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Everything posted by fountainguy97
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Gfs 18z more southern separation. Gets a little tilt on the southern end and boom back to the snowier solution. This is kuchera as well. A bit more tilt and it's a major major event.
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Gfs reversing course this morning. 12z will be interesting. Kind of surprised about how slow the boards are about this event. A non-zero chance of atleast flurries for a decent size section of the SE. GFS has been very consistent with a threat. I'd rather have it on my side than EURO right now.
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The FV3 is vicious. I've noticed it likes to go supercell crazy though. HRRR and NAM have much more of a linear storm mode vs discreet cells. but man this fv3 supercell is nasty.
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Fall 2021 Thread (September, October, November)
fountainguy97 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm not saying there is a chance but.... most GEFS members bring a NW event on the tail end of this mid November system. still way out in no man's land for now . -
Fall 2021 Thread (September, October, November)
fountainguy97 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Whoever wished for fall is going to get their wish this weekend. Seems to be a permanent move to cooler weather if models are to be believed. @Carvers Gap I like what I'm seeing in long range models as we head into November. A few more weeks and the first high elevation event will be on the table.