almost drops a classic Miller A here. Looking good.
  21. fountainguy97
    yeah there is a LOT of energy flying around during this time. Highly likely this is one of those systems that could just kind of show a weak signal then pop up randomly around 120hrs. Usually these highly volatile patterns are modeled poorly outside 120-130. and even inside. 12z GEFS isnt quite as bullish but still plenty of signal. Wouldn't mind seeing sporadic Euro/EPS support over the next few days. But I'd say atleast 36-48 hrs before we know if this is legit or not. Maybe even longer.
  22. fountainguy97
    Same here having 3 very similar big dog members this far out is pretty bullish. Great signal for cold and a low pressure to our south. That’s all we can ask for at this stage. 12z may get interesting if we get some OP support. Gfs is suppressed and that’s exactly where we want it in this range.
  23. fountainguy97
    been watching this period for a few days now and the 06z GFS is starting to look very interesting for the 140-170 timeframe. Classic time for a storm as we shake up our pattern on the heels of a large frontal cold shot. This potential slides in just a couple days after much of the Eastern US is plunged into a pretty cool period. Could be a classic setup for the Southeast/Tennessee valley.
  24. fountainguy97
    pleasantly surprised here in Unicoi county. nice light/moderate snow. dusting on mulch is starting. I'll take a bust on this side over the last storm any day
  25. fountainguy97
    Delayed but not denied! 33.6 and light snow.
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