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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. 6z euro is pretty darn good for dc Balt.
  2. Gfs is sweet for you guys. Factor in time of year, time of day, obvious factors. I do think if everything aligns it will rip in places for a few hours.
  3. 00z NAM should be better. Looks like more phasing with the southern wave. See what happens. Can’t believe I’m tracking this haha. A dude just scored 83 pts in an nba game, anything is possible
  4. Had a bee fly in my car today. Flash freeze all the insects
  5. The only one that I really recall up here in Philly was maybe March 2015. Dates might be mixed up though.
  6. Kuchera probably more reasonable in a situation like this. Gotta see if this continues next few runs or if it was a random off run blip
  7. The 18z euro jumped on board too fwiw
  8. I’d pay big money to have the end of the cmc verify. That was about to be a spring hecs ha. If we’re going to get a snowstorm it’ll probably be that wave around 18-19th.
  9. Winter 25-26. Never forget Still getting rogue model runs of snow 17-20th range. Doubtful, but not impossible
  10. 18z euro Ai semi close to a nice hit day 10-12. Euro def has some interest for this time period. Here was the euro for the same time frame
  11. Signal for a nice +PNA growing on euro guidance. It’s more muted on GFS/GEFS. Without blocking though wed need well timed waves. Shortwaves timed right after a cold front. Significant snow likely a long shot, but we’re going to get some decent cold shots if this is legit.
  12. Just for fun, it’s March whatever ha, but this was about to be a massive nor’easter, and cold/frozen by the looks of it
  13. This strong front keeps showing up on the euro Ai and euro to a degree. It’s also on the EPS. Around day 8-9. We saw the euro have that fantasy event. It was also loading up at the very end of the run. It’s a +PNA pattern, but not much blocking showing up so probably would have to time waves perfectly
  14. With the SSW event I suspect we’ll see some -NAO showing as we head towards mid month. Just a gut feeling. We’ll probably have BN period second half of month. If we’re lucky maybe even a freak frozen event. Never know
  15. First signs of the block showing up LR from The PV split? Heh being a bit sarcastic, but
  16. I’m still not writing off last 10-12 days of March to bring back BN or a storm chance. MJO support potentially and the PV split. It’ll probably be a crappy spring regardless
  17. Yea odds are always low, we also may get MJO help as the month progresses. It would be pretty crazy if we go from a stretch of 70s early month to a March 20-25 major snowstorm lol.
  18. While the warm stretch is coming, and I can’t wait, don’t write off the end of March for a sneaky surprise with the PV split occurring early month.
  19. Thing is there is a huge difference between the gfs progression vs euro. CMC is towards euro, though I guess you could call it a compromise. Posted this in mid Atlantic forum, but you can see why the gfs is almost a day earlier with the wave vs euro. With a euro progression we could still cash, but it’s later on in the cold press. Until the models decide which camp is right you can’t trust either one of them
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