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EasternLI

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Everything posted by EasternLI

  1. EasternLI
  2. EasternLI
    Re: Solar The literature suggests a lag of ~3 years for max effect. So that would put us in a decent enough spot seemingly. Just wanted to point that out. Not making any calls based on purely that, obviously.
  3. EasternLI
    COD.edu but use the mesoscale floater. Updates minute by minute. Really cool.
  4. EasternLI
    Have been thinking LF somewhere very near CT/RI boarder since yesterday morning. Seems on track to me, give or take. Boatload of rain on the menu here today I think.
  5. EasternLI
    6Z Still a lot of spread. But a decent cluster with the MTP track.
  6. EasternLI
    00z eps I've been liking that near MTP track since yesterday while quietly observing. Would make this a big rainmaker where I am. Interesting couple days on tap.
  7. EasternLI
    Didn't see 00z euro ensembles posted. Personally IMHO,after absorbing models for 2 days, thinking LF very near CT, RI border with this when all is said and done.
  8. EasternLI
    MEI is interesting. At -1.53 it's more negative than any time last year. But also, have to go back about a decade for a comparable number. https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/data/meiv2.data
  9. EasternLI
    La Nina watch in effect. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/july-2021-enso-update-la-niña-watch
  10. EasternLI
    Smithtown area has got to be getting rocked right now. Judging by radar and the fact I hear constant thunder from that thing here in Riverhead.
  11. EasternLI
    Eps looks snowy. Didn't look at the Canadian. This is a pretty impressive ensemble mean. And the end of the run is retrograding Scandinavian blocking to Greenland.
  12. EasternLI
    Good grief the 06z gefs long range.
  13. EasternLI
    Going to wrap it up with 6" here. Good early call by Upton with the 4-8.
  14. EasternLI
    2-3+ per hour? LFG!
  15. EasternLI
    Nice Mod snow going on in Riverhead.
  16. EasternLI
    We're in the midst of a - AO winter. First time in forever.
  17. EasternLI
    Sure, here's the link. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/snowbands/view.php?cycle=2019110818&model=HREFv2&domain=ALL&field=snowobj_byhour&thresh=0.1
  18. EasternLI
    HREF snow bands from the 00Z run. Pretty sweet look for LI and a good part of NJ.
  19. EasternLI
    Well, the 18z gefs is deep winter until further notice. Another retrograding -nao in the long range too.
  20. EasternLI
    That looks a little bullish to me. But hey, let's see what happens today.
  21. EasternLI
    Tossed. We're sitting in a good spot this morning IMO.
  22. EasternLI
    Would be a quick hitting smokeshow over here Sunday morning. Come on nam!!
  23. EasternLI
    Fab Feb if the EPS is right. Active with -nao right through. Some +pna too lol
  24. EasternLI
    When the pattern breaks the gfs.
  25. EasternLI
    Wild guess, but looking at some stuff this morning. Window for a big one 15th - 18th timeframe. JMO.
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