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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    We don't need a cutter to get screwed. We have lots of other tricks up our sleeve.
  2. Amped
    We do have a good pattern in place and a strong signal for an event. It's hard to get excited considering how many times we've been screwed in 2021 by events that started north of the MD line. Seems like we end up on the southern fringe of KU storms a lot, and of course not pattern will ensure it doesn't happen again.
  3. Amped
    I was actually going to waste time on it until I saw the Euro 240 and extrapolated it out another 36 hrs.
  4. Amped
    Gfs 384 ftw
  5. Amped
    ICON trended back south FWIW. Also an EPS member has a 961mb low over S IL and a GEFS member with a 965mb low in a similar spot also FWIW
  6. Amped
    Anyone remember the 12/10/97 event? It was a bust Boston. We ended up with about 6" of paste in SW CT when we were supposed to get rain. I'm kind of reminded of that event from the surface map even though 500mb doesn't really look similar.
  7. Amped
    We can't even get 2-4" modeled 4 days out.
  8. Amped
    Only if Maryland annexes Buffalo, Detroit and Cleveland.
  9. Amped
    Tornado chasing anyone?
  10. Amped
    Everything in the MS and OH valley has shifted north. Not the trend we want.
  11. Amped
    Even if the GFS is right with the track, it's probably at least 10mbs too deep with the pressure.
  12. Amped
    CMC 990mb primary gets overtaken by a 996mb coastal low, also a strange solution. Coastal lows almost never end up being weaker than the primary.
  13. Amped
    If the GFS ends up verifying this time winter is rigged against us.
  14. Amped
    GFS well west of the iCON. Probably gonna keep it's stupid crapps runner this run.
  15. Amped
    Yeah better change it's mind on the Sub 980mb low over KY. You need a Cleveland superbomb or an Mayfield Tornado to get that to happen anyway.
  16. Amped
    ICON is a huge hit at 141hrs. Heavy snow except for extreme southern areas. If it could not trend anymore that'd be great.
  17. Amped
    ICON a little north of it's 18z run at 114, but well SE of the 18z GFS at 120.
  18. Amped
    Agreed, keeping the troff positively tilted like the Euro is key here. The blocking is never going to force a 976MB bomb over W KY to reform east of Ocean City.
  19. Amped
    GFS still looks to be negative tilting too early.
  20. Amped
    You can see from comparing the CMC, GFS and Euro, everything very dependent on how much the PV knocks down the heights ahead of the storm. Seems similar to 1/26/11, without the morning round.
  21. Amped
    Finally I can fantasize about snow for 12 hrs.
  22. Amped
    We're next right?
  23. Amped
    Not good enough, I want 1942 or 1958
  24. Amped
    The trees are already budding
  25. Amped
    This is why I hate solutions that involve a piece of energy ejecting through the ridge. It never works out. Haven't gotten any threats to survive inside day 6 this year.
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