Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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I know I am inferring wind direction based on damage here. But this is a video that shows lots of boats smashed into the shore. I geolocated the light house on google maps and it's RentaYateAcapulco. It is on a north facing beach on the hook of the western peninsula. The damage would imply winds were out of the north there. This could mean the storm tracked straight over the bay which is a few miles east of the official track.
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Not good, but not unexpected either. Judging by the damage, the final death toll will probably be in the hundreds.
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Just imagining how much broken glass they'll have to avoid stepping on for the next 20 years. I don't know building codes there. If they didn't require storm windows that could help explain the near 100% failure rate of high rise windows across the city.
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Despite being small you couldn't have asked for a worse track. It dragged along the coast and everywhere between the International Airport and Pie Del la Cuesta got hit by the eyewall, including the tourist district on the west side of the bay. At least that's my guess based on the damage.
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Surprised this is fading from the news so quickly. The damage keeps looking worse and worse as pictures come in.
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Depending on the anchor bolts of course.
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Tons of damage near Hotel Emporio in the main tourist district in the back center of the bay. Here's the Princess Hotel East of the city.
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Interesting how that satellite view looks displaced 10 or 15 miles ne of the nhc track and the zoom earth track.
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I'm just hoping for the eyewall to go anywhere but straight up the bay and over downtown. It will be be a slightly milder apocalypse if the eye avoids the most densely populated area.
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It did finally take a westward jog in the last 15 minutes.
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They are trying to stay calm, but you could imagine they must have deleted the phrase "Oh Shit" from that discussion in like 20 places during editing.
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The track of these small small storms is kind of tough also cause they wobble a lot more as they approach the terrain. Looks like it's moving almost due north now, but maybe it takes a quick east wobble later. Landfall showing between 6z and 9z so it only has a few more hours.
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Forecast has it going west of Acapulco, but way too close for comfort.
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Impressive wish we had radar in this area
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The sun is so overrated.
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Hopefully not. Don't need 2 weekends in a row ruined. Hopefully the gfs is overdone withe the wind. -
I'm surprised they didn't go with subtropical. Looking at phase space diagrams there's is a pretty shallow warm core and doesn't have much symmetry.
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Exactly my thinking. Hard to capture a storm 150 miles from Bermuda and hook it back into New England. It needs to track much closer to the Carolinas.
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GFS already has more ridging to the NE of Lee this run. It will probably end up further west than 18z.
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The wind field has really expanded. Hurricane force winds now extend out 60 to 80 NM from the center.
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Appearance has really improved the last few hours. Could be seeing RI 2.0.
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12z Euro has a similar track to the GFS and CMC except its 6 to 12hrs slower with landfall.
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Why track Lee when you can track the 336hr gfs storm.
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Just about to post Seeing 918mb on TT at 51hrs down from 949mb at 42hrs
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155kt SFMR, also looks like the aircraft got jolted by turbulence at around that time.
