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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Deepening in about 25kt of SW shear.
  2. A hurricane, just not a pretty looking one.
  3. The 2010 parade of Central Atlantic fish storms has returned. Any chance for a landfall will be over Bermuda, or northeastern lesser Antilles. It's also possible something phases and hits Europe or NF.
  4. Thoughts and prayers to TD13. Hinnamnor was really hungry. Edit: Still hanging in there on visible
  5. It's going to be a close call next week for Cabo San Lucas. Ignore the Euro intensity because it's probably under done unless this stays close to land.
  6. Anyone catch the 12z Euro SE of NF. Looks like some sort of a warm core or hybrid system. It's the best thing in the basin on this run. At least the Epac may produce something interesting next week.
  7. Today's 12z Euro was disappointing. for the entire basin. Hopefully it's wrong.
  8. The happy hour GFS was a good laugh between the fake storm in the western gulf and the circle back track into NC/SC.
  9. Every model has fake tropical cyclones occasionally. Only the GFS insists on an absolute beast for 6 days in a row when no other model is showing it.
  10. Everything seems to be disappearing on models once it gets inside 5 days.
  11. The blob is growing in size, the entire beltway may get smoked
  12. Heaviest rates look like they're moving into Bethesda and maybe NW DC.
  13. Models have really trended Blah with this storm. It just tracks too close to the south American coast to really get it's act together. Then has 30 hrs or so to organize before hitting central America, where it could potentially spin up rapidly. just before landfall as a CAT1 or strong TS. Disappointed considering there's a lot more potential if it tracked further north.
  14. Thanks, forgot about that one. It's still been a long time.
  15. There has not been a major Hurricane in the Atlantic basin in July since Emily 2005. This has some potential given the track and favorable conditions shown on the GFS and Euro.
  16. 12z Euro is impressive for July. Very similar path to hurricane Felix.
  17. That's an impressive long lived MCS Tuesday comes all the way from the ND. Impressive to see that showing up on so many mesoscale and even global models.
  18. And somehow when the fire alarm went off at 1:30 AM for no reason, the ground was mostly dry and it was windy. Started raining again shortly after.
  19. And a mile or two from Merriweather. Rain finally letting up.
  20. Same, just spotted that on radar about 5-10 Min before my phone registered the alert.
  21. Just got a Warning in Howard county for a Tornado. There is a couplet though it doesn't appear to be too strong.
  22. Radiometers are passive sensors (They don't emit anything). It's not really a good description to compare them to Xrays.
  23. Heavy downpour, visibility dropped to almost nothing
  24. Getting ready for the round 2 Miller B death band pivot. Too bad it's rain.
  25. The infamous Texas panhandle cell that the HRRR has been insisting on has formed and is headed towards Amarillo. Not Tornadic yet but could be pretty soon.
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