Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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The Euro has upper level support for it's initial coastal low. The 18z GFS does not. It forms just cause of an arctic high hitting the gulf stream and in an area of rising heights.
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I have no good analogs. February 1972 and January 1935 look the closest
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Suface low reforms further southwest at 186 like last nights euro.
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More ridging ahead of the troff at 144hrs
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I hope nobody mentions that seriously.
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When was the last time Atlanta got more than 2" of snow?
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Hits Dixie and the Carolinas pretty hard. Another run showing something historic along the east coast.
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No power and a -30 windchill over the Northeast quarter of the country. Merry Christmas to all.
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The heavy snow over New England won't verify because New England has already been wiped off the map by 200mph winds at this point.
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Euro has whatever that thing is
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CMC is even better. It also likes the premature coastal idea for some reason. It's the only thing stopping a January 1966 setup.
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GFS with a perfect H5 track this run. 516 closed low over VA NC. It just ruins it with a coastal low forming too far out to sea. We get some snow anyway.
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We're always walking the line with these strong northern stream TPV's. They are wind machines aloft and tend to hurl whatever does form north of us fairly quickly.
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18z GFS splits the 50/50 low and sends a piece of energy back over Ontario This happens in a lot of big east coast snowstorms..
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November 1950
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GFS digging further east this run, it maybe close with the fantasy storm.
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And that would be a record if I'm not mistaken.
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18z GFS trying to pull a November 1950, just further north.
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I feel like every week we forget how bad models are in the day7+ time frame.
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I don't like this new Idea if bringing the arctic air down further west. It means some of the long range cold maybe a bust for the east coast.
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Models still all over the place with the pacific jet and any possible northern stream interaction. But end result in the NE is probably lots of snow for upstate NY and NNE and not much if any for the Urban corridor.
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Blocking, deampllification and the 50/50 low having a combined impact. I guess this kind of happened with the PDII storm, but it wasn't this pronounced.
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The ULL just spits out a piece of energy due east. The GFS gets more creative every year.
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18Z GFS with another ROFL run.
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Seems like most models show the jackpot Central PA, Upstate NY and NNE. Typical Inland runner, miss for I95.
