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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Yea this is a setup for a classic Miller B. At least if Tuesday fails we can keep an eye on other events. .
  2. Heisy
    12z rgem vs 00z cmc last night, expect todays cmc to come back to reality from it’s crazy inland solution yesterday. I’d wager it will prob show a decent hit based on the rgem look at 84 hours .
  3. Heisy
    Rgem is in our camp as well, the euro is just wrong it has no support it’s gotta come around already lol .
  4. Heisy
    I bet we end up flirting with mix or dry slot near the cities as well by the end of this. H5 h7 track on Ukie gfs def argue for it. Ccb sets up just NW of 95 on the GFS .
  5. Heisy
    12z NAM is def in the gfs camp .
  6. Heisy
    Trying to figure out the differences on why the euro is doing what it’s doing. A big difference I’m seeing is at 300mb. There’s better separation of the jets coming on shore on the GFS Which in turn leads to this… .
  7. Heisy
    Cape you may have misread me. I was stating that the euro and GFS are still on different hemispheres. I’m not worried yet. I think most guidance leans to a GFS like solution. Unless we see some major shifts on the other models I’m fairly confident euro will come around by the end of the day .
  8. Heisy
    This is pretty major differences for 84-90hrs out. Euro is an improvement but it still wouldn’t have been close to the GFS. I think the euro will cave over the next 24 hours since most of the other data leans GFS evo side .
  9. Heisy
    Not even close in the PNA territory .
  10. Heisy
    I’m honestly shocked the euro did this again tonight after the other guidance. I don’t think I’ve ever seen this honestly .
  11. Heisy
    Ukie H5, we def have another 24-36 hours until we see some more consensus .
  12. Heisy
    Ukie H5, we def have another 24-36 hours until we see some more consensus .
  13. Heisy
    Look up .
  14. Heisy
    .
  15. Heisy
    00z GEFS prob more amped than 18z .
  16. Heisy
    On the bright side regarding the cmc, at least it shows this a couple days later… More potential .
  17. Heisy
    How much snow for New Orleans? .
  18. Heisy
    This will be a nailbiter, ugh, idk about this run boys, sloppier phase going on .
  19. Heisy
    Gfs has slightly stronger tpv press, my early guess would be this comes SE of 18z .
  20. Heisy
    Def some changes with the pac wave that comes on shore at 50-60 hours. See how that plays out .
  21. Heisy
    Well, the garbage Icon is similar to 12z euro, but this model blows so we’re still 0/0 in my book .
  22. Heisy
    Rgem looks decent at end of run. Let’s go boys, let’s reel it closer tonight .
  23. Heisy
    18z control bumped up a bit. This is probably what the OP would have generally shown outside 90hrs. .
  24. Heisy
    Not sure if anyone has noticed this, but it’s an important aspect that’s not settled and it’s closer to initialization than our actual storm. Check out the PNA ridge. Euro camp has a wave embedded here in the flow which actually impacts things very much. Here is 18z control vs 18z GFS. One is not like the other, and it’s not even close. Euro has a kicker, gfs does not. That’s the type of large scale feature we should see a cave from one side very soon, probably the GFS Uhhhh… .
  25. Heisy
    Look how the wave near the dakotas backed up. That would allow for more phasing once it tries to turn the corner. On top of that the tpv press isn’t as strong .
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