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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Not sure it was posted, this is just for fun with the range , but wow… that’s like a HECS setup cold dome over us and STJ gearing up. .
  2. Heisy
    It does seem early on the ridge out west looks more broad on the ensembles than it did previously , it does get there but there was a slight delay there over last few runs. Not a big deal yet. Still looking on track for the most part .
  3. Heisy
    Similar type progression as last nights euro could set the table mid month for an event. N/S energy advancing ahead for any left over energy in SW .
  4. Heisy
    From our Philly forum… 00z 06 GFS show a PV split btw right around mid month. If we have some blocking at that time could even enhance everything. Ensembles just stretch it, just seems everything is lining up at just the right time. .
  5. Heisy
    By the way I was right. The 00z control turned that wave into a Mid Atlantic hit. Lala land but at least it’s an example of a more winter storm conducive pattern starting Feb 14-15 .
  6. Heisy
    Play that forward and the energy in 4 corners could work out depending on if the energy around the lakes is able to compress the flow a bit .
  7. Heisy
    Eps Looks like what the cmc ensembles have been advertising for a few runs now. Pretty much all on board. How that actual pattern evolves to get here we’ll find out, may have a storm threat around 12-15 if there’s good sequence/timing of waves, but all the ensembles generally get to this point now .
  8. Heisy
    We’re about 7 days away from tracking mode coming back. .
  9. Heisy
    Just need one big event and it’s a good winter in my book .
  10. Heisy
    2 feet isn’t unheard of though so I wouldn’t consider that biblical. 3 feet plus imo. I’m an atheist though so what do I know haha .
  11. Heisy
    Chuck is hyped eh ha. I’ve had Feb 24 in my mind for some reason myself .
  12. Heisy
    Yea hopefully any energy undercuts that ridge and heads east and doesn’t want to close off or form a Rex block or get stuck under there .
  13. Heisy
    I’d assume both the control and ensemble will have upgrades to them? Not sure what HRES meant in the tweet. Hires? Idk .
  14. Heisy
    I’d assume both the control and ensemble will have upgrades to them? Not sure what HRES meant in the tweet. Hires? Idk .
  15. Heisy
    I’d imagine the eps will be upgraded though .
  16. Heisy
    Been told by Tom on our forum it means no more OP euro, it’ll only be the control and ensemble ran. Curious why they’d be doing this? Cost issues? .
  17. Heisy
    Icon ftw? One time .
  18. Heisy
    The 18z GfS is a step towards the progression the ensembles are showing. Epo ridge building, that western trough will eventually come E. We’re just in a waiting period and possibly a break your shorts out period until it does .
  19. Heisy
    There’s really no mechanism to get it N. It’s just really based on how much latitude it has as it comes E. Terp is right our shot was if that ULL had trended West so that it could have phased. That’s not happening now. Outside the elevations of SE this one is likely a loser. It’s okay I’m gearing up for 2/24/24 blizzard .
  20. Heisy
    Positives for LR I think… That western trough isn’t cutting off like 12z run, we want that to come East as fast as possible. There is probably going to be a solid 2-3 days warmup as the ridge moves through .
  21. Heisy
    Probably have a Rainer before the blues finally make it to us, but then we’ll likely have a favorable pattern 2nd half of Feb. would be nice to get a NAO .
  22. Heisy
    This doesn’t look like torch to me .
  23. Heisy
    Pretty big shift with the ULL near NE on 6z eps. It gives us (especially mid Atlantic) a path to victory here if that thing can keep trending E. Wonder if we see some large scale changes at 12z today…. .
  24. Heisy
    That annoying Barney shot ULL needs to move east or west, where it’s at now on the euro won’t work. East could allow it to come N, W could allow it to phase better. Still in range where we could see large changes. .
  25. Heisy
    End of cmc ensembles finally get us to that weeklies look .
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