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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. This doesn’t have the duration or strength even close to either of them. The qpf maps will be too Juiced. I’m excited too, but I think 24” Max is where expectations should be.
  2. Yeah but you have to be realistic too. This isn’t a monster closed off ULL. I think the Max well see from whoever jackpots is like 24” but I could be wrong
  3. It does seem slower though too when compared to the cmc for example
  4. That looks good I think I agree that looks perfect in my eyes. On precip maps va getting crushes on that frame
  5. Ukie at 72,looks good when compared to cmc for example. Not 100% sure since it seems slower as well
  6. I’m chasing from Philly. I can’t turn down an hour drive to see 2 feet
  7. I think tonight’s cmc is the most realistic outcome
  8. Throw out the GFS. That isn’t happening. In fact if the snow map looks anything like tonight’s run I’ll video tape me running nude down broad street. Philly will be in that 5-10 range most likely. Their biggest issue will be subsidence/mix. In fact I’d venture to say the city will see heavier snow rates in the front end of the storm than during the peak. There’s going to Be many jealous posters on here most likely during Wednesday night. Not that 5-10 is bad at all lol. Just sayin
  9. Gfs is a joke. I live in philly you’d think I’d be happy. I’d rather it be the other way around. All I care about is the NAM within 36 hours and the euro. I look at other models for amusement.
  10. Yeah december 30 2000 in Washington DC lol. Though it was a different model back then
  11. I think it’s the bias of placing lows too far SE. idk why you guys are even worried tbh. I’d rather be in Boston than philly right now by a long shot.
  12. Black and white maps of cmc look even more intense with H5
  13. I mean not really, the euro crushed us at 18z with close to 15-20” . If you mean the Max zone then yeah
  14. Agreed. What a waste of a storm. Can’t even enjoy any good NAM runs, next!
  15. Impressively early. There’s just too much model agreement on the large scale features to not dO it.
  16. Where’s Ji with the JMA because it is the most south of any model looks like lol
  17. This is on a lot of guidance. Think it has to do with how the ULLs are being stacked. Looking like a less beefy 2016 here in Philly where we get some snow and then the deformation zone heads NW
  18. Yeah ukie barely has an inch in philly so you get the idea
  19. I’ll take that bet . GFS will most likely play catch up the entire event.
  20. How many times does the gfs do this in big storms. It’ll catch up with other models eventually. You guys are fine up there. Eps destroys the GFS with QPF at least down here in Philly. I’m probably headed to Allentown or something.
  21. Anyone in the far Burbs got a place I could come stay at and chase?!
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