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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    I’m still not writing off last 10-12 days of March to bring back BN or a storm chance. MJO support potentially and the PV split. It’ll probably be a crappy spring regardless
  2. Heisy
    Yea odds are always low, we also may get MJO help as the month progresses. It would be pretty crazy if we go from a stretch of 70s early month to a March 20-25 major snowstorm lol.
  3. Heisy
    While the warm stretch is coming, and I can’t wait, don’t write off the end of March for a sneaky surprise with the PV split occurring early month.
  4. Heisy
    Thing is there is a huge difference between the gfs progression vs euro. CMC is towards euro, though I guess you could call it a compromise. Posted this in mid Atlantic forum, but you can see why the gfs is almost a day earlier with the wave vs euro. With a euro progression we could still cash, but it’s later on in the cold press. Until the models decide which camp is right you can’t trust either one of them
  5. Heisy
    I think it’s a half beat too slow lol.
  6. Heisy
  7. Heisy
    Mitch that’s actually the “second” event as the boundary comes N. GFS/GEFS way different One of these models will cave on the progression, take a guess who lol Here is gfs vs euro at 114 hours, you can see why gfs has snow at that time frame
  8. Heisy
    Gfs has the event at 111 hours, euro still has precip in the midwesr at that period. Theyre completely different at H5
  9. Heisy
    GFS is like 12 hours faster than euro/cmc One positive to take I guess is regardless of timing each model has a nice swath of snow on the gradient. They each just have different timing/press of the N/S
  10. Heisy
    Seen head fakes lately though. It does coincide with the PV split. Then question is does it couple wit the troposphere instantly or is there a lag effect.
  11. Heisy
    Still significant differences between gfs/gefs and the euro with timing and strength of the energy. Got another 36-48 hours probably to have a better idea if this is real or not
  12. Heisy
    Yea that was going to be a nice run for Philly. All comes down to timing of that pac wave that’s leaking energy and the N/S. Won’t know for a few days
  13. Heisy
    Gfs probably too cold on the southern side of this, could be a nice swfe for burbs and nyc though
  14. Heisy
    There’s a 3-4 week lag effect generally
  15. Heisy
    You guys will probably get one nor’easter towards ends of March, early April
  16. Heisy
    Can someone please tell me what happened with the RGEM though? I was tracking it all Sunday into Sunday night. It busted dry everywhere, and we’re talking runs while the storm is happening. It almost looked like a glitch. Its hires version did better. Just for example here was the rgem/hires rgem 6z run for MA/RI. Ridiculous.
  17. Heisy
    Just in time for April
  18. Heisy
    Post storm depression day. Anyone else get it? The rush of NAM dopamine shots 4 times a day for 2-3 days. Storm ends. Tired from lack of sleep, shoveling. Spring is soon. It goes away pretty fast, but I always get this same feeling the day after a big event.
  19. Heisy
    That was my cat all night, I take him on walks too ha. Snow piled onto the bush I have outside. It was smashed against the ground this morning
  20. Heisy
    Rgem vs its hires version. This was 6z look at differences over RI S MA. Think its bugged or something lol
  21. Heisy
    Feasterville/Bensalem heads in here? What do you think we got. I’m guessing 14-15”
  22. Heisy
    Someone broke the rgem, here was 6z run for you guys, how’d that verify in RI This is 2am onward
  23. Heisy
    I’m too worn down to go dig out now. Always feel like crap after a storm because I’m running on no sleep at 40 years old lol This storm broke the rgem. Its 6z run even screwed up over Rhode Island They’re getting blitzed up there currently
  24. Heisy
    Any other Feasterville heads? 10”? That’s what I’m eye balling but don’t have a ruler hah
  25. Heisy
    This was tonights 00z rgem from 8pm onward snowfall lol. To your question, not sure yet gotta see what happens through the night.
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