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fountainguy97

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Everything posted by fountainguy97

  1. fountainguy97
    Hrrr and NAM are both pretty close together this time. It’s still snowing past the end of the hrrr as well.
  2. fountainguy97
    This is legit. Some of the best rates I’ve seen this year. Big nickels. Ground turning white fast.
  3. fountainguy97
    Snow. 40.3. Warm layer must be RAZOR thin. update. Saturated now and pouring flakes. Beautiful nickels.
  4. fountainguy97
    Diving down to 40.6 already. Can see it pounding away up in Flag Pond. Waiting our turn down here. radar looks great if I can manage all snow
  5. fountainguy97
    When the 06z 12km NAM is dropping a foot in the great smoky mountains its going to be legit. models are beefing up this overunning band this afternoon. 3km is dropping a quick inch across NE TN. We have also beaten low temps here by miles the past 2 nights.
  6. fountainguy97
    Looks like a pretty serious NW flow event to start next week. Those windward slopes will get slammed. And flurries across most of the state.
  7. fountainguy97
    Could be worse. Honestly not bad considering I hit 60 yesterday afternoon. 29 now. Going to be a cold day today.
  8. fountainguy97
    .15 per hr rates right now. 45.4 and rain.
  9. fountainguy97
    52.7 light rain
  10. fountainguy97
    just soared to 60.1!
  11. fountainguy97
    Going to be close but temps are flaming hot at the surface and all 12z models are backing off. Most of the heavy precip is moving out before temps can get cold enough. Just one of those events. This stronger low is going to deliver the goods to our friends over in NC though. We will catch the next one
  12. fountainguy97
    So for the Eastern areas and actually most of TN today I don't think its temp related. Maybe somewhat but not much. All 12z models so far change us around the same time. Actually all of them at the exact same between 8-9pm (for my area) same for 06z gfs. The difference is qpf. Here is the precip that falls after the changeover (more or less since we only have 3 hr increments) Pretty easy to see why hrrr is so snowless. Its not temps. It's inline with others now. Its the qpf. The problem is this doesn't make me feel better since the HRRR was the first to steadily show almost no qpf for my area with this last event that busted.
  13. fountainguy97
    Yeah this one may be a lost cause. Temps in the 50s just a couple hrs before it’s supposed to snow never sounds fun. Sounds like cold chasing moisture to me.
  14. fountainguy97
    Right on cue after models keep us reeled in. Hrrr backing off BIG time across middle and Eastern TN. Trending warmer by the hour.
  15. fountainguy97
    Lol
  16. fountainguy97
    Yeah i think only Eastern mountain areas will be in the ball game for this one and even they may see a pretty minor event. Just not much cold to work with west of the Appalachians as is common in this setup. Hopefully some other guys to our east can cash in.
  17. fountainguy97
    Pretty surprised. It’s been snowing since about 3am here. Measuring 1.75 all over
  18. fountainguy97
    nice squall inbound!
  19. fountainguy97
    Moderate now but mostly melted off the ground. Temp up to 31. Must be the sun.
  20. fountainguy97
    started here abt an hour ago. sticking to everything even the roads. Ground is frozen solid. Not used to seeing white roads with a dusted yard lol
  21. fountainguy97
    Just started here sticking to everything even the roads. Ground is frozen solid
  22. fountainguy97
    Temp surprisingly down to 28 already. Let’s see what we can scrape together over the next 12hrs or so. Hrrr has a pretty good second wave tmrw morning as well.
  23. fountainguy97
    Very good consensus for a pretty large NW event. Just waiting for the high res to get in range. GFS is very bullish still.
  24. fountainguy97
    Good catch. interesting setup this weekend with two drivers for NW snow. Models look cold too so ratios could squeeze a lot out. GFS is pretty bullish with QPF across the upslope areas this weekend. Not super common to see a global this aggressive with straight NW flow atleast in the few winters I've really paid attention. Maybe we can squeeze out a decent event below the 3500 mark. In fact, the UK, CMC, GFSv16 all mirror this look and amounts as well. Interested to see the NAM family as they come into range. I bet the 3km pumps out some ridiculous kuchera totals for the high peaks like it always does.
  25. fountainguy97
    love that radar depiction. Where do you get those?
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