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EasternLI

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Everything posted by EasternLI

  1. EasternLI
    Is it still having trouble organizing.....
  2. EasternLI
  3. EasternLI
    Sunrise over Ida.
  4. EasternLI
    Really taking off around the center right now.
  5. EasternLI
  6. EasternLI
  7. EasternLI
    IR satellite showing pretty definitive warming in the eye over the last several minutes as well.
  8. EasternLI
  9. EasternLI
    Yeah, nice explanation of frictional convergence here: https://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints3/844/
  10. EasternLI
    Here's a short description of what that's showing exactly, for those unfamiliar. The maps display potential minimum pressure and maximum winds, calculated according to a method developed by Dr. Kerry Emanuel. Dissipative heating is handled according to a method described in Bister and Emanuel (1998). The maps are based on data from the 00Z global operational analysis from NCEP for the date shown on the plot.
  11. EasternLI
  12. EasternLI
  13. EasternLI
    Re: Solar The literature suggests a lag of ~3 years for max effect. So that would put us in a decent enough spot seemingly. Just wanted to point that out. Not making any calls based on purely that, obviously.
  14. EasternLI
    COD.edu but use the mesoscale floater. Updates minute by minute. Really cool.
  15. EasternLI
    Have been thinking LF somewhere very near CT/RI boarder since yesterday morning. Seems on track to me, give or take. Boatload of rain on the menu here today I think.
  16. EasternLI
    6Z Still a lot of spread. But a decent cluster with the MTP track.
  17. EasternLI
    00z eps I've been liking that near MTP track since yesterday while quietly observing. Would make this a big rainmaker where I am. Interesting couple days on tap.
  18. EasternLI
    Didn't see 00z euro ensembles posted. Personally IMHO,after absorbing models for 2 days, thinking LF very near CT, RI border with this when all is said and done.
  19. EasternLI
    MEI is interesting. At -1.53 it's more negative than any time last year. But also, have to go back about a decade for a comparable number. https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/data/meiv2.data
  20. EasternLI
    La Nina watch in effect. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/july-2021-enso-update-la-niña-watch
  21. EasternLI
    Smithtown area has got to be getting rocked right now. Judging by radar and the fact I hear constant thunder from that thing here in Riverhead.
  22. EasternLI
    Eps looks snowy. Didn't look at the Canadian. This is a pretty impressive ensemble mean. And the end of the run is retrograding Scandinavian blocking to Greenland.
  23. EasternLI
    Good grief the 06z gefs long range.
  24. EasternLI
    Going to wrap it up with 6" here. Good early call by Upton with the 4-8.
  25. EasternLI
    2-3+ per hour? LFG!
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